Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 291022
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
522 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
522 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017


...Severe Weather Chances Increase Friday...


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After Midnight.


HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After Midnight.


DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and West Central Arkansas.
ONSET...Late Morning.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late Morning.



DISCUSSION...
Another warm and breezy day is expected across much of the region...
with wind gusts around 25 miles per hour occurring across
northeast Oklahoma for much of the day.

Focus will turn to an approaching cold front that will move
through Kansas tonight. Storms that develop along the front later
today and this evening will evolve into a complex and move
southeast overnight. Some of this thunderstorm activity may make
it into far northeast Oklahoma late tonight and will carry a
limited severe potential...with damaging winds posing as the
primary threat.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY through WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Ongoing thunderstorms across northeast Oklahoma Friday morning
will likely be in a weakening state before dissipating with time.
Surface boundaries put down by this convection...along with the
main cold front will serve as a focus for additional development
during the afternoon hours. Instability will be sufficient to
support scattered strong to severe thunderstorms during the
afternoon with large hail and damaging winds the main threat.
Storms that develop along slow moving or stationary boundaries
will be capable of producing heavy rainfall across northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Friday afternoon and evening. The
main cold front will get push southward by Friday night...with
highest storm chances shifting across southeast Oklahoma at that
time. Storm chances...along with at least some severe weather
potential and threat for locally heavy rainfall will continue
Saturday as the front will lingers across the area before washing
out on Sunday. An approaching upper level disturbance will
maintain thunderstorm chances for the early to middle part of next
week.


weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$


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