Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 270804
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
404 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

...DRY TODAY WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS ON SUNDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE RIDGING SHOULD PROVIDE A DRY DAY TODAY. MUCH OF TONIGHT WILL
BE DRY AS WELL. RAIN SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA
TOWARDS DAYBREAK ON SUNDAY. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE THEN LIKELY ON
SUNDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. MEMORIAL
DAY WILL NOT BE A COMPLETE WASHOUT, BUT THERE ARE SHOWERS IN THE
FORECAST, ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.


MIZ037>039-043>045-272015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
404 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72 near Lake Michigan and around 76 inland.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer near Lake Michigan and 5
                    degrees warmer Inland.
Min humidity........53-58 percent near Lake Michigan and 45-50
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier near Lake Michigan and
                    unchanged Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5100-5600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 0100, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 0200.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1600-2100
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68 near Lake Michigan and around 71 inland.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler near Lake Michigan and 7
                    degrees cooler Inland.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1200-1700 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 1600-2100 ft AGL increasing to
                    3600-4100 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the north in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.29-0.46 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-272015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
404 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0200, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms until 1400, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.26-0.37 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-272015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
404 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5100-5600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0200, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 0200.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 7 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 2000-2500
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 1400, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 9 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 200-700 ft AGL increasing
                    to 2200-2700 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Mixing height....... inland, 1400-1900 ft AGL increasing to
                    3600-4100 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph shifting to the north in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.27-0.52 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-272015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
404 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 0200.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 7 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the north
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.34-0.59 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-272015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
404 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph until midday becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0500, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 0500.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent toward daybreak.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor to poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 11 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.32-0.46 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the
evening. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds 7 to 12 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers until midday,
then a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs
around 70. West winds 13 to 18 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 7 to 12 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. West winds 11 to 16 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. West winds 6 to
11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 8 to
13 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70.



$$


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