Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 092338
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR OCEAN LAKE RX...BLM CAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
438 PM MST TUE FEB 9 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MILD AND DRY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY DIURNAL
WITH A WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND DURING THE NIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT
AND VARIABLE BY MID-MORNING...WITH THE FLOW BECOMING LIGHT
EASTERLY OR VARIABLE AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON. THURSDAY WILL
BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN WHAT OCCURS ON WEDNESDAY. SMOKE DISPERSAL
IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE POOR RANGE...DUE TO LIGHT WINDS AND
TYPICAL LOW...WINTER TIME MIXING HEIGHTS. ALTHOUGH THERE IS A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF GETTING INTO THE FAIR CATEGORY THURSDAY...IF THE
MIXING HEIGHT IS HIGHER THAN FORECAST...AND THE SMOKE PLUME CAN
TAP INTO SOME BREEZY NORTHWEST WIND IN THE 3000-5000 FT LAYER.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MURRELL

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
                    2-5 MPH BY AROUND 9 PM.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
                    2-5 MPH BY AROUND 9 PM.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (20000 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE 2-5 MPH...BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH BY BETWEEN 8 PM AND 10 PM.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE 2-5 MPH...BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH BY BETWEEN 8 PM AND 10 PM.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10
                    MPH BY 9 PM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10000 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BETWEEN 9 AND 10 AM...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT EASTERLY 3-6 MPH BY AROUND 2 PM.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BETWEEN 9 AND 10 AM...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT EASTERLY 3-6 MPH BY AROUND 2 PM.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO AROUND 3000 FT AG THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
                    AROUND 5 MPH MID MORNING...THEN BECOMING WEST
                    NORTHWEST 10-15 BETWEEN 2 PM AND 4 PM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (36000 KNOT-FT).


.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30000 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 15-20 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...ERIC LEVY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160211.OCEAN.01/RIW


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