Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 282015 AAA
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
415 PM EDT THU APR 28 2016

...ONE MORE ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM...

.DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK THROUGH THE OHIO
THROUGH TONIGHT...SENDING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. THIS
SYSTEM WILL BRING CONTINUED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
DRY WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND AND LINGER INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

KYZ068-079-083-084-290845-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROADHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
415 PM EDT THU APR 28 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................102 DECREASING TO 4 LATE.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28.
VENT RATE...........POOR (28500 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................21 INCREASING TO 32 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    LATE.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................26 DECREASING TO 5 LATE.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.05 INCHES.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20-25 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....81.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (81400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................8 INCREASING TO 58 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.20 - 0.45 INCHES.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-290845-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
INEZ
415 PM EDT THU APR 28 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................100 DECREASING TO 7 LATE.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.05 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....53.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (52500 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................35 INCREASING TO 51 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST LATE.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................43 DECREASING TO 5 LATE.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.05 INCHES.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20300 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................13 INCREASING TO 25 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.20 - 0.40 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-290845-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
415 PM EDT THU APR 28 2016

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................105 DECREASING TO 9 LATE.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.05 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....56.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (55700 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................33 INCREASING TO 53 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST LATE.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................47 DECREASING TO 4 LATE.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.05 INCHES.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (32200 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................26.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.15 - 0.40 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 70.
WEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
GREIF



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