Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 221142
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
542 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH TUESDAY AND A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK ALONG THE FRONT JUST EAST OF
THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SCENARIO WILL PROVIDE A HIGH
CHANCE OF RAIN LATER TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY ALONG WITH
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
ALONG THE GULF COAST.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-222300-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
542 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     40           50           40
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.12         0.14         0.06
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            2            2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      55 (+6)      45 (+8)      53
RH % (24H TREND)      78 (+15)     100 (+2)     55
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 7-11                   SW 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 8-12       SW 7-11      W 2-6
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    394                       783
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1291                      2569
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    479                       869
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1572                      2851
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  9                      W  1
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      W  2
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     4311                      869
CATEGORY DAY          3                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 55                        51
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S 12                      W  4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 26                      W  9
DISPERSION INDEX      38           48           24
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  2            3            4
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      1            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH
71 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...THEN A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-222300-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
542 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     40           50           50
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.06         0.20         0.12
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            2            2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      58 (+4)      47 (+7)      55
RH % (24H TREND)      78 (+25)     100 (+1)     55
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 7-11                    LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 9-13       SW 6-10      LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    476                       773
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1563                      2536
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    539                       835
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1767                      2739
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  8                      N  2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      N  3
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     4312                      1670
CATEGORY DAY          3                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 57                        53
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S 11                      N  3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 25                      N  7
DISPERSION INDEX      39           40           15
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  2            3            3
STABILITY             D            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      1            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN LIKELY...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH
69 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
50. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-222300-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
542 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     40           70           60
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.05         0.29         0.12
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            9            9
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      56 (+6)      49 (+16)     57
RH % (24H TREND)      73 (+21)     100 (+1)     53
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 5-9                    SW 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 8-12      S 8-12       LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    300                       586
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   985                       1924
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    421                       707
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1382                      2321
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  8                      W  3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      W  7
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3368                      2121
CATEGORY DAY          2                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 54                        52
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S 12                      W  4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 26                      W  9
DISPERSION INDEX      29           39           23
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  2            2            3
STABILITY             D            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      1            2            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-222300-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
542 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     40           70           60
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.04         0.30         0.15
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            9            9
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      58 (+4)      50 (+15)     58
RH % (24H TREND)      74 (+27)     100 (+2)     51
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 5-9                    W 2-6
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 8-12      S 7-11       LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    326                       634
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1068                      2079
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    447                       755
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1465                      2476
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  8                      NW  2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      NW  3
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3576                      1510
CATEGORY DAY          2                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 55                        53
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S 11                      NW  3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 25                      NW  7
DISPERSION INDEX      31           35           16
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  2            2            3
STABILITY             D            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      1            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
50. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-222300-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
542 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     40           60           60
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.03         0.31         0.17
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            9            9
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      59 (+3)      50 (+11)     60
RH % (24H TREND)      76 (+26)     100 (+1)     53
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 6-10                   LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   S 9-13 G18   S 6-10       N 2-6
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    483                       764
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   1583                      2506
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    554                       836
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1818                      2742
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  8                      NE  2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      NE  5
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     4432                      1672
CATEGORY DAY          3                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 59                        56
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S 10                      N  3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 23                      N  7
DISPERSION INDEX      33           34           14
LAL                   1            3            2
LASI                  2            3            2
STABILITY             D            D            D
STAGNATION INDEX      1            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-222300-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
542 AM CST MON DEC 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     40           70           70
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.02         0.23         0.26
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2            9            9
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS           CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      59 (+4)      52 (+13)     62
RH % (24H TREND)      73 (+19)     100 (+2)     55
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 5-9                    LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   SE 6-10      S 7-11       N 2-6
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    246                       610
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   807                       2000
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    370                       733
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   1214                      2406
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   SE  6                     N  2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     N  3
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2220                      1466
CATEGORY DAY          2                         1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 57                        57
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  S 10                      N  3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  S 22                      N  6
DISPERSION INDEX      23           25           12
LAL                   1            3            2
LASI                  2            2            2
STABILITY             D            D            C
STAGNATION INDEX      2            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...RAIN...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN.
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SWC



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