High Seas Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FZPN03 KNHC 222143
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI AUG 22 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 24.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KARINA NEAR 15.5N 135.2W 989 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 22
MOVING NE OR 050 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.0N 133.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NM SE
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT 210 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.2N 130.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...40 NM NW QUADRANT AND
60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER
WITH SEAS 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NE AND 180 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 19.5N 129.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 21.0N 130.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 21.7N
133.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 13.4N 103.5W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
22 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
300 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. WITHIN
240 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 11N102W TO 08N107W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 13.8N 105.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
300 NM NE...240 NM SE...120 NM SW...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH
SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM
NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 180 NM SE
OF A LINE FROM 16N100W TO 07N108W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 14.4N 107.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...
120 NM SW...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE
300 NM NE AND 420 NM SE QUADRANTS...AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 15.8N 110.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
390 NM E AND 300 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 420 NM SE AND 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 17.5N 114.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.0N 118.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 22.5N 122.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 22.4N 124.7W 993 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
22 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 140 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
270 NM W SEMICIRCLE...300 NM NE QUADRANT AND 360 NM SE QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 180 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LOWELL NEAR 24.4N 127.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 140 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 100 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM E AND 360 NM W
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT 420 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 25.8N
129.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 420 NM NE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 300 NM NW
QUADRANTS...AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 27.0N
132.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 29.0N
136.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LOWELL NEAR 31.0N
141.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 28N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 09N W OF 112W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. S OF 09N BETWEEN
100W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING SW
AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 07N W OF 120W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
ELSEWHERE S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXPECT AS NOTED ABOVE...N OF 10N W OF 123W AND
FROM 10N TO 23N BETWEEN 100W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL. S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND
123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MERGING SW AND NW
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC FRI AUG 22...

.HURRICANE KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN
60 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM S QUADRANT.

.TROPICAL STORM MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 240 NM SE AND 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG N OF 12N BETWEEN 95W AND 100W AND FROM 08N TO
12N BETWEEN 97W AND 100W.

.TROPICAL STORM LOWELL...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE BETWEEN 120 AND
240 NM N QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 07N77W TO 10N95W. NO ITCZ AXIS
E OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 210 NM S OF
AXIS E OF 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF
AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 90W...WITHIN 150 NM SE OF A LINE FROM
09N108W TO 06N119W...AND WITHIN 120 NM NW OF A LINE FROM 14N112W
TO 06N117W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



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