Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4
000
FNUS73 KEAX 281358
FWSEAX

Spot Forecast for unit 10...USFWS
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
758 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on February 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-438-0596, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Fire conditions in far northwest Missouri will be tricky today as
a cold front slowly settles into the northwest corner. This might
make winds somewhat chaotic in the mid to late afternoon hours as
winds start veering through the west to the Northwest.
Additionally, humidity values also likely wont really drop
significantly until the mid to late afternoon hours as the front
settles into the region. Though, behind the front there is a good
chance to get a wetting rain late tonight.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 7 to 10 mph veering to Northwest
                    winds 7 to 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1200-3000 ft AGL increasing to 1900-3600 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 17 to 26 mph.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or high potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  71  76  81  86  82  77  73  79  85
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  54  57  59  62  63  63  64  63  62
RH..............88  80  64  57  47  43  39  32  30  39
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   7   7   7   8   9   9   10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.6 2.9 1.9
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.21  20  17  17  17  18  20  21  21  21
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then slight chance of rain and snow
                    after midnight.
CWR.................26 percent decreasing to 1 percent after
                    midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 10 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 25
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......1000-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 28 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........90  91  92  93  94  96  97  94  91  87  77  67
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS
Tstm cov........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
CWR.............20  20  20  30  30  30  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............62  55  51  48  46  44  43  40  39  38  37  35
RH..............43  60  59  63  65  73  78  81  80  79  79  82
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  11  11  12  13  13  13  12  12  11  11  11
20 FT wind gust.15  20  20  20  25  25  25  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.2 1.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.20  20  20  21  22  23  24  25  25  26  26  28
Haines index....4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 49.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 11 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25
                    mph increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000-2500 ft AGL increasing to 7200-8500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 29 to 33 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57  50  36  28  26  20  18  22  31  36  28  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............34  34  35  38  41  43  45  47  48  49  49  48
RH..............82  80  75  66  57  52  47  43  41  40  38  37
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..11  12  12  13  13  14  14  15  15  15  14  12
20 FT wind gust.20  20  25  25  25  25  25  30  30  30  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.3 1.8 2.5 3.0 3.6 4.5 6.0 7.5 8.5 8.2 7.2
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.29  30  32  33  33  32  31  31  31  31  30  29
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...CUTTER
Requested by...Sam Vanourney
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1703061.0/EAX
.EMAIL sam_vanourney@fws.gov


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.