Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FNUS73 KPAH 190846
FWSPAH

Spot Forecast for Slusher Hollow...TNC
National Weather Service Paducah KY
246 AM CST Fri Jan 19 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on January 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A warming trend will continue into the weekend, with temperatures
warming into the 50s by Sunday. A slight chance of rain exists as
early as Saturday night into Sunday. However, the best chance of
rain will be Sunday night into Monday morning as a cold front
moves through the region. A few thunderstorms will also be
possible. Minimum afternoon relative humidity values are expected
to be around 30% in the Missouri Ozarks this afternoon, and then
significantly higher this weekend.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........35 at ignition...Max 50.
RH..................49 percent at ignition...Min 30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds south at 6 mph at ignition...otherwise
 South 5 to 10 mph
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 500-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire
growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0
Temp............35     45     50     47
RH..............49     38     36     45
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..6      7      7      7
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....800    1300   1700   1600
Transp wind dir.SW     SW     S      S
Transp wind spd.12     15     15     16
Haines index....4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 33.
RH..................Max 100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......600-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............39     37     36     33     33     35
RH..............64     72     79     96     96     89
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..6      6      6      6      5      5
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   1000   800    900    800    700
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      SW     SW     SW
Transp wind spd.18     15     13     15     14     12
Haines index....4      5      5      5      5      4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 48.
RH..................Min 73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......600-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............37     38     41     46     48     46
RH..............89     89     85     79     80     86
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..5      6      6      7      7      7
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....600    600    700    800    700    600
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.10     9      9      9      8      8
Haines index....2      3      3      3      2      2

.FORECAST DAY 3...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and drizzle. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. South winds around 7 mph.

$$
Forecaster...POULOS
Requested by...Tom Fielden
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800590.0/PAH
.EMAIL thomas.fielden@tnc.org



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