Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 242041
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
441 PM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT SOON AND THEN SHOULD BE
RISING AS A FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA THIS EVENING. SOME WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA FROM NEAR DAWN THROUGH
THE EARLY AFTERNOON TOMORROW. AROUND A QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH OF
RAIN IS EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM. SOME ISOLATED LOCATIONS MAY SEE
MORE IS A THUNDERSTORM MOVES DIRECTLY OVER THE AREA. WINDS WILL PICK
UP JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE EARLY MORNING. THE RH WILL BE MUCH
HIGHER TOMORROW AND WITH THE RAIN...SHOULD HELP TO GET ANY EXISTING
FIRES UNDER CONTROL. MIN RH WILL BE IN THE 30S AGAIN THIS WEEKEND.


KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-251345-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
441 PM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.09 - 0.38 INCHES.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....109.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (108800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.11 - 0.45 INCHES.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-47.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-78 PERCENT RIDGES 90-100 PERCENT VALLEYS.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....168.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (168400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE AT NIGHT.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 60.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
JJ





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