Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXHW01 KWNH 061137
PMDHI

HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
736 AM EDT MON JUL 06 2015

VALID 00Z TUE JUL 07 2015 - 00Z TUE JUL 14 2015

THE 6/00Z FORECAST CYCLE GUIDANCE OFFERS A CONSISTENT SOLUTION FOR
THE TROPICS AND MUCH OF THE PACIFIC. THE ACTIVE REGION OF
DISTURBED WEATHER --- OF NOTE BETWEEN 130W AND 150W AND ALONG 12N
WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 2 TO 3
DAYS. THE 6/00Z DETERMINISTIC GFS/ECMWF PROVIDED DECENT GUIDANCE
HEADING INTO DAY 4 (10/12Z) WITH A BROAD 500MB CYCLONIC FLOW
MAKING A PASS ACROSS THE STATE FROM EAST TO WEST BETWEEN THURSDAY
AND SATURDAY.

AFTER DAY 5, THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER SHOULD MOVE
SUFFICIENTLY WEST OF THE ISLANDS AND A DEEP-LAYERED RIDGE BECOMES
ESTABLISHED OVER THE SUBTROPICAL CENTRAL PACIFIC. A BLEND OF THE
6/00Z ECENS/GEFS MEANS APPEAR TO HANDLE THE SEQUENCE WITH RELATIVE
EASE.

VOJTESAK



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