Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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986
FNUS86 KLOX 231658
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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
958 AM PDT Mon Oct 23 2017

ECC029-241100-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
958 AM PDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA
BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY...

A prolonged moderate to locally strong Santa Ana wind event will
bring windy, hot and very dry conditions through Wednesday to much
of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. For today...Sustained 15 to
25 mph and gusts to 40 mph will be common in the wind prone coastal
and valley areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, with sustained
20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph common in the mountains. Winds
peak on Tuesday...about 5 to 10 mph stronger than today. Weaker but
gusty winds on Wednesday should be about 5 to 10 mph weaker than
today. Minimum humidities of 5 to 10 percent will be common through
Wednesday, with poor overnight recoveries. Widespread record
breaking heat will exasperate the situation, with highs between
95 and 105 common and lows between 65 and 75 common. Some windy and
hilly locations may only drop into the 80s at night. With these
prolonged  weather conditions, and the very dry fuels, extreme fire
behavior is likely if any fire ignition begins. A Red Flag Warning
will remain  in effect through Wednesday as a result. Over San Luis
Obispo and  Santa Barbara Counties, similar heat and dry air is
expected, but  easterly winds peaked on Sunday and should locally
gust between 20  and 30 mph in the wind prone areas. As such,
elevated fire weather  conditions exist there.

The winds will weaken significantly with more onshore influence
Thursday through Saturday, but warm and dry conditions will continue
away from the coast with elevated fire concerns.


...Discussion from Monterey...

...Hot and dry with offshore winds at least through Tuesday...

Light to moderate offshore wind event is developing this morning
with the strongest winds confined to the north and east bay hills.
Expect near or record high temperatures by this afternoon with
lowering humidity as dry northeast winds will begin to ease by later
this afternoon. Generally light offshore winds will continue tonight
into Tuesday with little or no humidity recovery for the hills. Hot
and dry conditions persist into Tuesday afternoon with single digit
humidity possible for Monterey and San Benito. Warm conditions
persist Wednesday and Thursday  but offshore winds will begin to
ease by then. Long range trends  keep high pressure with above
normal temperatures and dry  conditions through the end of the
month.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



$$

ECC028-241100-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
958 AM PDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA
BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY...

A prolonged moderate to locally strong Santa Ana wind event will
bring windy, hot and very dry conditions through Wednesday to much
of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. For today...Sustained 15 to
25 mph and gusts to 40 mph will be common in the wind prone coastal
and valley areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, with sustained
20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph common in the mountains. Winds
peak on Tuesday...about 5 to 10 mph stronger than today. Weaker but
gusty winds on Wednesday should be about 5 to 10 mph weaker than
today. Minimum humidities of 5 to 10 percent will be common through
Wednesday, with poor overnight recoveries. Widespread record
breaking heat will exasperate the situation, with highs between
95 and 105 common and lows between 65 and 75 common. Some windy and
hilly locations may only drop into the 80s at night. With these
prolonged  weather conditions, and the very dry fuels, extreme fire
behavior is likely if any fire ignition begins. A Red Flag Warning
will remain  in effect through Wednesday as a result. Over San Luis
Obispo and  Santa Barbara Counties, similar heat and dry air is
expected, but  easterly winds peaked on Sunday and should locally
gust between 20  and 30 mph in the wind prone areas. As such,
elevated fire weather  conditions exist there.

The winds will weaken significantly with more onshore influence
Thursday through Saturday, but warm and dry conditions will continue
away from the coast with elevated fire concerns.


$$

ECC031-241100-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
958 AM PDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA
BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY...

A prolonged moderate to locally strong Santa Ana wind event will
bring windy, hot and very dry conditions through Wednesday to much
of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. For today...Sustained 15 to
25 mph and gusts to 40 mph will be common in the wind prone coastal
and valley areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, with sustained
20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph common in the mountains. Winds
peak on Tuesday...about 5 to 10 mph stronger than today. Weaker but
gusty winds on Wednesday should be about 5 to 10 mph weaker than
today. Minimum humidities of 5 to 10 percent will be common through
Wednesday, with poor overnight recoveries. Widespread record
breaking heat will exasperate the situation, with highs between
95 and 105 common and lows between 65 and 75 common. Some windy and
hilly locations may only drop into the 80s at night. With these
prolonged  weather conditions, and the very dry fuels, extreme fire
behavior is likely if any fire ignition begins. A Red Flag Warning
will remain  in effect through Wednesday as a result. Over San Luis
Obispo and  Santa Barbara Counties, similar heat and dry air is
expected, but  easterly winds peaked on Sunday and should locally
gust between 20  and 30 mph in the wind prone areas. As such,
elevated fire weather  conditions exist there.

The winds will weaken significantly with more onshore influence
Thursday through Saturday, but warm and dry conditions will continue
away from the coast with elevated fire concerns.


$$

ECC024-241100-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
958 AM PDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA
BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY...

A prolonged moderate to locally strong Santa Ana wind event will
bring windy, hot and very dry conditions through Wednesday to much
of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. For today...Sustained 15 to
25 mph and gusts to 40 mph will be common in the wind prone coastal
and valley areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, with sustained
20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph common in the mountains. Winds
peak on Tuesday...about 5 to 10 mph stronger than today. Weaker but
gusty winds on Wednesday should be about 5 to 10 mph weaker than
today. Minimum humidities of 5 to 10 percent will be common through
Wednesday, with poor overnight recoveries. Widespread record
breaking heat will exasperate the situation, with highs between
95 and 105 common and lows between 65 and 75 common. Some windy and
hilly locations may only drop into the 80s at night. With these
prolonged  weather conditions, and the very dry fuels, extreme fire
behavior is likely if any fire ignition begins. A Red Flag Warning
will remain  in effect through Wednesday as a result. Over San Luis
Obispo and  Santa Barbara Counties, similar heat and dry air is
expected, but  easterly winds peaked on Sunday and should locally
gust between 20  and 30 mph in the wind prone areas. As such,
elevated fire weather  conditions exist there.

The winds will weaken significantly with more onshore influence
Thursday through Saturday, but warm and dry conditions will continue
away from the coast with elevated fire concerns.


$$

ECC032-241100-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
958 AM PDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA
BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY...

A prolonged moderate to locally strong Santa Ana wind event will
bring windy, hot and very dry conditions through Wednesday to much
of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. For today...Sustained 15 to
25 mph and gusts to 40 mph will be common in the wind prone coastal
and valley areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, with sustained
20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph common in the mountains. Winds
peak on Tuesday...about 5 to 10 mph stronger than today. Weaker but
gusty winds on Wednesday should be about 5 to 10 mph weaker than
today. Minimum humidities of 5 to 10 percent will be common through
Wednesday, with poor overnight recoveries. Widespread record
breaking heat will exasperate the situation, with highs between
95 and 105 common and lows between 65 and 75 common. Some windy and
hilly locations may only drop into the 80s at night. With these
prolonged  weather conditions, and the very dry fuels, extreme fire
behavior is likely if any fire ignition begins. A Red Flag Warning
will remain  in effect through Wednesday as a result. Over San Luis
Obispo and  Santa Barbara Counties, similar heat and dry air is
expected, but  easterly winds peaked on Sunday and should locally
gust between 20  and 30 mph in the wind prone areas. As such,
elevated fire weather  conditions exist there.

The winds will weaken significantly with more onshore influence
Thursday through Saturday, but warm and dry conditions will continue
away from the coast with elevated fire concerns.


$$

ECC030-241100-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
958 AM PDT Mon Oct 23 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT WEDNESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS...

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA
BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY...

A prolonged moderate to locally strong Santa Ana wind event will
bring windy, hot and very dry conditions through Wednesday to much
of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties. For today...Sustained 15 to
25 mph and gusts to 40 mph will be common in the wind prone coastal
and valley areas of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties, with sustained
20 to 30 mph with gusts to 50 mph common in the mountains. Winds
peak on Tuesday...about 5 to 10 mph stronger than today. Weaker but
gusty winds on Wednesday should be about 5 to 10 mph weaker than
today. Minimum humidities of 5 to 10 percent will be common through
Wednesday, with poor overnight recoveries. Widespread record
breaking heat will exasperate the situation, with highs between
95 and 105 common and lows between 65 and 75 common. Some windy and
hilly locations may only drop into the 80s at night. With these
prolonged  weather conditions, and the very dry fuels, extreme fire
behavior is likely if any fire ignition begins. A Red Flag Warning
will remain  in effect through Wednesday as a result. Over San Luis
Obispo and  Santa Barbara Counties, similar heat and dry air is
expected, but  easterly winds peaked on Sunday and should locally
gust between 20  and 30 mph in the wind prone areas. As such,
elevated fire weather  conditions exist there.

The winds will weaken significantly with more onshore influence
Thursday through Saturday, but warm and dry conditions will continue
away from the coast with elevated fire concerns.


$$



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