Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FNUS74 KAMA 151357
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast FOR SUNDAY CANYON SLASH PILE BURN...RANDALL COUNTY FIRE DEPT.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Amarillo TX
857 AM CDT Tue Aug 15 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on August 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will be possible at the burn site this afternoon
and evening. Winds will be generally around 15 mph out of the south but
they will be strong and erratic near showers and thunderstorms.

.TODAY...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (3000-42400 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent to excellent (63400-111500 knot-ft)
                    in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
LAL.................4 until 0700, then 2 until 1000, then 1 until
                    1300, then 3 until 1600, then 4.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 9 mph shifting to the south 10
                    to 18 mph late in the morning, then increasing
                    to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL increasing to 3000-4500 ft AGL
                    late in the morning, then increasing to
                    6000-7000 ft AGL in the afternoon decreasing to
                    5000 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......20 percent.

Time (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather Cov.....S CHC         S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather Type....RNSHWR NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Temp............70     76     88     91     92
RH..............84     71     48     44     43
20 Ft Wind......S 7    S 9    S 10   S 12   S 13
20 Ft Wind Gust.15     15     15     15     20
Chc of Pcpn (%).20     10     20     30     40
Haines Index....2      2      3      3      3
VentR KtFt/1000.9      42     102    107    63

.TONIGHT...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (0-25100 knot-ft).
Min temperature.....Around 68.
LAL.................4.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......50 percent.

Time (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  Midngt 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY
Weather Cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather Type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Temp............91     85     78     74     73     70
RH..............44     53     67     76     76     84
20 Ft Wind......S 13   S 13   S 12   S 10   S 10   S 10
20 Ft Wind Gust.20     20     15     15     15     15
Chc of Pcpn (%).40     50     50     50     50     50
Haines Index....3      3      3      3      3      3
VentR KtFt/1000.25     4      0      3      3      0

.WEDNESDAY...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-45000 knot-ft).
Max temperature.....Around 92.
LAL.................4 until 0700, then 1.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......0-1500 ft AGL increasing to 4000-5000 ft AGL.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
Haines Index........4 OR low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......10 percent.

Time (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  Noon   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather Cov.....CHANCE
Weather Type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Temp............68     70     79     86     91     92
RH..............87     81     58     45     38     36
20 Ft Wind......SW 10  SW 10  W 9    NW 8   NW 8   N 8
20 Ft Wind Gust.15     15     10     10     10     10
Chc of Pcpn (%).50     10     10     10     10     10
Haines Index....3      3      3      3      4      4
VentR KtFt/1000.0      5      26     39     44     45

$$
Forecaster...Goehring
Requested by...JACOB MITCHELL
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1714422.0/AMA


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