Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 231147
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR NWTF RX...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
747 AM EDT MON MAY 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE GENERAL WIND WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WITH A TENDENCY TO THE
NORTHWEST TURNING MORE WESTERLY AS THE SEA BREEZE MOVE INTO THE
AREA. THIS SHOULD OCCUR SOMETIME AROUND MID TO LATE AFTERNOON, AND
MAY ONLY CAUSE A SLIGHT INCREASE TO THE WIND SPEED. THERE IS A
CHANCE FOR PASSING SHOWERS THIS MORNING, THEN A CHANCE FOR HEAVIER
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING EARLY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800-5100 FT
                    AGL AROUND NOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2100-3000
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14...INCREASING TO 40.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........80  80  80  73  73  73  55  55  55  37  37  37
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............77  78  81  83  86  88  88  88  87  85  84  82
RH..............76  74  65  59  54  50  50  50  52  55  57  63
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   2   3   3   4   5   6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.9 2.5 3.1 3.8 4.5 5.1 4.7 4.3 3.9 3.0 2.1
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
MIXNG WIND SPD..8   7   6   5   6   8   9   10  10  12  13  14
DISPERSION IDX..11  13  13  15  16  21  32  34  35  44  41  35
LVORI...........4   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2
CHC OF PCPN (%).40  40  40  40  40  40  30  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 14 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 2 TO 3
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 47 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-4300 FT
                    AGL EARLY...THEN INCREASING TO 3400-5300 FT AGL
                    EARLY...DECREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....8...INCREASING TO 42.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...IPPOLITI
REQUESTED BY...SEAN ALLEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160523.NWTFR.01/MFL


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