Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 191955
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
355 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

...Hit and miss showers through Thursday night...

.DISCUSSION...A few showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue
into this evening over South Central Lower Michigan. These are
expected to diminish sometime after midnight. Expect all areas to see
fog develop late tonight into early Wednesday.

A weak cold front will bring the chance of more scattered showers
and storms Wednesday night and again Thursday afternoon.  Much of
the rest of the week and into early next week looks to be dry.

Daily high temperatures are expected to be in the 80s each day, with
some locations possibly hitting 90 Friday and Saturday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-200815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
355 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 0300, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of fog
                    after 0200.
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 2300-2800
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1100.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3100-3600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-500 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0100, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1400-1900
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.16 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....74-79 near Lake Michigan and around 83 inland.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer near Lake Michigan and
                    unchanged Inland.
Min humidity........69-74 percent near Lake Michigan and 57-62
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 8
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4400-4900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor) increasing to 600 (excellent) in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-200815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
355 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2100, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Areas of fog
                    after 0200.
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1600, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1100.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0400, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL increasing to 7000-7500 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair) increasing to 800 (excellent) in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-200815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
355 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 0600, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Areas of fog
                    after 0200.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2100-2600 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3200-3700 ft AGL decreasing to
                    700-1200 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 1400, then
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1100.
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.18 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2100-2600 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 4900-5400 ft AGL increasing to
                    7000-7500 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-200815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
355 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Areas of fog
                    after 0200.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1100.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-500 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL increasing to 8200-8700 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good) increasing to 1200 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-200815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
355 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. chance of showers.
                    Areas of fog after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 1100.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL increasing to 8400-8900 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good) increasing to 1000 (excellent) in
                    the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.23 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 5 to
9 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to
8 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
5 to 6 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.

$$



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