Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS72 KILM 251319
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEANPATCH...TNC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
919 AM EDT FRI JUL 25 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STALLED FRONT WILL BECOME INTERTWINED WITH THE SEABREEZE TODAY.
THE FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH AND DISSIPATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
FOLLOW AND BRING HOT...HUMID AND SULTRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEKEND AND
ON MONDAY. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL DROP ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. IN
ITS WAKE...COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA FOR
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

THE SEA BREEZE WILL HELP BRING WINDS AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST IN THE
AFTERNOON.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5
                    TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-4400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX LVORI...........8.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (575-53129 MPH-FT)...INCREASING TO
                    GOOD (46805 MPH-FT) LATE.

TIME (EDT)          2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............76     75
WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP................85     85
RH..................65     66
20 FT WIND..........E 4    SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........4000   4400
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 14  SW 13
LVORI...............1      1
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...53     57

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
MAX LVORI...........8.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (345-35305 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............67     60     54     50     45     41
WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP................84     81     79     77     75     74
RH..................70     78     81     87     91     93
20 FT WIND..........S 4    S 2    S 2    S 2    S 2    SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5
MIX HGT (FT)........3200   1300   300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 10  SW 8   S 3    S 2    S 2    SW 1
LVORI...............3      3      4      6      7      8
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...35     11     1      0      1      0

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700-6300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX LVORI...........8.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (114-47954 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............36     39     37     35     34     33
WEATHER COV.........                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                            S CHC  S CHC
TEMP................74     77     83     88     90     90
RH..................94     93     74     61     57     57
20 FT WIND..........SW 1   NW 1   W 4    SW 6   S 7    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....              10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)........300    300    2500   4700   6200   6300
TRANSPORT WIND......W 1    NW 1   W 6    W 7    W 6    SW 8
LVORI...............8      8      3      2      2      2
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...0      0      13     31     33     48

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY/LACORTE
REQUESTED BY...ANGIE CARL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140725.BEANP.01/ILM






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