Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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000
FNUS71 KLWX 041600
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OVENTOP SAR...USDI - NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1200 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1152 EDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

PERIODS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS A LARGE AND
SLOW-MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DROPS IN FROM THE NORTH AND
BECOMES STATIONARY OVER THE AREA.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
CWR.................70 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.

TIME (EDT)       6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)..........85     92     95     95     92     97
WEATHER COV......LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP.............60     57     54     52     51     50
RH...............75     86     93     93     93     93
CWR..............70     70     70     70     80     80

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
CWR.................80 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 80 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SURFACE WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO
                    6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)       6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..........98     95     97     97     94     95
WEATHER COV......DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP.............49     51     54     56     57     57
RH...............96     89     83     83     80     77
CWR..............80     90     90     90     80     80

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
CWR.................80 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (EDT)       6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)..........95     93     95     95     94     96
WEATHER COV......DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP.............56     54     52     51     49     49
RH...............80     86     89     89     93     93
CWR..............80     80     80     80     90     90

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
CWR.................90 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 80 PERCENT IN THE
                    MORNING.
SURFACE WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EDT)       6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..........96     94     94     94     92     91
WEATHER COV......DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP.............49     51     55     58     60     60
RH...............93     89     74     67     64     64
CWR..............90     80     80     80     80     80

$$
FORECASTER...ROSA
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN SIKES
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20160504.OVENT.02/LWX


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