Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
000
FNUS54 KMRX 241958
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
358 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THIS EVENING AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES
NORTHEAST ACROSS REGION. PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF FROM
WEST TO EAST ON THURSDAY...LEADING TO A DRY COOL THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY WITH DRY
CONDITIONS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-252100-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
358 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (-4)   58-63 (-9)   48-53        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (-1)  67-72 (-1)   95-100       43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 13 G32                 W  8 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G24    SW 14 G32    W  9 G26     W  8 G17
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           80           40           0
Precip duration       2            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   5 AM
Precip amount         0.15         0.25         0.09         0.00
LAL                   4            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6200                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)                W 28                      W 14
Dispersion                         102 Very good             25 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 17 G32                 W 10 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 13 G24    SW 17 G32    W 11 G26     W  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
near 60. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper
70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-252100-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
358 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (-6)   57-62 (-9)   48-53        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-2)   60-65 (-7)   95-100       41-46
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 12 G30                  W  9 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G24    W 14 G36     W 12 G34     W  8 G20
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           80           30           0
Precip duration       3            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 AM
Precip amount         0.16         0.20         0.05         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7300                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)                W 30                      W 15
Dispersion                         120 Very good             17 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 15 G30                  W 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 12 G24    W 18 G36     W 16 G34     W 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-252100-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
358 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (-7)   59-64 (-6)   48-53        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (-5)   56-61 (-7)   87-92        40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 13 G34                  W  7 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 10 G26     W 15 G36     W 10 G26     W  8 G19
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           60           20           0
Precip duration       2            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   2 AM
Precip amount         0.09         0.16         0.01         0.00
LAL                   4            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7500                      4400
Transport wnd (mph)                W 28                      W 13
Dispersion                         105 Very good             13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 17 G34                  W  9 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 12 G26     W 19 G36     W 12 G26     W 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s
to lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper
70s. North winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-252100-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
358 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (-10)  65-70 (-1)   48-53        76-81
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+1)  46-51 (-20)  94-99        42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 11 G27                  SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  8 G19     W 13 G29     W  6 G21     SW  8 G17
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     50           40           0            0
Precip duration       1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.05         0.10         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7400                      4200
Transport wnd (mph)                W 23                      W 10
Dispersion                         107 Very good             18 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 14 G27                  SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  9 G19     W 16 G29     W  8 G21     SW 10 G17

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. North winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-252100-
Nantahala National Forest-
358 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MClear       MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-10)  63-68 (-2)   46-51        75-80
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  48-53 (-22)  95-100       43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G25                  W  5 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G20     W 13 G30     W  6 G21     W  8 G19
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        showers      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.10         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8000                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 10
DISPERSION                         118 Very good             16 Gen poor
MAX LVORI                          4                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G25                  W  6 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W 16 G30     W  8 G21     W 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper
70s. North winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-252100-
East Tennessee District East-
358 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (-4)   61-66 (-9)   50-55        75-80
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (-3)   61-66 (-1)   93-98        42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 14 G33                 W  7 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G29    SW 13 G30    W  8 G22     W  7 G15
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     50           70           20           0
Precip duration       1            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   5 AM
Precip amount         0.12         0.18         0.02         0.00
LAL                   4            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5900                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)                W 30                      W 13
Dispersion                         114 Very good             29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 17 G33                 W  8
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 12 G29    SW 16 G30    W 10 G22     W  9

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper
70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-252100-
East Tennessee District West-
358 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (-6)   65-70 (-3)   50-55        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-2)   50-55 (-13)  91-96        42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 12 G29                 SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  9 G26     W 13 G30     W  5 G20     SW  7 G16
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     50           60           0            0
Precip duration       1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.06         0.14         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6200                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)                W 28                      SW 10
Dispersion                         117 Very good             26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 16 G29                 SW  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 12 G26     W 16 G30     W  7 G20     SW  9 G16

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-252100-
Cumberland District South-
358 PM EDT Wed May 24 2017 /258 PM CDT Wed May 24 2017/

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      48-53 (-9)   68-73 (+1)   50-55        79-84
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (-1)  44-49 (-18)  93-98        42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 11 G29                  SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  7 G24     W 13 G29     W  5 G18     SW  8 G19
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     50           30           0            0
Precip duration       1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.04         0.05         0.00         0.00
LAL                   3            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6600                      4200
Transport wnd (mph)                W 23                      SW 12
Dispersion                         106 Very good             31 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 14 G29                  SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  9 G24     W 16 G29     W  6 G18     SW 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. North winds less than 10 mph.

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.