Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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FNUS71 KOKX 250839
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Big Field North & South RX...NYS-DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
439 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

631-924-0383

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure builds in through today and remains over the area
through Saturday. Northeast winds around 10 MPH this morning
gradually shift to the east and then southeast from midday into
late this afternoon, and diminish to 5 to 10 MPH.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........39 at ignition...Max 53.
RH..................46 percent at ignition...Min 24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 8 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph
                    shifting to the southeast 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 17 mph decreasing to 3 to 7 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    southeast 3 to 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /47400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /47400 knot-ft/.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  18  16  13  9   5   6   4   3   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............39  40  42  44  47  49  52  53  53  52
RH..............46  42  37  33  28  26  24  24  26  29
20 FT wind dir..040 040 040 040 040 050 080 100 150 160
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   7   6   6   5   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.13  13  11  11  10  7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.4
Transp wind dir.040 040 050 050 050 050 060 090 130 150
Transp wind spd.17  16  14  12  9   7   5   3   3   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..47  44  39  33  30  26  24  24  25  26
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 33.
RH..................Max 75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 1 to 9 mph shifting to the north 1 to 2
                    mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (22600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............49  45  42  40  39  39  38  37  35  34  33  33
RH..............36  45  55  62  64  64  67  67  72  72  75  75
20 FT wind dir..170 170 170 170 170 170 160 160 150 170 350 000
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   4   4   4   3   2   1   1   2
20 FT wind gust.            6   6   5       4       2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2
Transp wind dir.160 170 170 170 170 170 160 150 140 110 020 010
Transp wind spd.8   9   9   8   7   6   5   3   2   1   1   2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..23  18  13  9   5   2   1   1   2   1   1   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 58.
RH..................Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the southeast 5
                    to 6 mph early in the afternoon shifting to the
                    south 6 to 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 5 mph shifting to the south 5 to
                    10 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1600 knot-ft) early in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............36  39  44  48  51  54  56  57  58  58  58  56
RH..............69  67  57  49  44  38  35  34  33  33  34  37
20 FT wind dir..020 030 040 050 060 070 090 120 140 150 170 180
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.    4   4   5   5   6   6   6       7   7   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.6 3.7 3.5 2.9 2.3
Transp wind dir.010 030 030 040 050 060 070 080 110 150 180 190
Transp wind spd.3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   8   10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   2   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

$$
Forecaster...MET
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412364.0/OKX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov


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