Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS71 KCTP 211107
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 80 Monroe Valley 1...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
607 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on February 21.

If conditions become unrepresentative...
contact the National Weather Service in State College.

.DISCUSSION...
A weak cold front will push into the far northwest part of
the state late today, before sagging slowly southeast
across the rest of the region tonight and early Wednesday.
This weather feature will be preceded, and accompanied by
one or two brief periods of mainly light rain showers.

For the second half of this week, unseasonably mild
air will push back into the district from the southwest,
as a wavering and nearly stationary frontal boundary stays just
to our north.

Strengthening low pressure will move northeast across the
Upper Great Lakes late Friday into early Saturday. The cold
front trailing south from this low will bring showers, and
perhaps even a few...to several hour period of steady rain
during the day Saturday. Gusty west wind of 35 to 45 mph
will likely develop in the wake of the front Saturday into
Saturday night.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds...becoming south 5 to
                    6 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......200-2000 ft AGL...increasing to 1600-2400 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 14 mph...increasing to 13 to 16 mph
                    early in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66  68  64  58  54  57  63  65  67
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............36  40  42  44  46  47  48  47  46
RH..............61  55  53  51  49  49  47  51  55
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.3 1.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  13  14  14  14  15  16  16  13

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A chance of
                    showers in the late evening and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light and variable.
Mixing height.......100-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 9 mph.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........70     73     79     85     87     87
Weather cov.....              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............45     43     41     40     40     39
RH..............60     67     76     82     85     92
20 ft wind......S 5    S 3    S 2    S 2    S 2    S 1
20 ft wind gust.10     10     5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....900    100    200    200    300    300
Transport wind..S 9    SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   SE 3   E 2

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A chance of
                    showers early in the morning...then a slight
                    chance of showers.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 2 mph...becoming south 2 to 6
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........87     74     74     68     61     59
Weather cov.....CHANCE ISOLTD ISOLTD S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............38     41     49     55     60     60
RH..............96     92     77     69     60     60
20 ft wind......S 1    S 1    SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    600    1300   1900   2100
Transport wind..E 2    SE 2   SW 2   SW 3   S 5    S 6

$$
Forecaster...WFO-CTP/Lambert
Requested by...Jonathan Weaver
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702528.0/CTP
.EMAIL jonweaver@pa.gov



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