Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Seattle/Tacoma, WA

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FNUS76 KSEW 290003
FWSSEW

SPOT FORECAST FOR PARADISE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
503 PM PDT TUE JUL 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1701 PDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SEATTLE.

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BE THE DOMINANT WEATHER
FEATURE OVER THE FIRE SITE THIS WEEK...RESULTING IN CLEAR
SKIES...WARMING TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS. THIS
HEATING MAY GIVE RISE TO A THERMAL PRESSURE TROUGH AT THE SURFACE
FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK...WHICH COULD BRING UNSTABLE
CONDITIONS TO THE ALREADY HOT AND DRY AIRMASS. WITH AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROPPING TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
THRESHOLDS...FUTURE FORECASTS WILL MERIT MONITORING FOR ANY
POTENTIAL HEADLINES.

 FORECAST FOR 20 FOOT WIND SPEED (VALLEYS AND RIDGE TOPS) ARE 10
 MINUTE AVERAGES REFLECTING RAWS WINDS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................0%.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    UP TO 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.
MID LEVEL HAINES....4 OR LOW.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3300 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.
MID LEVEL HAINES....5 OR MODERATE.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................0%.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    3 TO 4 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.
MID LEVEL HAINES....5 OR MODERATE.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS UP TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 4
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-3600 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE.
MID LEVEL HAINES....5 OR MODERATE.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...REEDY
REQUESTED BY...TF KENNY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150728.PARAD.01/SEW


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