Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 271952
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
252 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will be on the rise as warm front lifts north through
Tuesday, leading to near record high temperatures by mid-week. A cold
front will bring a chance for showers and thunderstorms late
Wednesday through Thursday morning, followed by a return to
seasonable temperatures late week. Even cooler temperatures are
expected into the weekend.

Fog potential for tonight...None to Low.

NCZ105>110-281200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
252 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0            0
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        None         None
LAL                   1            2            1            1
Min/Max Temp          55           78           62           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  5        S  6         S 10         SW 12 G25
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         S 11         S  9         SW 17 G30
Precip amount         0.03         0.21         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            1
Inversion             1900         67/0900      1900         69/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        95           56           99           53
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5110                      4050
Transport wnd (mph)                S 23                      SW 36
Ventilation rate                   117530                    145800
ADI early             5 Very poor  78 Good      18 Gen poor  82 Good
ADI late              4 Very poor  79 Good      10 poor      103 Very good
Max LVORI early       5            6            6            6
Max LVORI late        6            2            7            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
72 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
63 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
79 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-281200-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
252 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0            20
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   1            2            1            2
Min/Max Temp          55           77           62           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  6        S  6         S  9         SW 12 G25
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  5        S 12         S  9         SW 17 G31
Precip amount         0.02         0.10         0.00         0.01
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Inversion             1900         64/0900      1900         68/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        96           57           98           49
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          4            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4760                      5620
Transport wnd (mph)                S 24                      SW 38
Ventilation rate                   114240                    213560
ADI early             13 Gen poor  49 Gen good  17 Gen poor  84 Good
ADI late              5 Very poor  85 Good      10 poor      124 Very good
Max LVORI early       4            7            6            6
Max LVORI late        7            1            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 80 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
62 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 23 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-281200-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
252 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0            20
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   1            2            1            2
Min/Max Temp          56           78           63           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  7        S  6         S 10         SW 12 G24
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  6        S 12         S  9         SW 17 G29
Precip amount         0.04         0.09         0.00         0.01
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Inversion             1900         67/0900      1900         69/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        94           60           96           52
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4960                      4960
Transport wnd (mph)                S 26                      SW 33
Ventilation rate                   128960                    163680
ADI early             11 poor      58 Gen good  17 Gen poor  83 Good
ADI late              7 poor       80 Good      10 poor      98 Good
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            5
Max LVORI late        6            2            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. Chance
of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 71 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
62 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-281200-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
252 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0            20
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   1            2            1            2
Min/Max Temp          54           78           62           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  7        S  5         S  9         SW 12 G24
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  5        SW 10        S  9         SW 18 G29
Precip amount         0.04         0.06         0.00         0.02
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Inversion             1900         62/0900      1900         68/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        93           53           94           45
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5110                      6020
Transport wnd (mph)                S 23                      SW 40
Ventilation rate                   117530                    240800
ADI early             12 poor      40 Fair      31 Fair      82 Good
ADI late              5 Very poor  77 Good      11 poor      137 Very good
Max LVORI early       3            6            4            5
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 78 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
63 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 23 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-281200-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
252 PM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           20           0            20
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   1            2            1            2
Min/Max Temp          56           79           63           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SE  7        S  5         S  9         SW 11 G24
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  5        S 11         S  9         SW 16 G29
Precip amount         0.04         0.07         0.00         0.02
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Inversion             1900         66/0900      1900         69/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        93           53           95           46
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5290                      5880
Transport wnd (mph)                S 25                      SW 36
Ventilation rate                   132250                    211680
ADI early             16 Gen poor  62 Good      19 Gen poor  83 Good
ADI late              4 Very poor  82 Good      10 poor      117 Very good
Max LVORI early       4            6            5            5
Max LVORI late        6            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers with
isolated thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
61 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 24 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

rgz


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