Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS74 KMRX 170706
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for TabCat SAR...Great Smoky Mtns NP
National Weather Service Morristown TN
306 AM EDT Thu Aug 17 2017

Forecast is based on incident time of 0600 CDT on August 17.

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible...please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...
Increased moisture across the region coupled with
an approaching weak front by Friday will result in the possibility
of showers and thunderstorms for the next few days. Coverage for the
most part will be scattered in nature...with the greatest coverage
occurring during the afternoon and evening hours.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Patchy fog early in the morning.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning.
                    Chance of showers through the day. Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Max apparent temp...94.
Surface winds.......Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.07 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........82  79  73  70  70  69  68  63  53  48  49  50
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RNF RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  40  40  40  40  40  40
Temp............74  76  79  81  83  85  86  87  87  87  86  85
RH..............90  87  82  77  72  67  65  61  61  59  61  65
Aparnt tmp (F)..74  76  79  86  89  92  93  94  94  93  91  91
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.4   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers until
                    early morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    through the night. Chance of showers after
                    midnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Max apparent temp...88.
Surface winds.......West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southwest around
                    5 mph after midnight becoming light.
Rainfall amount.....0.03 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
Sky (%).........51  51  51  51  54  60  63  68  77  82  84  89
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30
Temp............83  81  79  77  76  75  75  74  74  73  73  72
RH..............70  72  77  79  82  84  84  87  87  90  90  97
Aparnt tmp (F)..88  85  79  77  76  75  75  74  74  73  73  72
Surface wnd dir.W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.5   4   4   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   4   4
Surface wnd gst.10  5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  5   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny.
                    Showers and thunderstorms likely early in the
                    morning, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Max apparent temp...88.
Surface winds.......Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.12 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........91  86  75  70  66  58  54  49  39  34  33  30
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  60  50  50  50  30  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............72  74  77  79  81  82  83  84  84  84  83  81
RH..............97  90  82  77  72  69  67  63  63  63  65  69
Aparnt tmp (F)..72  74  77  79  85  86  88  88  88  88  87  85
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   6   6   5   5
Surface wnd gst.5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...Jeremy Buckles
Requested by...Ranger Spanyer
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 1714500.0/MRX


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