Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 232336 AAA
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth...UPDATED
National Weather Service Memphis TN
636 PM CDT Tue May 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move across the area tonight, bringing chances
for showers and thunderstorms. The front will move through the
area by tomorrow morning, but an upper level storm system will be
dropping down across the area from the north, keeping
precipitation chances in the forecast through Wednesday night.
Thursday will be dry, but by Friday rain chances will return, and
the weekend is expected to remain quite wet as a frontal system
stalls across the region.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-241115-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Lawrence-Mississippi-Pemiscot-
Poinsett-Randolph-
636 PM CDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     60           40           20           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        showers      NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.06         0.07         0.01         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      6            2            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      55 (-5)      68 (-7)      52           77
RH % (24h Trend)      93 (0)       56 (+9)      92           48
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                NW 5-9                    W 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   NW 3-7       NW 7-11      NW 5-9       SW 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1066                      1573
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                3496                      5161
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1152                      1659
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                3781                      5443
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NW  5                     W  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 10                     W 13
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5760                      9954
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              60                        64
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NW  7                     W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NW 16                     W 16
Dispersion Index      21           34           23           37
LAL                   3            3            2            1
LASI                  3            3            3            3
Stability             D            C            E            B
Stagnation Index      0            0            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-241115-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
636 PM CDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     60           30           20           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        showers      NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.12         0.06         0.01         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      6            2            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      56 (-5)      70 (-6)      53           77
RH % (24h Trend)      92 (0)       54 (+7)      89           45
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                NW 4-8                    W 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   NW 3-7       NW 7-11      NW 4-8       SW 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1799                      1511
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                5903                      4956
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1861                      1572
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6106                      5159
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  6                      W  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 14                      W 13
Vent Index (m2/s)                  11166                     9432
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              62                        66
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NW  7                     W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NW 15                     W 15
Dispersion Index      35           43           24           35
LAL                   3            3            2            1
LASI                  3            3            3            4
Stability             D            C            E            B
Stagnation Index      0            0            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-241115-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
636 PM CDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Chance (%)     70           50           20           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        showers      NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.11         0.20         0.02         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      5            3            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      57 (-5)      68 (-8)      51           74
RH % (24h Trend)      96 (0)       60 (+14)     96           52
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                NW 4-8                    W 4-8
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   W 2-6        NW 6-10      W 3-7        W 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1764                      1579
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                5786                      5180
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1885                      1700
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6183                      5577
Transport Wnd (m/s)                NW  6                     W  7
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 13                     W 16
Vent Index (m2/s)                  11310                     11900
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              59                        62
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               W  7                      W  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               W 15                      W 17
Dispersion Index      24           35           17           42
LAL                   3            3            2            1
LASI                  3            3            3            3
Stability             D            C            E            B
Stagnation Index      0            0            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-241115-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
636 PM CDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     70           40           20           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        showers      NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.14         0.14         0.01         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      5            3            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      57 (-5)      69 (-7)      51           75
RH % (24h Trend)      97 (-1)      60 (+11)     95           50
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                NW 4-8                    W 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   W 2-6        W 6-10       W 3-7        W 5-9
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1749                      1598
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                5739                      5243
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 1870                      1719
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6136                      5640
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  6                      W  7
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 13                      W 15
Vent Index (m2/s)                  11220                     12033
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              59                        63
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               W  7                      W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               W 15                      W 16
Dispersion Index      23           38           20           39
LAL                   3            3            2            1
LASI                  3            3            3            3
Stability             D            C            E            B
Stagnation Index      0            0            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-241115-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
636 PM CDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     60           40           20           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        showers      NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.24         0.09         0.01         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      8            3            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      57 (-7)      71 (-5)      52           76
RH % (24h Trend)      95 (-3)      56 (+6)      94           46
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                NW 4-8                    W 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   W 2-6        W 6-10       W 3-7        SW 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 2128                      1611
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                6981                      5284
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 2200                      1683
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                7217                      5520
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  7                      W  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 15                      W 14
Vent Index (m2/s)                  15400                     10098
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              61                        66
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               NW  7                     W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               NW 15                     W 15
Dispersion Index      38           51           25           38
LAL                   3            3            2            1
LASI                  3            3            3            3
Stability             D            C            E            B
Stagnation Index      0            0            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-241115-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
636 PM CDT Tue May 23 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Precip Chance (%)     60           40           20           0
Precip Type           tstms        tstms        showers      NONE
Precip Amount (in)    0.29         0.14         0.01         0.00
Precip Dur (hrs)      5            3            1
Precip Begins         6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip Ends           Continuing   Continuing   1 AM
Temp (24h Trend)      58 (-5)      70 (-6)      51           76
RH % (24h Trend)      96 (-3)      55 (+2)      93           45
AM 20 ft Wind (mph)                NW 4-8                    W 3-7
PM 20 ft Wind (mph)   Lgt/Var      W 5-9        W 3-7        W 4-8
Mixing Hgt (m-agl)                 1939                      1740
Mixing Hgt (ft-agl)                6361                      5710
Mixing Hgt (m-msl)                 2063                      1864
Mixing Hgt (ft-msl)                6767                      6116
Transport Wnd (m/s)                W  7                      W  6
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 15                      W 14
Vent Index (m2/s)                  14441                     11184
Category Day                       4                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              61                        64
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               W  7                      W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               W 16                      W 15
Dispersion Index      27           48           24           40
LAL                   3            3            2            1
LASI                  4            3            3            3
Stability             D            B            E            B
Stagnation Index      0            0            0            0

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds around 5 mph.

$$



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