Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 031840
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
240 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A
THUNDERSTORM EACH DAY...WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED EACH DAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-041945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
240 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-8)   59-64 (-5)   39-44        49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  46-51 (-9)   88-93        57-62
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    W  5         NW  8 G16
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.10         0.13
LAL                   1            2            2            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7800                      6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW 18
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   62 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G16                  NW  8 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    W  7         NW 10 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-041945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-9)   56-61 (-8)   36-41        48-53
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+3)   43-48 (-12)  92-97        54-59
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      NW  8 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        W  8         W  6         W 10 G19
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.06         0.12         0.09
LAL                   1            1            2            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      6600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 22
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   72 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  NW 10 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G15    W 10 G18     W  8 G17     W 12 G24

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-041945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
240 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-10)  55-60 (-9)   35-40        48-53
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+4)   40-45 (-16)  95-100       52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      NW  8 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     W  7         NW 10 G18
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           60           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.09         0.17         0.05
LAL                   1            1            2            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8200                      7000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW 22
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G17                  NW  9 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        W 11 G21     W  9 G18     NW 12 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-041945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-10)  61-66 (-6)   39-44        52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   40-45 (-13)  89-94        48-53
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         NW  6        NW  9
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           20
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.11         0.02
LAL                   1            1            2            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      NW 22
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               82 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  NW  9 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     NW  7 G17    NW 12 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-041945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
240 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-10)  60-65 (-9)   38-43        52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-1)   42-47 (-7)   92-97        48-53
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         NW  5        NW 10 G18
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           20
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.06         0.10         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                      7100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW 24
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               100 GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     NW 11 G22
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     NW  6        NW 13 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-041945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
240 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-8)   61-66 (-5)   40-45        52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+2)   42-47 (-13)  85-90        51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      W  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     W  5         W  9
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           60           50
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.08         0.13         0.08
LAL                   1            2            2            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W 20
DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   73 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  W  9 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G21     W  6         W 11 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-041945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
240 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-8)   62-67 (-3)   41-46        53-58
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-2)   39-44 (-14)  84-89        47-52
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     W  5         NW  8
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           40           30
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.07         0.03
LAL                   1            2            2            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      5500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW 17
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   65 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  NW  7 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     W  7 G15     NW 10 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-041945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
240 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016 /140 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-8)   63-68 (-4)   41-46        55-60
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-2)   37-42 (-15)  86-91        44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     NW  6        NW 10
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           30           0
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   5 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.04         0.00
LAL                   1            2            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      NW 22
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               79 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  NW  9 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        W 11 G22     NW  8 G18    NW 12 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$



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