Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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FNUS73 KMPX 101338
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Bangor...USFWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
738 AM CST Wed Jan 10 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on January 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...It will be cloudy and mild this morning, with southerly
winds around 10-12 MPH, which are actually expected to slowly weaken
before the arrival of the front tonight.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy drizzle late in the
                    afternoon. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Temperature.........34 at ignition...Max 41.
RH..................85 percent at ignition...Min 76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 9 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph shifting to the
                    north 5 to 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 900-1500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 9 to 13 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing winds........Southwest 15 to 24 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 9 to 13 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /19600 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /21400 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........3 or very low at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Temp............34  36  37  38  40  41  39  36  34
RH..............85  82  82  82  76  76  82  85  92
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  N
20 FT wind spd..9   8   8   7   6   6   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  10  10  10          10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.18  17  16  15  13  12  10  9   10
Mixing wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW
Mixing wind spd.18  17  16  15  13  12  10  9   10
Haines index....3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   2
SDspl kt-ft/100020  20  19  19  15  12  10  8   8

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of sleet early in the
                    evening, then chance of snow in the evening.
                    Snow after midnight. Patchy blowing snow late
                    in the evening. Areas of blowing snow after
                    midnight. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Temperature.........Min 1.
RH..................Max 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 35 mph.
Mixing height.......300-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 17 mph increasing to 38 to 47
                    mph.
Mixing winds........Northwest 13 to 17 mph increasing to 38 to 47
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (8500-50200 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (58700-67100 knot-ft) early
                    in the morning.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Temp............32     27     21     14     9      6
RH..............92     92     88     73     72     76
20 ft wind......N 6    NW 12  NW 16  NW 19  NW 20  NW 19
20 ft wind gust.10     25     30     35     35     35
Mix hgt (ft)....800    600    400    300    1000   1700
Transport wind..NW 13  NW 23  NW 37  NW 47  NW 46  NW 40
Mixing wind.....NW 13  NW 23  NW 37  NW 47  NW 46  NW 40
Haines index....2      2      2      2      2      2
SDspl kt-ft/10009      12     14     10     39     59

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Areas of blowing snow until late
                    afternoon. Patchy blowing snow late in the
                    afternoon. Snow likely in the morning. Slight
                    chance of snow in the afternoon. Chance of snow
                    70 percent.
Temperature.........Max 1.
RH..................Min 75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 35 mph.
Mixing height.......600-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 31 to 39 mph.
Mixing winds........Northwest 31 to 39 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to excellent (25700-74700 knot-ft)
                    decreasing to fair (15300 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Temp............3      1      -1     0      1      -1
RH..............83     83     87     83     79     79
20 ft wind......NW 18  NW 18  NW 19  NW 20  NW 19  NW 17
20 ft wind gust.35     35     35     35     35     30
Mix hgt (ft)....2400   2300   2200   2200   1500   900
Transport wind..NW 36  NW 37  NW 38  NW 39  NW 37  NW 33
Mixing wind.....NW 36  NW 37  NW 38  NW 39  NW 37  NW 33
Haines index....2      2      2      2      2      3
SDspl kt-ft/100074     74     74     73     49     26

$$
Forecaster...DEVINNY
Requested by...Phil Millette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800272.0/MPX
.EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov



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