Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 260845
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
345 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON
BRINGING SUNNY SKIES AND NEAR SEASONAL HIGH TEMPERATURES. INCREASED
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON
AS ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY.
.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-270945-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
345 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (-8)   29-34 (+7)   52-57
RH % (24h trend)      20-25 (-16)  63-68 (-12)  31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  5                      S  5 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    7 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6400                      4400
Transport wnd (mph)   W 14                      S 14
Dispersion            50 Gen good               28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  6                      S  7 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S 11 G20

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 60s
to lower 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Much colder. Lows
around 30. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 30s
to upper 40s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-270945-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
345 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      42-47 (-10)  29-34 (+9)   49-54
RH % (24h trend)      19-24 (-15)  64-69 (-10)  30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  7 G19                 SE  6 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      S  9 G21
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    7 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6500                      4800
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 17                     S 17
Dispersion            54 Gen good               30 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW  8 G19                 SE  7 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  6         S  5         S 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
lower to mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to 70s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Much colder.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 50s. West
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 30s
to lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-270945-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
345 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (-5)   31-36 (+11)  50-55
RH % (24h trend)      18-23 (-16)  55-60 (-14)  31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G24
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    7 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6600                      5200
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 12                     S 18
Dispersion            35 Fair                   33 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW  5                     S  8 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5         S  5         S 12 G24

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s
to lower 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 50s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph shifting to
the southwest in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Much colder. Lows in the upper 20s.
Highs in the mid 30s to lower 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s to
lower 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-270945-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
345 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (-1)   34-39 (+11)  53-58
RH % (24h trend)      15-20 (-12)  57-62 (-11)  38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G21
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            70
Precip duration                                 3
Precip begin                                    7 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.13
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5900                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  9                     S 21
Dispersion            30 Fair                   34 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  5                      SE  9 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 60s
to lower 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the upper 30s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper
30s to mid 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-270945-
Nantahala National Forest-
345 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

CLOUD COVER           MClear       PCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   31-36 (+9)   52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      15-20 (-14)  66-71 (-4)   40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G19
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70
PRECIP DURATION                                 3
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM
PRECIP END                                      Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      4600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     SE 18
DISPERSION            47 Gen good               38 Fair
MAX LVORI             2                         2
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      SE  8 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G19

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 50s to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 60s
to lower 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows around 30. Highs in the
40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-270945-
East Tennessee District East-
345 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (-6)   30-35 (+7)   54-59
RH % (24h trend)      20-25 (-12)  64-69 (-12)  32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G16
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    7 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5700                      3500
Transport wnd (mph)   W 10                      S 13
Dispersion            36 Fair                   21 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  5                      SE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph
shifting to the southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 60s
to 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Much cooler.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-270945-
East Tennessee District West-
345 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      48-53 (-1)   33-38 (+9)   53-58
RH % (24h trend)      18-23 (-13)  61-66 (-10)  36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G17
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    7 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.06
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5300                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  5                     S 14
Dispersion            18 Gen poor               23 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-270945-
Cumberland District South-
345 AM EST Sun Feb 26 2017 /245 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (+1)   35-40 (+11)  53-58
RH % (24h trend)      17-22 (-12)  63-68 (-6)   42-47
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G20
Precip type           NONE         NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            40
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    7 AM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.13
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4600                      3000
Transport wnd (mph)   N  3                      S 18
Dispersion            11 Poor                   29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 11 G20

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows near 50. South winds up to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$



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