Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 221924
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
324 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will expand across the area from the western
Atlantic through Wednesday, allowing the heat and high humidity
to continue. A cold front will track across the Eastern
Carolinas from the northwest late Wednesday and Thursday then pass
of the coast Thursday night. Canadian high pressure will build in
behind the front bringing drier and breezier weather with slightly
below normal temps for the weekend.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate/High.

NCZ105>110-231130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
324 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           40           70           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          75           91           74           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        SW  5        SW  7        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  7        SW  5        W  3
Precip amount         0.02         0.18         0.29         0.37
Precip duration       1            2            7            9
Inversion             1900         80/0900      1900         77/0900
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        93           61           97           70
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5960                      4660
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     W  7
Ventilation rate                   77480                     32620
ADI early             27 Fair      43 Gen good  28 Fair      10 poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  49 Gen good  6 Very poor  22 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            5            8
Max LVORI late        6            3            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 86 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-231130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
324 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           70           60
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          74           91           73           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         SW  5        SW  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  6        W  3         N  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.15         0.33         0.30
Precip duration                    2            8            3
Inversion             1900         79/0900      1900         76/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        96           53           98           65
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7180                      5370
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     NW  7
Ventilation rate                   86160                     37590
ADI early             24 Fair      37 Fair      25 Fair      7 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  49 Gen good  3 Very poor  27 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            7            6            9
Max LVORI late        6            2            7            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-231130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
324 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           40           70           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          75           92           75           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  6         SW  5        S  8         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  7        SW  6        SW  3
Precip amount         0.03         0.13         0.31         0.36
Precip duration       1            2            7            9
Inversion             1900         80/0900      1900         78/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        93           54           97           66
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6670                      4960
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     W  6
Ventilation rate                   66700                     29760
ADI early             22 Fair      38 Fair      23 Fair      13 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  43 Gen good  8 poor       21 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            4            7
Max LVORI late        6            2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 84 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 84 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-231130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
324 PM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           40           70           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            3            4            4
Min/Max Temp          74           93           73           88
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    S  5         SW  5        SW  5        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  7        W  4         LGT/VAR
Precip amount         0.02         0.13         0.28         0.25
Precip duration       1            2            7            2
Inversion             1900         79/0900      1900         76/0900
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        94           50           98           62
DSI                                3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                7680                      5570
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     NW  6
Ventilation rate                   92160                     33420
ADI early             20 Gen poor  39 Fair      27 Fair      9 poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  55 Gen good  5 Very poor  25 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            6            5            8
Max LVORI late        6            1            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 91 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 80 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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