Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 180555
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR 790 FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1055 PM PDT WED SEP 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1829 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING SHOWERY, COOLER WEATHER THURSDAY. THERE IS A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM. A WETTING RAIN LOOKS LIKELY BY
THE END OF THE DAY AS THE ASSOCIATED UPPER TROUGH MOVES INLAND.
SHOWERS WILL END THURSDAY EVENING AND RAPID WARMING AND DRYING
WILL OCCUR FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN WITH PREVAILING
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS. OFFSHORE FLOW WILL EASE SATURDAY AS THE
THERMAL TROUGH PUSHES INLAND, BUT RH RECOVERIES WILL REMAIN POOR
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE LATE NEXT
WEEK.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH IN THE MORNING,
                    BECOMING WEST NORTHWEST 2-4 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH SOUTHWEST 15 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    WEST NORTHWEST AT 5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH IN THE MORNING,
                    BECOMING WEST NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR
                    ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2-4 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTH
                    0-2 MPH OR LIGHT DOWNSLOPE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL IN THE EVENING LOWERING TO 500 FT
                    AGL BY LATE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH IN THE EVENING EASING TO 2-4
                    MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST OR UPSLOPE 1-2 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    THEN INCREASING TO 2-5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 4-7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS DEETS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140917.790FI.02/MFR







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