Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 071241
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AF BASE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
741 AM CDT MON JUL 7 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE NOSING WEST OVER THE GULF
MAINTAINS A LIGHT WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE REGION
EARLY THIS WEEK. GENERALLY GOOD AFTERNOON DISPERSION EXPECTED THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST
TUESDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE IN
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS IN RURAL AND LOW LYING LOCATIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WEST NORTHWEST WIND THIS MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12
                    MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 48. (GENERALLY GOOD).
LVORI...............DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....B.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........26     26     33     33     33
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............84     88     89     89     88
RH................62     54     53     54     57
20 FT WIND DIR....WNW    W      SW     SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      6      8      8      10
20 FT WIND GUST...                            18
MIX HGT (FT)......1100   3600   6100   6100   6400
MIX HGT (M).......340    1100   1860   1860   1950
TRANSP WIND DIR...WNW    W      WSW    WSW    SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...7      7      8      8      12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      4      4      5
DISPERSION........15     30     40     40     48
LVORI.............3      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B      C
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH BECOMING
                    WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST
                    8 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO 7. (POOR).
LVORI...............INCREASING TO 5.
STABILITY CLASS.....BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........33     29     29     29     21     21
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............86     84     83     81     78     75
RH................60     65     69     74     80     87
20 FT WIND DIR....SW     SW     SW     SW     WSW    WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....10     11     9      9      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...18     20
MIX HGT (FT)......6400   2600   500    500    400    400
MIX HGT (M).......1950   790    150    150    120    120
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SW     SW     SW     WSW    WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     16     14     14     9      8
TRANS SPD (M/S)...5      7      6      6      4      4
DISPERSION........48     20     13     13     7      6
LVORI.............1      3      3      3      4      5
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      E      E      F      F
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
                    11 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.                  AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 50. (GENERALLY GOOD).
LVORI...............DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........21     36     36     36     45     45
WEATHER COV.......                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............74     78     86     87     87     86
RH................90     81     62     57     57     60
20 FT WIND DIR....WSW    WSW    SW     SW     SSW    SSW
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      8      8      11     11
20 FT WIND GUST...              15     15     20     18
MIX HGT (FT)......400    1800   3000   3000   4200   3600
MIX HGT (M).......120    550    910    910    1280   1100
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    WSW    SW     SW     SW     SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...8      8      9      9      13     15
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      4      4      6      7
DISPERSION........6      21     32     32     47     53
LVORI.............5      3      2      2      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      C      C      C      C
CWR...............0      10     10     10     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...10
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140707.JACKS.01/MOB







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