Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 181703
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR C8/C54 RX...U.S. FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1201 PM EST WED JAN 18 2017

RESENT TO ADD DISPERSION INDEX LVORI CEILING TONIGHT

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 EST ON JANUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (305) 229-4522, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...
VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 5 MPH WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A
VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT FOG TONIGHT. HOWEVER, MODELS ARE
INDICATING THE BETTER CHANCES WILL BE FURTHER INLAND. JUST CAN`T
RULE IT OUT, ESPECIALLY WITH ANY SMOKE IN THE AREA. THE WIND
SHOULD PICK UP AFTER SUNRISE AND THEN BECOME LIGHT AND SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57.
RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-1400 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............7.
CEILING (KFT).......25000.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........51   34  34  34  27  27  27  11  10  10  10  25
WEATHER COV.....                            PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....                            FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
TEMP............76  75  70  67  66  66  65  62  62  62  61  60
RH..............67  74  79  83  87  91  95  99  100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND DIR..260 270 270 280 290 290 310 310 320 320 320 330
20 FT WIND SPD..4   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT WIND GUST.4   6   5   4   4   4   3   4   4   4   3   4
DISPERSION IDX..7   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
LVORI...........3   3   4   6   7   8   8   9   9  10   10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CEILING (KFT)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81.
RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3600 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6...INCREASING TO 18 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
CEILING (KFT).......25000

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
9 MPH.
.MONDAY...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DAF WFO KEY
REQUESTED BY...GREG SUSZEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700451.1/MFL



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