Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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000
FNUS55 KPSR 202212
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
312 PM MST WED AUG 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE...ALONG WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE
ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY...WITH A DRIER TREND EXPECTED FRIDAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED...GRADUALLY
TRENDING DOWN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDS SHOULD BE LIGHT DURING THE
PERIOD...FOLLOWING TYPICAL DIURNAL PATTERNS.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-211015-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
312 PM MST WED AUG 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................72-82.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................53-68 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-97.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................30-38 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................3.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......7000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 6 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................70-80.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................62-76 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................9 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................3 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 2
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................92-99.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................25-33 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......10400 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 10 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........EXCELLENT.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 73-83. HIGHS 94-102. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 74-84. HIGHS 97-105. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 75-85. HIGHS 97-105. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 75-85. HIGHS 97-105.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 75-85. HIGHS 95-103.

$$

AZZ133-211015-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
312 PM MST WED AUG 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................60-71.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................55-68 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................28 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-92.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................36-48 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 3 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................56-69.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................66-83 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................13 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................3 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 2
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................79-94.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................27-37 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................10 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 60-74. HIGHS 81-96. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 61-74. HIGHS 83-98. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 62-75. HIGHS 83-99. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 62-75. HIGHS 82-98.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 62-76. HIGHS 81-97.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-211015-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
312 PM MST WED AUG 20 2014 /312 PM PDT WED AUG 20 2014/

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................75-79.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................52-60 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................92-99.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................28-35 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................3.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........11500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 9 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............EXCELLENT.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................74-78.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................58-69 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................94-100.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................23-30 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........9300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHWEST 8 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 76-80. HIGHS 97-102. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 77-81. HIGHS 99-105. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 78-82. HIGHS 99-105. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 79-83. HIGHS 99-106.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 79-83. HIGHS 98-104.

$$

CAZ230-211015-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
312 PM PDT WED AUG 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................62-74.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................44-54 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................78-94.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................22-31 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 3 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................61-73.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................51-62 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................80-95.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................23-31 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 63-76. HIGHS 82-97. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 64-77. HIGHS 84-99. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 65-80. HIGHS 84-100. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 68-80. HIGHS 85-100.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 69-81. HIGHS 84-100.

$$

CAZ232-211015-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
312 PM PDT WED AUG 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................75-80.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................43-54 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................88-98.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................23-31 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................3.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................74-80.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................49-62 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 10 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................90-101.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................23-31 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 76-81. HIGHS 93-103. WEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 76-82. HIGHS 94-104. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 77-83. HIGHS 95-105. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 80-84. HIGHS 95-105.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 80-85. HIGHS 94-104.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...THURSDAY AUGUST 28TH THROUGH SATURDAY AUGUST
30TH...NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.




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