Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
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000
FOPZ13 KNHC 301438
PWSEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   4(14)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  13(19)   5(24)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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