Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FNUS73 KSGF 161431
FWSSGF

Spot Forecast for Lakeview Bend...MO Dept Natural Resources
National Weather Service Springfield MO
831 AM CST Thu Nov 16 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on November 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-762-4363, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Surface high pressure will be over the area today  resulting
in mostly sunny skies and light winds today. Highs will top
out in the middle 50s as afternoon humidity drops to around
30 to 35 percent.

The high will begin to move off to the east tonight and winds will
begin to pick and will be gusty Friday and Saturday.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........35 at ignition...Max 54.
RH..................75 percent at ignition...Min 36 percent.
DEWPOINT............27.
APPARENT TEMP.......28.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Winds east at 2 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon, then becoming light late
                    in the afternoon.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 500-1900 ft
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor /6400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...poor
                    /9000 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........7   7   7   6   5   5   6   6   5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............35  41  45  48  51  53  54  52  51
DEWPOINT........28  28  28  29  28  28  28  29  29
RH..............75  59  51  47  41  38  36  41  42
APARNT TMP (F)..35  41  44  46  51  53  54  52  51
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   5   5   3   3   5   6   6   6
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
VRATE KT-FT/10006   7   6   5   6   8   9   8   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    drizzle. Chance of drizzle early in the
                    morning.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........Min 44.
RH..................Max 80 percent.
DEWPOINT............32 increasing to 36 early in the morning.
APPARENT TEMP.......39.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 ft AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....South 6 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 17 mph
                    early in the morning.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to poor (1800-9700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........13  22  26  31  40  54  61  68  74  81  83  85
WEATHER COV.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE....                            DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20  20  30
TEMP............48  46  45  44  44  44  44  45  45  45  46  46
DEWPOINT........30  30  31  31  32  32  33  34  35  36  37  38
RH..............51  53  58  60  62  62  65  65  68  70  71  73
APARNT TMP (F)..45  43  42  40  39  39  39  40  40  39  41  41
20 FT WIND DIR..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT WIND SPD..4   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   6   7   7   7   7   8   10  14  16  17  17
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   2
VRATE KT-FT/10003   2   2   2   2   2   3   5   7   10  10  9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    drizzle in the morning.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........Max 65.
RH..................Min 70 percent.
DEWPOINT............41 increasing to 55.
APPARENT TEMP.......64.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........South winds 10 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1500 ft AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....South 18 to 26 mph increasing to 23 to 28 mph
                    during mid and late afternoon.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to good (9300-36200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........84  83  80  79  80  82  83  85  89  90  91  93
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL DZL
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
TEMP............46  49  49  51  54  57  60  62  64  64  64  64
DEWPOINT........40  42  43  45  47  50  52  53  54  55  56  56
RH..............79  77  80  80  77  77  75  72  70  73  75  75
APARNT TMP (F)..41  44  44  51  54  57  60  62  64  64  64  64
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..7   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.15  20  20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  21  24  26  26  25  25  26  28  28  25  23
HAINES INDEX....2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/10009   11  15  19  23  26  29  33  36  36  28  20

$$
Forecaster...WISE
Requested by...Cindy Hall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1718909.0/SGF
.EMAIL cindy.hall@dnr.mo.gov



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