Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 181949
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
249 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

.DISCUSSION...
A warm front will lift across the area on Monday. Bermuda High
pressure will bring well above normal temperatures beginning Monday
with possible record warmth mid week. A cold front will approach from
on Friday but may stall to our north.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate NC to High SC.

NCZ105>110-191200-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
249 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

                      Tonight      Washingtons BirthdayMon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           0            0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          47           73           57           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  6         E  4         S  4         S  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  5        S  6         S  3         S  5
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            2
Inversion             1900         Continued
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        96           67           100          58
DSI                                2
Haines Index          2            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3550                      4670
Transport wnd (mph)                S 16                      S 17
Ventilation rate                   56800                     79390
ADI early             5 Very poor  6 Very poor  4 Very poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  8 poor       4 Very poor
Max LVORI early       4            6            6
Max LVORI late        7            4            6

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Areas of fog. Lows in the upper 50s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-191200-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
249 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

                      Tonight      Washingtons BirthdayMon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           0            0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          47           72           57           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         E  3         S  3         S  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  4         S  5         S  3         S  6
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            2
Inversion             1900         Continued
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        91           60           100          53
DSI                                2
Haines Index          2            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3450                      4860
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     S 10
Ventilation rate                   51750                     48600
ADI early             4 Very poor  4 Very poor  3 Very poor
ADI late              3 Very poor  6 Very poor  3 Very poor
Max LVORI early       4            5            5
Max LVORI late        6            4            5

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Areas of fog. Lows around 60.
Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-191200-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
249 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

                      Tonight      Washingtons BirthdayMon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           0            0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          47           69           56           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         E  4         SE  3        S  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         SE  3        S  3         S  7
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            1
Inversion             1900         Continued
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        84           57           100          53
DSI                                2
Haines Index          2            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2430                      5070
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  6                     S  9
Ventilation rate                   14580                     45630
ADI early             4 Very poor  5 Very poor  3 Very poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  6 Very poor  3 Very poor
Max LVORI early       4            5            3
Max LVORI late        5            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Areas of fog. Lows in the lower 60s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-191200-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
249 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

                      Tonight      Washingtons BirthdayMon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           0            0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          51           75           57           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  7         E  4         SE  4        SE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NE  5        SE  6        SE  3        S  6
Precip amount         0.01         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            2
Inversion             1900         Continued
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           62           100          58
DSI                                2
Haines Index          2            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                3950                      5280
Transport wnd (mph)                S 14                      S 12
Ventilation rate                   55300                     63360
ADI early             7 poor       7 poor       5 Very poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  9 poor       5 Very poor
Max LVORI early       5            8            6
Max LVORI late        8            4            6

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Areas of fog. Lows around 60.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 62 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ024-032-033-039-191200-
Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
249 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

                      Tonight      Washingtons BirthdayMon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           0            0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          50           74           57           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  5         E  4         SE  4        SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  4         SE  4        SE  3        S  6
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            1
Inversion             1900         Continued
Dispersion            Fair                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        96           54           100          52
DSI                                2
Haines Index          2            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4410                      5380
Transport wnd (mph)                S 14                      S  9
Ventilation rate                   61740                     48420
ADI early             5 Very poor  5 Very poor  4 Very poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  7 poor       4 Very poor
Max LVORI early       5            6            4
Max LVORI late        7            3            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Areas of fog. Lows in the lower 60s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-191200-
Marlboro-Darlington-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, and North Hartsville
249 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

                      Tonight      Washingtons BirthdayMon Night    Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           30           0            0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          49           69           56           80
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  4         NE  4        SE  3        S  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  5         SE  3        SE  3        S  6
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1            1
Inversion             1900         Continued
Dispersion            Fair                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        88           57           100          53
DSI                                2
Haines Index          2            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2400                      5250
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  5                     S  9
Ventilation rate                   12000                     47250
ADI early             3 Very poor  4 Very poor  3 Very poor
ADI late              4 Very poor  5 Very poor  3 Very poor
Max LVORI early       5            5            3
Max LVORI late        5            3            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Areas of fog. Lows around 60.
Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5



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