Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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811
FNUS74 KMOB 261348
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Eglin I-11...Eglin AFB
National Weather Service Mobile AL
748 AM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on February 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A very dry airmass will remain over the area today.
Afternoon humidities will fall below critical thresholds, dropping into
the low 20 percent range. Relative humidity values increase Monday as a
southerly surface wind becomes more firmly established. Rain chances also
return for much of the area on Monday. Patchy fog possible late tonight.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......700-2500 ft AGL increasing to 3000-4300 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height (m)...213-762 meters AGL increasing to 914-1311
                    meters AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....17 increasing to 40.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........1      1      2      8      17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............48     58     65     69     66
RH..............42     32     26     21     27
20 FT wind dir..NE     E      E      E      E
20 FT wind spd..6      7      8      8      7
20 FT wind gust.10     15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....1600   2500   3400   4000   4300
Mix hgt (m).....490    760    1040   1220   1310
Transp wind dir.NE     E      E      E      E
Transp wind spd.13     14     12     10     8
Trans wind dir..NE     E      E      E      E
Trans spd (m/s).6      6      5      4      4
Dispersion idx..27     38     38     40     39
LVORI...........2      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-305 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....10.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........23     24     25     26     35     46
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............58     52     51     51     52     51
RH..............45     63     68     71     77     86
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      E      SE     SE
20 FT wind spd..6      6      7      7      7      7
20 FT wind gust.10     10     15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   500    500    500    400    400
Mix hgt (m).....300    150    150    150    120    120
Transp wind dir.SE     E      E      E      E      E
Transp wind spd.7      7      7      8      8      7
Trans wind dir..SE     E      E      E      E      E
Trans spd (m/s).3      3      3      4      4      3
Dispersion idx..6      8      9      10     11     13
LVORI...........2      3      3      3      3      4

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL increasing to 2400-3000 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...91-640 meters AGL increasing to 732-914 meters
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 15 mph shifting to the south 14
                    to 22 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 7 meters/second shifting to the
                    south 6 to 10 meters/second in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Dispersion index....26 increasing to 41 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 45 in the afternoon decreasing to
                    34 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........45     57     64     76     76     75
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40     40     40     40     40     40
LAL.............2      2      2      2      2      2
Temp............53     61     69     73     75     73
RH..............86     75     68     68     64     71
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     SE     S      S      SE
20 FT wind spd..7      8      10     11     10     9
20 FT wind gust.15     15     15     20     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1500   2400   3000   2800   2700
Mix hgt (m).....90     460    730    910    850    820
Transp wind dir.SE     SE     S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.7      15     22     22     21     17
Trans wind dir..SE     SE     S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).3      7      10     10     9      8
Dispersion idx..21     30     40     49     47     40
LVORI...........4      3      2      1      1      2

$$
Forecaster...12
Requested by...Thomas Harrison
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702931.0/MOB
.EMAIL thomas.harrison.22@us.af.mil



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