Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 230211
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WINDY SADDLE...FOOTHILLS FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
811 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1941 MDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOST OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE AREA THIS EVENING. WINDS MAY STILL BE
VARIABLE IN THE WAKE OF THESE...BUT OVERALL WINDS WILL BECOME
NORMAL DOWNSLOPE WEST/NORTHWEST IN THE BURN AREA. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE WARM OVERNIGHT WITH FAIR HUMIDITY RECOVERY.

ON SATURDAY...ANOTHER VERY WARM DAY CAN BE EXPECTED WITH LOW
HUMIDITY READINGS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...PRODUCING GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AND
MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2200...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(35-45%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........62%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 6-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2200...THEN 3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2 UNTIL
                    2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1200-2200 FT AGL AFTER
                    2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-35%) UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%)
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-25%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    EAST/SOUTHEAST 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 12600-13600 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........68%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1100-1200 FT AGL AFTER
                    2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    FAIR UNTIL 2200...THEN POOR.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........31%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    EAST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3300 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9400-10400 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WINDY SADDLE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/22-19 71 27  7 68 57 SSE  5  5 3 4 WNW  9  7373  SW  8 53175  F
07/22-20 85 37 15 67 59   S  5  5 3 4 WNW 12  5781 WSW  9 44402  F
07/22-21 69 28  8 67 56 SSW  6  6 3 4 WNW 13  4189 WSW  9 34138 P
07/22-22 53 20  4 66 58 WSW  7  7 3 3  NW 12  3274   W 12 33354 P
07/22-23 50 12  2 65 58   W  8 13 3 2 NNW 10  2359   W 14 28839 P
07/23-00 47  8  2 64 58   W  8 13 3 1 NNW  9  1444   W 16 20595 P
07/23-01 43  7  1 63 58   W  9 15 3 1 NNW  8  1338   W 17 19696 P
07/23-02 41  6  1 63 56   W 10 16 3 1 NNW  7  1231   W 17 18698 P
07/23-03 37  6  1 62 56   W 10 16 3 1 NNW  6  1125 WNW 18 17603 P
07/23-04 35  6  1 60 60   W 10 16 3 1 NNW  6  1119 WNW 17 17142 P
07/23-05 28  6  1 59 62   W  9 15 4 1  NW  5  1114 WNW 17 16685 P
07/23-06 32  2  0 60 60   W  7  7 4 1  NW  5  1109 WNW 17 16232 P
07/23-07 32  3  1 65 52   W  7  7 4 1  NW  5  4088 WNW 14 50582  F
07/23-08 32  3  1 72 43 WNW  6  6 3 1 NNW  6  7066 NNW 12 71453   G
07/23-09 29  4  1 78 36 WNW  6  6 3 1 NNW  6 10045 NNW  9 78845   G
07/23-10 29  4  1 83 30   E  6  6 3 1  NW  7 11311 NNW  8 73721   G
07/23-11 36  4  1 85 27  SE  5  5 3 1 WNW  8 12578  NW  6 65223   G
07/23-12 44  9  2 86 25  SE  5  5 3 1   W 10 13844 WNW  5 53353  F
07/23-13 51 15  3 86 25  SE  5  5 3 3   W 10 13701   W  5 55431  F
07/23-14 63 21  4 86 25  SE  5  5 3 3   W 10 13557 WSW  5 57455  F
07/23-15 63 22  4 85 27  SE  5  5 3 3   W 10 13414  SW  5 59423  F
07/23-16 65 22  4 84 29  SE  5  5 3 3   W  9 12868  SW  5 51764  F
07/23-17 67 22  4 82 31   S  3  3 3 3   W  8 12321 WSW  5 44549  F
07/23-18 68 24  5 80 33 SSW  3  3 3 3   W  7 11774   W  3 37780 P
07/23-19 68 24  5 76 38 SSW  3  3 3 3 WNW  8  8818 WSW  8 65893   G
07/23-20 68 24  5 72 45 SSW  3  3 3 3  NW 10  5862 SSW 14 68799   G
07/23-21 68 24  5 69 51 SSW  3  3 3 3  NW 12  2906 SSW 18 47199  F
07/23-22 68 24  5 66 57  SW  3  3 3 3  NW 12  2326 SSW 16 31903 P
07/23-23 68 24  5 64 61  SW  5  5 3 3 WNW 13  1747 SSW 13 19538 P
07/24-00 47  5  1 62 65 WSW  5  5 3 1   W 13  1167  SW 10 10104 P
07/24-01 47  5  1 61 66 WSW  5  5 3 1   W 12  1138  SW  9  9119 P
07/24-02 47  5  1 60 67 WSW  5  5 4 1   W 10  1108  SW  8  8171 P
07/24-03 47  5  1 59 67 WSW  5  5 4 1   W 10  1079 WSW  8  7262 P
07/24-04 47  5  1 57 68   W  5  5 4 1   W 10  1088   W  6  5824 P
07/24-05 47  5  1 56 68   W  5  5 4 1   W  9  1096 NNW  5  4362 P
07/24-06 36  6  1 57 64   W  5  5 4 1   W  9  1105   N  3  2877 P
07/24-07 36  6  1 61 59  NW  5  5 4 1   W 10  2081   N  3  5702 P
07/24-08 36  6  1 67 51 NNE  3  3 3 1   W 10  3057   N  3  8794 P
07/24-09 36  6  1 73 44  NE  3  3 3 1   W 10  4033   N  3 12151 P
07/24-10 36  6  1 77 38 ENE  5  5 3 1   W 12  5807 NNW  5 21072 P
07/24-11 36  6  1 79 34 ENE  5  5 4 1   W 13  7581  NW  5 32179 P
07/24-12 53 26  6 80 31 ENE  6  6 4 4 WNW 13  9356 WNW  6 45471  F
07/24-13 53 26  6 80 32 ENE  6  6 4 4 WNW 13  9752 WNW  5 41871  F
07/24-14 53 26  6 80 34   E  5  5 4 4 WNW 13 10148 WNW  5 37821 P
07/24-15 53 26  6 80 35   E  5  5 4 4 WNW 13 10545 WNW  3 33323 P
07/24-16 53 26  6 79 36   E  5  5 4 4 WNW 12  9926   W  3 29433 P
07/24-17 53 26  6 77 38   E  3  3 3 4  NW 10  9307   S  3 25784 P
07/24-18 54 17  3 75 40   E  3  3 3 3  NW  9  8688  SE  3 22376 P
07/24-19 54 17  3 73 44   E  3  3 3 3 NNW  8  7435 SSE  6 34024 P
07/24-20 54 17  3 70 51   E  3  3 3 3 NNW  8  6182   S  8 40657  F
07/24-21 54 17  3 67 59   E  3  3 3 3 NNW  7  4928   S 10 42274  F
07/24-22 54 17  3 64 65 ESE  3  3 3 3 NNW  6  4063   S  9 32943 P
07/24-23 54 17  3 63 66   S  3  3 3 3  NW  5  3198   S  9 24426 P
07/25-00 34  6  1 61 70  SW  3  3 3 1 WNW  5  2334 SSE  8 16723 P
07/25-01 34  6  1 60 71  SW  3  3 3 1 WNW  6  1942   S  8 14219 P
07/25-02 34  6  1 59 71 WSW  3  3 3 1  NW  6  1551 SSW  8 11593 P
07/25-03 34  6  1 58 72 WSW  3  3 3 1  NW  7  1159 SSW  9  8846 P
07/25-04 34  6  1 56 75 WSW  3  3 3 1  NW  7  1111 SSW  8  7689 P
07/25-05 34  6  1 55 76 WSW  5  5 4 1  NW  7  1063 SSW  7  6601 P
07/25-06 31  2  0 56 72 WSW  5  5 4 1  NW  6  1015  SW  6  5581 P
07/25-07 31  2  0 60 62  SW  5  5 4 1  NW  6  1864 SSW  7 11089 P
07/25-08 31  2  0 65 53   S  6  6 4 1  NW  6  2714   S  7 17358 P
07/25-09 31  2  0 71 44   S  6  6 4 1  NW  6  3564   S  8 24389 P
07/25-10 31  2  0 75 39 SSE  6  6 4 1  NW  6  6363 SSW  6 32089 P
07/25-11 31  2  0 78 35 ESE  6  6 5 1 WNW  6  9162  SW  3 29709 P
07/25-12 48 17  3 80 33   E  6  6 5 3 WNW  5 11960   CALM 17252 P
07/25-13 48 17  3 81 32   E  6  6 4 3  NW  5 12043 SSW  2 19863 P
07/25-14 48 17  3 81 32 ESE  6  6 4 3 NNW  5 12126  SE  2 22507 P
07/25-15 48 17  3 81 33 ESE  6  6 3 3   N  6 12209   E  2 25186 P
07/25-16 48 17  3 81 33  SE  5  5 3 3   N  6 11870 ESE  3 32708 P
07/25-17 48 17  3 80 35  SE  5  5 3 3 ENE  5 11531  SE  3 39760 P
07/25-18 63 14  3 79 36 SSE  5  5 3 2   E  5 11192  SE  5 46343  F

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...515 FOOTHILLS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160722.WINDY.01/BOU



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