Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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531
FNUS73 KSGF 220529
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR LINDEN PRAIRIE RX FIRE...CHLOETA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1129 PM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FOR THE PLAINS THROUGH SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
BRINING A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY, ESPECIALLY
OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

ANOTHER SYSTEM AND A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL INCREASE WINDS
OVER THE AREA TUESDAY BUT CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE LOW.
GRASSLAND AREAS WILL SEE AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER DUE TO THE
WINDS.

AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF COLDER BUT DRY WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED
LATE IN THE WEEK.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FOG
                    UNTIL LATE MORNING. AREAS OF FOG LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE MORNING.
                    RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL LATE MORNING. CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 49.
RH..................79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 61 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............43 DECREASING TO 34.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTH AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 900-2700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /46900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
                    MAX...EXCELLENT /60100 KNOT-FT/.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........94  91  80  70  59  55  50
WEATHER COV.....CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNF
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).50  10  10  0   0   0   0
CHC OF THDR (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............47  47  48  49  49  47  45
DEWPOINT........41  40  38  37  36  35  34
RH..............79  76  68  63  61  63  65
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..11  12  12  12  11  11  10
20 FT WIND GUST.30  30  30  30  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.5 2.3 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.25  25  25  26  26  28  28
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   4   4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/100047  55  59  60  59  55  49

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...MISSING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31.
RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............32 DECREASING TO 29 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 13
                    TO 18 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (16800-42000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........45  53  60  67  58  49  41  41  42  42  39  37
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
CHC OF THDR (%).M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
TEMP............43  40  39  38  37  37  36  36  35  34  33  32
DEWPOINT........34  33  32  32  32  32  32  32  31  31  30  29
RH..............70  76  76  79  82  82  85  85  85  89  89  88
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   9   9   8   8   7   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  25  25  20  20  15  15  15  15  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.29  29  28  26  25  24  23  21  18  16  14  13
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   3   3   4   4   5   5   5
VRATE KT-FT/100042  38  38  38  36  34  32  29  25  22  19  17

$$
FORECASTER...LINDENBERG
REQUESTED BY...HEIDI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700623.0/SGF
.EMAIL HOBERLIN@CHLOETAFIRE.COM



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