Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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039
FNUS74 KMEG 081116
FWSMEG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRENT S LAKE...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
516 AM CST MON FEB 8 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ONE COLD FRONT HAS MOVED OUT OF THE MID-SOUTH WITH SOMEWHAT COLDER
AIR BEHIND IT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SOMEWHAT COLDER THAN WHAT WE SAW
THIS PAST WEEKEND WITH HIGHS TODAY FROM THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. A
SECOND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. THIS FRONT
MAY BRING SOME LIGHT RAIN TO THE MID-SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND A
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TONIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING. LITTLE IF ANY
SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE AREA UNTIL EARLY THIS EVENING. BEHIND THIS FRONT...EVEN COLDER
AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION WITH HIGHS EXPECTED TO ONLY BE IN THE
30S FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.


.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.

TIME (CST)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
CLOUD COVER.....70     83     90     93
PRECIP CHC (%)..20     20     30     30
PRECIP TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
TEMPERATURE.....41     42     42     40
DEWPOINT........24     23     22     21
RH (%)..........50     46     44     46
20 FT WIND MPH..NW 12  NW 15  NW 15  NW 14
20 FT WIND GUST.21     25     25     24
MIXHGT M AGL....1697   1717   1611   1391
MIXHGT FT AGL...5568   5635   5288   4566
MIXHGT M MSL....1819   1839   1733   1513
MIXHGT FT MSL...5968   6035   5688   4966
TRANS WND M/S...NW 13  NW 11  W 12   NW 13
TRANS WND MPH...NW 28  NW 25  W 26   NW 28
CATEGORY DAY....5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
CLOUD COVER.....94     94     94     77     80     77
PRECIP CHC (%)..30     30     30     20     20     20
PRECIP TYPE.....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMPERATURE.....39     36     33     32     29     28
DEWPOINT........21     20     20     19     19     18
RH (%)..........48     52     58     58     66     66
20 FT WIND MPH..NW 13  NW 7   NW 7   NW 7   NW 8   NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.23     13     13     13     15     15
MIXHGT M AGL....1257   915    567    353    410    616
MIXHGT FT AGL...4126   3002   1861   1159   1348   2023
MIXHGT M MSL....1379   1036   689    475    532    738
MIXHGT FT MSL...4526   3402   2261   1559   1748   2423
TRANS WND M/S...NW 13  NW 14  NW 14  NW 12  NW 11  NW 11
TRANS WND MPH...NW 29  NW 32  NW 31  NW 26  NW 25  NW 25
CATEGORY DAY....5      4      3      3      3      3

.TUESDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
CLOUD COVER.....69     65     56     43     39     31
PRECIP CHC (%)..10     10     10     10     10     10
PRECIP TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
WEATHER COV.....
TEMPERATURE.....26     27     32     35     37     37
DEWPOINT........17     16     15     13     14     13
RH (%)..........68     63     49     40     38     37
20 FT WIND MPH..NW 7   NW 9   NW 12  NW 12  NW 12  NW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.13     16     20     20     20     16
MIXHGT M AGL....867    1153   1384   1409   306    0
MIXHGT FT AGL...2845   3785   4541   4623   1005   0
MIXHGT M MSL....989    1275   1506   1531   428    0
MIXHGT FT MSL...3245   4185   4941   5023   1405   0
TRANS WND M/S...NW 11  NW 10  NW 10  NW 10  NW 11  NW 12
TRANS WND MPH...NW 24  NW 23  NW 23  NW 23  NW 24  NW 26
CATEGORY DAY....4      4      4      4      2      1

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...CHASKELSON
REQUESTED BY...JIM WALDEN- AFMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160208.BRENT.01/MEG



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