Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 220224
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH FORK...USFS S/TNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
724 PM PDT TUE OCT 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA TODAY AND
MOVE INLAND TONIGHT. SOUTH TRANSPORT WINDS ARE EXPECTED
IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OUT OF AROUND 200 TO
210 DEGREES IN THE AFTERNOON.  RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA
LATE THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT WITH MODERATE RAIN EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY. RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT AS
THE FRONT STALLS OVER THE AREA.

THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTH ON FRIDAY
AS ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND BRINGS
ADDITIONAL RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING THEN TO 2500-3000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING INTO THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL LOWERING TO 500-1000 FT AGL
                     EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1000-1500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MOGLIA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141022.SOUTH.02/MFR







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