Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FNUS72 KMHX 301125
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLLINGSWORTH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
725 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON MARCH 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND MODERATE RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS MORNING.
LINE OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS AREA BETWEEN
NOON AND 300 PM.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS FROM THE WEST TODAY...AND
OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS SOUTH OF
THE AREA TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THEN PASS OFFSHORE THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM
THE WEST LATER FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. SHOWERS...
                    MAINLY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 21
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............62     82     95     92     70
WEATHER COV.........       CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................49     53     58     61     60
RH..................54     53     49     48     52
20 FT WIND..........SW 9   SW 12  SW 14  SW 12  W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     25     25     25     20
LVORI...............3      1      1      1      1
ADI.................17     42     60     58     50
HAINES INDEX........4      3      3      3      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............58     21     21     17     6      10
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................58     51     47     45     43     41
RH..................57     73     84     86     83     84
20 FT WIND..........W 8    W 5    W 5    NW 5   NW 5   NW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....15                                 5
LVORI...............1      3      5      6      5      5
ADI.................40     7      3      1      2      2
HAINES INDEX........3      5      4      4      5      5

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH...INCREASING TO 18
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............12     15     15     14     14     16
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40     42     54     62     66     67
RH..................85     76     47     35     32     33
20 FT WIND..........NW 4   NW 3   W 5    SW 7   SW 9   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5             15     15     15
LVORI...............6      4      2      2      1      1
ADI.................1      1      9      29     42     78
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      5      5      4

$$
FORECASTER...MERRELL
REQUESTED BY...CROATAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150330.HOLLI.01/MHX


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