Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FNUS75 KFGZ 171739
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Turkey Creek Rx...FTA
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1039 AM MST Fri Nov 17 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 MST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...An approaching cold front will bring increasing
clouds and gusty southwest to west winds today. Most
precipitation is forecast to remain north of the burn site,
though there is a very low chance of a sprinkle or light shower
this afternoon. Lighter winds on Saturday behind the front,
with much lower humidity.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of a sprinkle
                    or light shower this afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....54 to 58.
Min humidity........27 to 32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West to southwest 5 to 10 mph through noon,
                    increasing to 12 to 18 mph with gusts up
                    to 30 mph during the afternoon.
Lal.................1.
Haines Index........2 very low.
Max Vent Rate.......Good (63300 knot-ft).
Clearing Index......633.
Mixing height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph shifting to the west
                    around 20 mph late in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Lal.................1.
Haines Index........4 low.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor (900 knot-ft).
Clearing Index......9.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph
                    in the late evening and early morning, then
                    shifting to the north early in the morning.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....51 to 55.
Min humidity........11 to 16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable 3 to 6 mph.
Lal.................1.
Haines Index........4 low.
Max Vent Rate.......Marginal (15600 knot-ft).
Clearing Index......156.
Mixing height.......700 ft agl in the morning increasing to 2700 ft
                    agl in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...JOHNDROW
Requested by...M-81
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1718787.2/FGZ
.EMAIL showlowdispatch@gmail.com



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