Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS73 KDTX 191139
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD LAKE GRASSLAND...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
739 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 19.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY AND PROVIDE DRY
WEATHER AND DROPPING MINIMUM RH VALUES AWAY FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO
NEAR 30 PERCENT BY LATE AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN A
LITTLE BELOW NORMAL WITH EAST WINDS OFF THE COLD GREAT LAKES
TODAY...THEN WARM INTO THE 60S TO NEAR 70 SUNDAY AND MONDAY AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT. THIS SYSTEM WILL
BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL BY MID
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (MAX...500).

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........18  19  18  17  17  18  19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............53  56  57  58  58  57  55
RH..............38  34  33  31  30  31  34
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..9   8   9   9   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  20  20  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.9   8   9   9   8   8   8
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  20  20  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE (KT-FT)...300 400 400 400 500 500 400

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (MIN...0).

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........20     22     23     25     28     30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     46     42     39     38     37
RH..............38     49     56     63     66     73
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7      7      7      7      7      6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 7   SE 7   SE 7   SE 7   SE 7   SE 6
EYE LEVEL WIND..15     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   2100   1400   900    800    700
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4
VRATE (KT-FT)...400    200    100    100    100    100

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL BY MID
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (MAX...400).

$$
FORECASTER...CONSIDINE
REQUESTED BY...DAN LAUX
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140419.MUDLA.01/DTX






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