Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FNUS74 KMAF 221429
FWSMAF

Spot Forecast for South Antelope Rx...ALAMAGORDO DISPATCH
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
829 AM CST Wed Feb 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MST on February 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TODAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CST THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns continue to escalate today into Thursday. Today unseasonably
warm weather will drive minimum RHs down below 10 pct as winds vary from light this
morning to west and southwest this afternoon, but less than 15 mph. Thursday a full
out extreme fire weather day is anticipated and warning is already in effect for
wind gusting to around 50 mph with what will be a very high to extreme fire danger.

&&

For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather Matrix
product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather Service Office.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........12-14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light early, West 4-7 mph by late morning, Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph after 2 PM.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 3200-4900 ft AGL early in the afternoon, then 5500-7000 ft AGL early
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West to southwest around 20 mph.

TIME (MST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............57     73     81     82
RH..............37     20     14     13
20 FT wind dir.. W      W      W     SW
20 FT wind spd.. 3      7     11     12
20 FT wind gust.              16     17
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   3200   6400   7000
Transp wind dir.W      W      W      SW
Transp wind spd.5      15     16     15

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........40 to 45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph then south 3 to 6 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......100-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 13 mph.

TIME (MST)      5 PM         9 PM         1 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE         NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............78           61           52
RH..............14           26           37
20 FT wind dir..SW           SW           S
20 FT wind spd..12           8            5
20 FT wind gust.18
Mix hgt (ft)....1200         100          200
Transp wind dir.S            SW           SW
Transp wind spd.12           12           10

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........9 to 12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Windy. West winds 24 to 34 mph. Higher gusts.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 9700-11200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph becoming west and
                    increasing to around 47 mph late in the
                    morning.

TIME (MST)      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR    CLEAR     CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............47        52        71        75
RH..............46        38        17        11
20 FT wind dir..S         SW        W         W
20 FT wind spd..12        20        27        31
20 FT wind gust.15        30        34        50
Mix hgt (ft)....200       500       9700      11000
Transp wind dir.S         SW        W         W
Transp wind spd.14        15        40        50

$$
Forecaster...Murdoch
Requested by...Nathan Curnutt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702493.1/MAF



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