Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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381
FNUS72 KMFL 251513
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Tomato Patch Rx...National Park Service
National Weather Service Miami FL
1013 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 EST on February 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure over the Florida Peninsula will continue to control
South Florida weather today keeping a light to moderate
southeasterly wind flow over the burn site. While there is a
slight chance of seeing some minor/short-lived changes to the
wind direction from potential colliding sea breezes this
afternoon, the dominant wind direction will be southeast. Little
in the way of shower activity is expected over the burn site with
just a 10 percent chance of a passing shower for the afternoon and
early evening hours. The relative humidity will be 60 percent
around 3pm and increasing after that time with a southeast
transport wind of 8 to 13 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 9 mph.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......2500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....46...decreasing to 30 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EST)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  24  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............83  82  80
RH..............61  63  67
20 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE
20 ft wind dir..120 120 120
20 ft wind spd..9   9   7
20 ft wind gust.12  11  10
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 3.6 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  13  10
Dispersion idx..48  44  30
LVORI...........1   1   2
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 6 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 0 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....14...decreasing to 1.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........24  19  19  19  19  19  19  19  19  19  19  19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............78  76  75  73  73  72  72  71  70  70  70  70
RH..............71  76  79  84  84  87  87  90  93  90  90  90
20 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 ft wind dir..120 120 120 110 100 090 080 080 080 090 100 110
20 ft wind spd..6   3   2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 ft wind gust.    5       2                   1   1   1   1
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   5   3   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Dispersion idx..14  2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LVORI...........3   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon,...then becoming light late in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL...increasing to 2400-3900 ft
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 0 to 9 mph...increasing to 8 to 10
                    mph early.
Dispersion index....3...increasing to 19 late in the
                    morning,...then increasing to 41 in the late
                    morning and afternoon...decreasing to 23 late
                    in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........19     41     62     62     36     43
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............69     72     79     81     83     81
RH..............90     84     72     65     59     60
20 ft wind dir..SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 ft wind dir..120    120    130    140    140    130
20 ft wind spd..0      1      2      5      6      5
20 ft wind gust.1                    6      7      6
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1200   3000   3600   3800   3400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 0   SE 3   SE 9   SE 9   SE 9   SE 9
Dispersion idx..0      5      37     44     43     39
LVORI...........7      5      3      1      1      1
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Hagen
Requested by...William Graham
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802222.2/MFL



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