Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 231010
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
610 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

...A wet and cool end to the weekend then drying out...

.DISCUSSION...Rain showers will continue to make for wet conditions
across eastern Kentucky through early Monday morning as an area
of low pressure and cold front remain nearby. Areas nearer the
Tennessee and Virginia borders will see the highest rainfall
amounts through the weekend, before warmer and drier conditions
return into the upcoming week.

KYZ044-050>052-232030-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, and Morehead
610 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Isolated rain showers in the
                    morning, then scattered rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......5-10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......20-25 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....35.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (35100 knot-ft).
ADI.................19 increasing to 36 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.10 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......0-5 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................36 decreasing to 9 late.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.05 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Isolated rain showers.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....33.
Vent Rate...........Marginal (33000 knot-ft).
ADI.................32.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.05 inches.


$$

KYZ058>060-068-069-104-106>109-111-112-114-119-232030-
Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-Jackson-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-
Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Breathitt-Owsley-Martin-
Including the cities of Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton,
Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Sandy Hook,
West Liberty, Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville,
Jackson, Booneville, and Inez
610 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Scattered rain showers and patchy
                    drizzle in the morning, then numerous rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........70-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......10-15 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....27.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27500 knot-ft).
ADI.................19 increasing to 32 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......70 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 - 0.70 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Scattered rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......0-5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......0-5 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................31 decreasing to 11 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......60 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.05 - 0.35 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers in the
                    morning, then isolated rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......10-15 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......20-25 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....26.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25900 knot-ft).
ADI.................28.
LVORI...............4.
Prob of precip......40 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.05 inches.


$$

KYZ079-080-083>088-110-113-115>118-120-232030-
Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Floyd-
Knott-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello,
Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville,
Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Prestonsburg,
Wheelwright, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Hazard, Manchester, Hyden,
Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville,
and South Williamson
610 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Periods of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........75-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion Index....28.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27900 knot-ft).
ADI.................20 increasing to 33 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......90 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.30 - 1.20 inches.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Numerous rain showers in the evening,
                    then scattered rain showers.
Min Temperature.....Upper 40s.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........95 percent.
   24 hr trend......0-5 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
ADI.................33 decreasing to 12 late.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......80 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.10 - 0.50 inches.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers in the
                    morning. Isolated rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......10-15 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......30-35 percent drier.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Dispersion Index....22.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22000 knot-ft).
ADI.................22.
LVORI...............5.
Prob of precip......30 percent.
QPF (inches)........0.00 - 0.05 inches.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South
winds around 5 mph in the evening.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 80. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a slight chance of showers or
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$
GREIF



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