Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FNUS72 KMHX 011026
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMPARTMENT 24...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
626 AM EDT WED JUL 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0650 EDT ON JULY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A TYPICAL SUMMER TIME PATTERN IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE AND A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE TO
THE WEST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER INLAND AREAS BY LATE NEXT
WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............50  47  44  58  45  37  38  39  40  41  42
WEATHER COV.........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........                            RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                            SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................78  79  81  83  85  86  87  87  87  87  86
RH..................76  70  65  65  59  57  55  56  57  59  61
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......10  10  10  11  12  12  14  14  14  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LVORI...............3   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................28  30  35  40  45  50  58  65  67  67  65
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............43  44  43  42  40  39  37  36  35  36  39  42
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................85  84  82  80  79  79  78  78  77  77  76  76
RH..................65  67  72  77  79  79  82  85  87  87  90  90
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......12  12  11  10  10  9   8   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  20  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10
LVORI...............1   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5
ADI.................60  33  27  21  20  14  14  13  13  12  11  13
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH...INCREASING TO 26 TO 29
                    MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............45  48  49  50  51  53  54  56  57  59  64  69
WEATHER COV.........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                        SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
TEMP................76  77  78  80  82  84  85  86  86  86  86  85
RH..................90  87  85  79  74  70  67  65  65  65  65  67
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   7   8   9   11  11  12  12  14  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20  25
LVORI...............5   4   4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................14  14  15  47  46  52  54  58  64  70  77  83
HAINES INDEX........3   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...FREDERICK
REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150701.COMPA.01/MHX


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