Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 241330
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR EGLIN F4...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
830 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHERLY FLOW IN THE MIXING LAYER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE BURN PERIOD. PERIODS OF MORNING RAIN WILL EASE...THE RE-DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY OVERNIGHT FOG LIKELY IN
LOW AREAS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17 INCREASING TO 59.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....E BECOMING C EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING D IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING C LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........78     57     57     57
WEATHER COV.......       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............82     84     85     85
RH................73     67     66     67
20 FT WIND DIR....SE     SE     SE     SSE
20 FT WIND SPD....11     11     11     9
20 FT WIND GUST...20     21     21     17
MIX HGT (FT)......3600   4900   5300   4500
TRANSP WIND DIR...SE     SE     SE     SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...21     21     21     20
DISPERSION........55     63     67     59
LVORI.............3      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...D      D      D      C
CWR...............10     30     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 16 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....61 DECREASING TO 18.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 5.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING E.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........57     64     64     64     58     58
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE                      S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............83     80     78     77     76     75
RH................70     78     86     88     89     91
20 FT WIND DIR....SSE    SE     SE     SE     SE     ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....9      7      5      5      5      6
20 FT WIND GUST...17     14                          13
MIX HGT (FT)......3900   1500   1000   800    500    500
TRANSP WIND DIR...SE     SSE    SE     SE     SE     SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...20     18     17     17     16     15
DISPERSION........31     21     15     15     14     14
LVORI.............1      3      4      4      5      5
STABILITY CLASS...C      D      E      E      E      E
CWR...............30     0      0      0      20     20

.MEMORIAL DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 10 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 22
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 66.
LVORI...............5 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....E BECOMING C IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING D
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING C LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........58     71     71     71     93     93
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............75     77     82     85     86     86
RH................93     84     72     66     63     64
20 FT WIND DIR....ESE    E      SE     SE     SE     SSE
20 FT WIND SPD....6      5      9      9      11     9
20 FT WIND GUST...13            17     17     20     17
MIX HGT (FT)......500    1200   2900   3900   4600   4700
TRANSP WIND DIR...SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...15     15     18     18     22     22
DISPERSION........14     25     46     56     66     68
LVORI.............5      4      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...E      C      C      C      D      C
CWR...............20     50     50     50     50     50

$$
FORECASTER...16
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150524.EGLIN.01/MOB



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