Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS74 KMRX 281302
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for Lake Edge  Burn...USFS
National Weather Service Morristown TN
802 AM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on February 28.

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible...please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS
FRONT WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
                    the morning, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height MSL...4300 ft MSL.
Bottom mix hgt AGL..2700 ft AGL.
Top mix hgt AGL.....2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 13 mph.
Dispersion..........27.
Rainfall amount.....0.12 inches.

TIME (EST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........80     89     97     99     100
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Temp............49     57     64     68     68
RH..............80     69     60     53     59
20 ft wind......S 7    S 7    SW 11  S 7    S 7
20 ft wind gust.10     15     15     10     10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers in the
                    evening, then slight chance of rain showers
                    after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 14 mph.
Mixing height MSL...
Bottom mix hgt AGL..
Top mix hgt AGL.....
Transport winds.....
Dispersion..........
Rainfall amount.....0.05 inches.

TIME (EST)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Sky (%).........98     96     91     80     76     77
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............66     63     61     59     58     57
RH..............63     67     75     83     86     90
20 ft wind......S 8    S 9    S 12   S 12   S 12   S 9
20 ft wind gust.15     15     20     20     20     15

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the morning, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely in the late morning and
                    early afternoon. Rain showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 15 mph with gusts to around 28
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height MSL...7600 ft MSL.
Bottom mix hgt AGL..6000 ft AGL.
Top mix hgt AGL.....5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 26 mph.
Dispersion..........131.
Rainfall amount.....0.55 inches.

TIME (EST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........85     88     91     94     94     94
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE
Temp............57     62     67     71     73     71
RH..............86     75     63     55     49     49
20 ft wind......SW 8   SW 9   W 12   W 12   W 13   W 12
20 ft wind gust.10     15     20     25     25     25

$$
Forecaster...David Hotz
Requested by...Thomas Jenkins
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1703047.0/MRX


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