Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 271238
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AF BASE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
738 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0755 CDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...VERY HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. STORM CHANCES INCREASE IN
EARNEST ON MONDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH.
AFTERNOON DISPERSIONS WILL BE GENERALLY GOOD TO GOOD.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ACROSS LOW LYING AND RURAL AREAS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO
                    WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3800 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND
                    14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 45.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING C
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........47     47     47     45     45     45
WEATHER COV.......ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............78     84     89     90     90     88
RH................91     74     65     63     63     66
20 FT WIND DIR....W      W      W      WSW    WSW    WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      7      9      9      10
20 FT WIND GUST...              14     17     17     20
MIX HGT (FT)......1300   1300   3600   5800   5800   3800
MIX HGT (M).......400    400    1100   1770   1770   1160
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      W      W      WSW    WSW    WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...10     10     9      9      9      14
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      4      4      4      6
DISPERSION........17     17     31     41     41     48
LVORI.............4      4      3      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      C      C      C
CWR...............20     20     20     20     20     20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO
                    6 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200-1400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 14 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48 DECREASING TO 7.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 5.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........45     28     28     28     29     29
WEATHER COV.......ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............87     84     83     83     82     80
RH................71     77     78     79     81     84
20 FT WIND DIR....WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW    W
20 FT WIND SPD....10     10     8      8      6      5
20 FT WIND GUST...20     20     16     16
MIX HGT (FT)......3800   1700   1400   1400   1200   1200
MIX HGT (M).......1160   520    430    430    370    370
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    SW     WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...14     17     17     17     15     15
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      8      8      8      7      7
DISPERSION........48     19     11     11     10     7
LVORI.............1      3      4      4      4      5
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      F      F      F      F
CWR...............20     10     10     10     10     10

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 14
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3600 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 22 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 55 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 41 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........29     37     37     37     47     47
WEATHER COV.......       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............80     83     89     91     91     90
RH................87     81     68     63     63     65
20 FT WIND DIR....W      W      W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD....5      6      10     10     14     11
20 FT WIND GUST...       13     18     18     23     21
MIX HGT (FT)......1200   1100   3600   3600   6200   3600
MIX HGT (M).......370    340    1100   1100   1890   1100
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    W      W      W      W      W
TRANSP WIND SPD...15     15     15     15     16     15
TRANS SPD (M/S)...7      7      7      7      7      7
DISPERSION........7      22     55     55     54     41
LVORI.............5      3      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      C      C      C      C
CWR...............10     30     30     30     50     50

$$
FORECASTER...13
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140727.JACKS.01/MOB







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