Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 211158
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 420 NE...FLORIDA FISH AND WILDLIFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
758 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, FOCUS OF ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO SHIFT INLAND
IN THE AFTERNOON BUT THE SITE WILL STILL REMAIN ON THE EDGE OF
INLAND COVECTION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION CONDITIONS WILL
BE POOR TO FAIR IN THE MORNING AND BECOME GENERALLY GOOD BY
AFTERNOON. ANY SMOKE PLUME SHOULD DISPERSE GENERALLY TOWARDS THE
WEST OUTSIDE POTENTIAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 57 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING EAST 10 TO 13
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5...INCREASING TO 42.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........25  25  43  43  43  48  48  48  52  52  52  41
WEATHER COV.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............83  87  89  91  92  91  89  89  87  86  85  82
RH..............77  71  65  60  57  58  61  64  69  70  73  79
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.6 3.1 3.1 3.1 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 2.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE
MIXNG WIND SPD..2   2   8   8   8   13  13  13  10  10  10  8
DISPERSION IDX..5   5   29  29  29  46  46  46  37  37  37  5
LVORI...........4   4   2   2   2   1   1   1   3   3   3   4
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   30  30  30  30  30  30  20  20  20  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 57 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING EAST AROUND 12
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4...INCREASING TO 47.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SANTOS
REQUESTED BY...GENE COLWELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140821.UNIT4.01/MFL



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