High Seas Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FZPN03 KNHC 292154
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU SEP 29 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 29.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 30.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 01.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ULIKA NEAR 17.2N 140.2W 1006 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP
29 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 20 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
WITHIN 60 NM NE AND NW QUADRANTS...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW
QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 60 NM E
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF
FORECAST WATERS FROM 14N TO 19N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS...EXCEPT E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT FROM 17N TO 19N W OF 138W.
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ULIKA JUST W OF AREA NEAR
17.7N 141.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER
FORECAST WATERS FROM 18N TO 20N W OF 139W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ULIKA W OF AREA NEAR
18.3N 142.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER
FORECAST WATERS FROM 18N TO 22N W OF 139W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW ULIKA DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSLYN NEAR 24.1N 115.6W 1014 MB.
WITHIN 30 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DISSIPATED. WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO
15N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO
14.5N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95.5W
TO 13N96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14.5N95W
...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 15.5N95W TO 145N95W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED N AND S SWELL.

.WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N101W TO 18N107W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL AND SE WIND WAVES.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 08N103W TO 09N108W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.

.S OF 04N BETWEEN 91W AND 97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT
IN SW SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST FROM 02N TO 04N BETWEEN 91W AND 97W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2130 UTC THU SEP 29...

.TROPICAL STORM ULIKA...SCATTERED MODERATE BETWEEN 90 NM AND
150 NM NE QUADRANT.

.TROUGH ALONG 108W FROM 13N TO 22N...SCATTERED STRONG FROM
13N TO 22N BETWEEN TROUGH AND 112W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 102W AND 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE
FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 112W AND 114W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM NW COLOMBIA TO 10N85W TO 09N94W
TO 12N107W WHERE IT ENDS. IT RESUMES AT 10N116W TO 09N124W TO
14N135W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N OF
AXIS BETWEEN 91W AND 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM S OF
AXIS BETWEEN 103W AND 108W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.


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