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FNUS73 KTOP 031549
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST for Tornado Damage Cleanup...STATE/FEDERAL OFFICIAL
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1049 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 CDT on May 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
Chances for showers and storms return this evening as a line of severe storms develop
and track eastward overnight. These storms gradually weaken as they enter northeast Kansas,
but may still contain small hail and wind gusts to around 65 mph. Time of arrival is currently
between 1 AM and 4 AM for Westmoreland. The activity should come to an end by mid-morning
Saturday with quiet and mild conditions expected this weekend. North winds may be of some
concern Saturday afternoon, gusting up to 25 mph at times.

Severe storms remain possible Monday afternoon and evening as another boundary moves through
the region. Confidence is moderate in storms developing within the state with lesser
certainty on exact area and locations that will be impacted. Based on the environment, any
storms that do develop will be severe with all hazards possible.  South winds increase into
the afternoon from 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 10 to 13 mph.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............63  66  68  70  73  74  74
RH..............59  52  49  47  46  48  51
Surface wnd dir.E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Surface wnd spd.10  12  12  13  13  13  12
Surface wnd gst.13  16  17  18  18  18  17

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
                    the evening, then showers with thunderstorms
                    likely overnight.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 10 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    south around 10 mph overnight, then shifting to
                    the west 10 to 11 mph after 3 am shifting to
                    the northwest around 10 mph early in the
                    morning.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY
Weather cov.....              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     20     30     50     90
Temp............75     70     66     65     64     60
RH..............52     65     77     80     85     86
Surface wind....SE 12  SE 11  SE 11  SE 10  S 10   NW 11
Surface wnd gst.17     17     17     17     14     17

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming partly sunny then becoming
                    sunny. Showers and thunderstorms likely in the
                    morning, then chance of rain showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Surface winds (mph).North winds 10 to 13 mph becoming around 12 mph
                    late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY    MCLDY     MCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....LIKELY    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE
Tstm cov........LIKELY    CHANCE    S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60        50        40        10
Temp............59        54        59        64
RH..............82        90        75        60
Surface wind....NW 10G16  N 13G20   N 13G21   N 13G20

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 9 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast winds around
14 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows around 50.
Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 16 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Prieto
Requested by...J.D. Mersman
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2413096.0/TOP
.DELDT 05/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jd.mersman@ks.gov