Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
000
FNUS75 KBOU 171054
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Spruce Creek Pile Burn...BLM
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
354 AM MST Wed Jan 17 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MST on January 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Today will be warmer with continued warming aloft.
This will help to maintain a morning inversion that will keep
winds light. As a result, smoke dispersion will be poor until the
afternoon timeframe.

Better dispersion ratings will occure Friday with increasing
winds aloft thanks to an upper level jet.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny until 1600, then partly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 30.
Min humidity........37%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 4-5 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0900, then 1300-2300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 9 above.
Max humidity........89%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5-6 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL until 1800, then Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny until 0800, then partly
                    cloudy(30-35%) until 1000, then mostly sunny
                    until 1600, then partly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 35.
Min humidity........45%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 4-5 mph until 1100, then
                    variable up to 5 mph until 1400, then southwest
                    4-8 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 1200, then 1100-1400 ft
                    AGL until 1600, then Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.


Fire Weather Table for Spruce Creek Pile Burn.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

01/17-08 14  0  0  6 54 WSW  3  3 2 1          719  NW  7  3993 P
01/17-09 14  0  0 10 52 WSW  3  3 2 1          965  NW  6  5229 P
01/17-10 13  0  0 16 46   W  3  3 2 1         1210  NW  6  6398 P
01/17-11 12  0  0 22 41   W  3  3 2 1         1456  NW  6  7501 P
01/17-12 16  0  0 26 39   W  3  3 2 1         1763  NW  6  9107 P
01/17-13 19  0  0 29 37   W  3  3 2 1         2070  NW  6 10723 P
01/17-14 23  0  0 30 37   W  3  3 2 1         2376  NW  6 12349 P
01/17-15 26  0  0 29 40   W  3  3 2 1         1911 WNW  6  8992 P
01/17-16 30  0  0 27 44   W  3  3 2 1         1446 WNW  5  6093 P
01/17-17 33  0  0 24 50   W  3  3 2 1          981 WNW  5  3651 P
01/17-18 30  0  0 21 60   W  5  5 2 1          811   W  5  3209 P
01/17-19 27  0  0 19 68   W  5  5 2 1          641   W  5  2688 P
01/17-20 25  0  0 17 77   W  6  6 2 1          472   W  5  2087 P
01/17-21 22  0  0 16 79 WSW  6  6 2 1          473   W  6  2273 P
01/17-22 19  0  0 15 80 WSW  6  6 2 1          473   W  6  2460 P
01/17-23 16  0  0 14 80 WSW  6  6 2 1          474   W  7  2647 P
01/18-00 15  0  0 13 82 WSW  6  6 2 1          471   W  6  2587 P
01/18-01 14  0  0 12 85  SW  6  6 2 1          468   W  6  2527 P
01/18-02 13  0  0 11 87  SW  6  6 2 1          465   W  6  2468 P
01/18-03 17  0  0 11 86 WSW  6  6 2 1          468   W  6  2553 P
01/18-04 21  0  0 10 89 WSW  5  5 2 1          470   W  7  2638 P
01/18-05 18  0  0 10 87 WSW  5  5 2 1          472 WNW  7  2725 P
01/18-06 22  0  0  9 86 WSW  5  5 2 1          449 WNW  7  2578 P
01/18-07 29  0  0  9 83  SW  5  5 2 1          426 WNW  7  2433 P
01/18-08 32  0  0 11 76  SW  5  5 2 1          403 WNW  7  2289 P
01/18-09 31  0  0 15 69  SW  3  3 2 1          555 WNW  7  3196 P
01/18-10 28  0  0 21 60  SW  3  3 2 1          706 WNW  7  4129 P
01/18-11 27  0  0 27 53  SW  2  2 2 1          858 WNW  7  5087 P
01/18-12 25  0  0 31 49 WSW  2  2 3 1         1053   W  7  6807 P
01/18-13 20  0  0 34 46 WSW  3  3 3 1         1248   W  8  8736 P
01/18-14 17  0  0 35 45 WSW  3  3 3 1         1443 WSW  9 10873 P
01/18-15 21  0  0 35 46 WSW  3  3 3 1         1183 WSW  8  8799 P
01/18-16 30  0  0 33 49 WSW  5  5 3 1          923 WSW  8  6776 P
01/18-17 34  0  0 31 51 WSW  5  5 3 1          663 WSW  8  4803 P
01/18-18 32  0  0 29 53  SW  6  6 3 1          622 WSW  9  4807 P
01/18-19 29  0  0 27 53 SSW  7  7 4 1          581  SW  9  4772 P
01/18-20 27  0  0 26 53 SSW  8 13 4 1          540  SW 10  4696 P
01/18-21 30  0  0 26 51 SSW  8 14 4 1          519  SW 12  4958 P
01/18-22 35  0  0 25 51 SSW  9 14 3 1          499  SW 12  5186 P
01/18-23 38  0  0 25 50 SSW  9 15 3 1          479  SW 13  5380 P
01/19-00 35  0  0 24 51 SSW  9 15 3 1          497  SW 13  5666 P
01/19-01 28  0  0 23 53 SSW 10 16 3 1          516  SW 14  5957 P
01/19-02 24  0  0 22 54 SSW 10 16 3 1          535  SW 14  6254 P
01/19-03 25  0  0 22 54 SSW 10 16 3 1          585  SW 15  7533 P
01/19-04 28  0  0 23 52  SW 10 16 3 1          635  SW 16  8931 P
01/19-05 29  0  0 22 54  SW 10 16 3 1          685  SW 17 10448 P
01/19-06 26  0  0 22 54  SW 10 17 3 1          645  SW 18 10302 P
01/19-07 19  0  0 22 54  SW 12 18 2 1          604 WSW 20 10097 P
01/19-08 16  0  0 24 52  SW 12 18 2 1          564 WSW 20  9832 P
01/19-09 19  0  0 27 51  SW 12 18 2 1         1053 WSW 22 20515 P
01/19-10 24  0  0 32 48  SW 12 18 2 1         1542 WSW 25 33195 P
01/19-11 26  1  0 36 46  SW 12 18 2 1         2031 WSW 28 47872  F
01/19-12 26  1  0 38 45  SW 13 21 2 1         2168 WSW 30 57436  F
01/19-13 26  1  0 39 45  SW 15 23 2 1         2306 WSW 33 67801   G
01/19-14 26  1  0 38 48  SW 16 25 2 1         2443 WSW 37 78968   G
01/19-15 30  1  0 37 49  SW 16 26 2 1         2205 WSW 36 67990   G
01/19-16 37  1  0 36 50  SW 16 26 2 1         1968 WSW 33 57721  F
01/19-17 40  6  1 34 52  SW 16 25 2 1         1730 WSW 32 48163  F
01/19-18 40  6  1 31 56  SW 16 26 2 1         1558 WSW 29 39729 P
01/19-19 39  6  1 29 59  SW 17 28 2 1         1387 WSW 26 32101 P
01/19-20 38  6  1 28 60  SW 17 28 2 1         1216  SW 24 25277 P
01/19-21 42  6  1 27 63  SW 17 28 2 1         1104  SW 24 22893 P
01/19-22 51  6  1 27 64  SW 16 26 2 1          993  SW 24 20523 P
01/19-23 55 18  4 26 68  SW 16 25 2 1          882  SW 24 18168 P
01/20-00 56 18  4 26 69  SW 16 25 2 1          906  SW 24 19115 P
01/20-01 57 18  4 26 68  SW 15 24 2 1          931  SW 25 20086 P
01/20-02 58 18  4 25 71  SW 15 24 2 1          956  SW 25 21081 P
01/20-03 61 18  4 25 71  SW 15 23 2 1          883  SW 25 19177 P
01/20-04 66 18  4 24 74  SW 14 23 2 1          810  SW 24 17321 P
01/20-05 69 28  8 24 74  SW 14 22 2 1          737  SW 24 15514 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BOWEN
REQUESTED BY...CW Portell
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800458.0/BOU



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.