Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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643
FNUS55 KPSR 141205
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
505 AM MST SUN FEB 14 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION...BRINGING
PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS AND LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS TO THE LOWER
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY TODAY AND MONDAY. EXPECT LIGHT SURFACE WINDS
AND MARGINAL DISPERSION ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA...WITH BETTER
TRANSPORT WINDS OVER SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND THE LOWER COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS THROUGH MID-WEEK...KEEPING
TEMPERATURES WARM AND DAYTIME HUMIDITY LEVELS IN THE TEENS.

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND IN
THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-151300-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
505 AM MST SUN FEB 14 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................79-83.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................9-14 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......2600 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......NORTH 4 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........POOR TO MARGINAL.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................45-55.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................28-51 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. EXPECT LIGHT DIURNALLY
  DRIVEN SURFACE WINDS AND MARGINAL DISPERSION ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL
  ARIZONA...AND BETTER TRANSPORT WINDS OVER SOUTHEAST CALIFONRIA AND
  THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY TODAY.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................79-84.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-18 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......5000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......NORTHEAST 3 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........MARGINAL.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 46-56. HIGHS 81-87. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 46-56. HIGHS 82-88. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 46-56. HIGHS 74-81. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 46-56. HIGHS 76-82.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 47-57. HIGHS 79-85.

$$

AZZ133-151300-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
505 AM MST SUN FEB 14 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................68-79.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-17 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................37-50.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................39-60 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................67-81.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................14-20 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 38-54. HIGHS 72-84. EAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 40-54. HIGHS 72-85. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 40-54. HIGHS 67-78. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 40-54. HIGHS 68-79.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41-54. HIGHS 71-82.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-151300-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
505 AM MST SUN FEB 14 2016 /405 AM PST SUN FEB 14 2016/

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................81-85.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................7-12 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........3700 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTH 20 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................48-56.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................30-54 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................81-85.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-20 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........3900 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTH 13 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 46-56. HIGHS 82-86. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 46-58. HIGHS 82-86. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 46-58. HIGHS 75-80. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 46-56. HIGHS 77-81.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 46-57. HIGHS 80-84.

$$

CAZ230-151300-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
405 AM PST SUN FEB 14 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................71-82.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................9-14 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................42-50.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................48-67 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................22 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................69-82.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................18-26 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................11 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 44-52. HIGHS 73-83. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 43-53. HIGHS 71-83. SOUTH WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 41-53. HIGHS 62-74. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41-49. HIGHS 66-78.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41-50. HIGHS 69-79.

$$

CAZ232-151300-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
405 AM PST SUN FEB 14 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................80-86.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................50-57.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................36-52 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................10 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................79-87.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-21 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 49-57. HIGHS 80-87. NORTH WINDS 10 TO
20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 49-57. HIGHS 80-87. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 48-57. HIGHS 72-79. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 48-55. HIGHS 74-81.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 49-56. HIGHS 77-85.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...SUNDAY FEBRUARY 21ST THROUGH TUESDAY FEBRUARY
23RD...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.



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