Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 171959
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
259 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT. GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A
BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER
SYSTEM MOVES IN THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGHOUT THE WORK WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
259 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-3)   51-56 (-8)   34-39        54-59
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  54-59 (-20)  76-81        41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G20                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G23     W  7 G19     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            40
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                     CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.01         0.00         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      S 13
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G20                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G23     W  8 G19     LGT/VAR      SE  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
259 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-2)   50-55 (-9)   33-38        52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  52-57 (-17)  75-80        40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G26                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G25     NW  8 G22    LGT/VAR      S  6 G19
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            40
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                7 AM
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                     CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.01         0.00         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     S 14
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G26                 S  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G25     NW 10 G22    LGT/VAR      S  7 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-182100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
259 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-7)   51-56 (-9)   37-42        53-58
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 42-47 (-21)  81-86        46-51
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G24                 S  8 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G28    NW  6 G17    LGT/VAR      S  9 G28
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           50
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   3 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.01         0.01         0.14
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     S 15
DISPERSION                         10 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G24                 S  9 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G28    NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      S 12 G28

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-182100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
259 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-2)   55-60 (-7)   42-47        58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  52-57 (-17)  82-87        52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 S  6 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G21    NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  9 G23
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           40           60
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.01         0.02         0.18
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      2500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     S 15
DISPERSION                         7 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 S  8 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G21    NW  6        LGT/VAR      S 12 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-182100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
259 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    55-60 (-5)   43-48        58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  53-58 (-19)  82-87        54-59
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G20    NW  5        LGT/VAR      S  8 G19
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           30           60
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.01         0.02         0.14
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     S 14
DISPERSION                         10 POOR
MAX LVORI                          5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 SE  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    NW  7        LGT/VAR      S 10 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
259 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-4)   53-58 (-9)   35-40        55-60
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  53-58 (-14)  81-86        49-54
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G18                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G19    W  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            40
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                     CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.01         0.00         0.10
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      2500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      SE 13
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G18                  LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SE  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
259 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   54-59 (-8)   40-45        56-61
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  52-57 (-17)  87-92        56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5 G15                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G21    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5 G16
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           20           60
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   3 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.01         0.01         0.21
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      2300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      S 12
DISPERSION                         7 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 SE  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G21    W  5         LGT/VAR      SE  6 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-182100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
259 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017 /159 PM CST TUE JAN 17 2017/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-6)   56-61 (-8)   44-49        59-64
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  56-61 (-17)  89-94        60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G21    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           50           70
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.01         0.06         0.33
LAL                   1            1            1            2
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2500                      2000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      S 15
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7                      LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G21    N  5         LGT/VAR      S 10 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$



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