Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 251351
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Oxcart Crossing WMA Prescribed Burn...Minnesota Department of Natural Resources
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
851 AM CDT Tue Apr 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Precipitation will hold off until late afternoon. Some fog early
this morning will lift with cloudy skies continuing until the
rain begins after 3 pm. Winds will be generally from the north
at 10 to 15 mph, with higher gusts in the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Areas of fog late in the morning.
                    Chance of rain early in the afternoon. Rain
                    late in the afternoon. Chance of rain 80
                    percent.
Temperature.........47 at ignition...Max 53.
RH..................83 percent at ignition...Min 64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 11 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1600-3100
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 18 to 22 mph.
Mixing winds........North 18 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /30600 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /54900 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........3 or very low at ignition...max 3.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Temp............47  47  49  50  52  53  53  52  50
RH..............83  76  74  71  68  64  64  66  71
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..11  11  11  11  11  11  11  12  13
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  25
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.22  21  18  18  18  18  20  21  21
Mixing wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Mixing wind spd.22  21  18  18  18  18  20  21  21
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100031  33  35  37  40  45  50  52  55

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain. Chance of rain 90 percent.
Temperature.........Min 35.
RH..................Max 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around
                    30 mph.
Mixing height.......1900-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 22 to 31 mph.
Mixing winds........North 22 to 31 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (47500-60400 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Temp............47     43     39     39     38     37
RH..............76     86     96     89     89     89
20 ft wind......N 14   N 14   N 14   N 14   N 13   N 13
20 ft wind gust.25     25     25     25     25     25
Mix hgt (ft)....3200   2500   2100   1900   2100   2300
Transport wind..N 22   N 28   N 31   NE 29  N 28   N 26
Mixing wind.....N 22   N 28   N 31   NE 29  N 28   N 26
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/100060     60     55     48     51     54

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and snow showers likely in
                    the morning, then chance of rain showers and
                    snow showers in the afternoon. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Temperature.........Max 38.
RH..................Min 70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 9 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......2300-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 21 to 28 mph.
Mixing winds........North 21 to 28 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (54300-66900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Temp............36     35     35     36     38     38
RH..............89     85     85     82     73     73
20 ft wind......N 12   N 14   N 14   N 13   N 13   N 12
20 ft wind gust.25     25     25     25     25     25
Mix hgt (ft)....2300   2400   2400   2300   2800   3100
Transport wind..N 28   N 26   N 26   N 26   N 26   N 23
Mixing wind.....N 28   N 26   N 26   N 26   N 26   N 23
Haines index....3      2      2      2      2      2
SDspl kt-ft/100055     55     55     54     64     62

$$
Forecaster...TAGGART
Requested by...Nicholas Snavely
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707747.0/MPX
.EMAIL Nicholas.Snavely@state.mn.us


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