Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 300718
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
317 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014


PRELIM DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID AUG 30/1200 UTC THRU SEP 02/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR

DAY 1...

UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE UPPER LAKES

PW VALUES FORECAST TO REMAIN ABOVE AVERAGE---1.5 TO 2+ STANDARD
DEVIATIONS ABOVE THE MEAN---FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE
UPPER LAKES DAY 1.  CONVECTION LIKELY TO REMAIN ACTIVE IN THIS
HIGH PW AXIS AS AN UPPER TROF AND ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER LIFT OUT OF THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND EVENTUALLY CROSSES THE
GREAT LAKES REGION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.  IT APPEARS THAT THE
PCPN AMOUNTS WILL BE DECREASING WITH TIME DURING THE PERIOD AS THE
VORT LIFTS OUT.  THERE IS THE USUAL AMOUNT OF LATITUDINAL
DIFFERENCES WITH THE QPF AXIS---WITH THE IN HOUSE PSEUDO BIAS
CORRECTED MEAN USED FOR THE AXIS.
WESTERN GULF COAST INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY

TWO LOW/MID LEVEL CIRCULATIONS CONTINUE TO BE THE FOCUS FOR
CONVECTION...ONE ALONG THE GULF COAST WHICH EVENTUALLY LIFT NORTH
INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND A SECOND CENTER ALONG THE WESTERN
GULF COAST WHICH MOVES LITTLE.  WITH THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION
REMAINING QUITE MOIST...SOME 1.5 TO 2+ STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
THE MEAN...HEAVY PCPN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY.  THE HIGHEST
CHANCES FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL LOOK TO BE OVER SOUTHWEST LA OR
EXTREME SOUTHEAST TX AS THE CIRCULATION CENTER JUST SOUTH OF THE
COAST FEEDS MOISTURE INTO THE AREA AND EVENTUALLY BEGINS TO LIFT
NORTH OVER THE SAME REGION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.  HOW QUICKLY
THAT PICK UP OCCURS BY THE SYNOPIC SCALE FORCING WILL IMPACT HOW
MUCH RAFL FALLS.  ACROSS FAR SOUTH TX...MODELS AND ENSEMBLES HAVE
BEEN SUGGESTING THAT MUCH OF THE RAFL WILL BE OFFSHORE.  AS
MENTIONED EARLIER...THE MODELS HAVE NOT DEPICTED THE LOW VERY WELL
SO WPC QPF AMOUNTS WERE INCREASED ABOVE MODEL GUIDANCE VALUES.

THE SSEO WAS HANDLING THE PLACEMENT AND PCPN AMOUNTS FAIRLY WELL
FRI EVE AND WAS GIVEN MORE WEIGHTING THE NAM CONEST OR ARW THROUGH
THE AFTN.  BY THIS EVENING REVERTED BACK TO A SOLN BASED MORE ON
THE ECMWF AND PSEUDO BIAS CORRECTED QPF AS SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING
BECOMES MORE IMPORTANT.

LOWER TO MIDDLE MS VALLEY/LOWER OH VALLEY

IN BETWEEN THE EXPECTED PRECIPITATION MAXIMUM OVER THE UPPER MS
VALLEY/UPPER LAKES AND THE MAX OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY/WESTERN
GULF COAST REGION---MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR LIGHTER TOTALS FROM
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER TO MID MS VALLEY/LOWER OH VALLEY.  DAY 1 QPF
DID NOT DEVIATE FROM THIS DEPICTION---ALTHOUGH WITH ABUNDANT
MOISTURE ALSO FORECAST TO REMAIN ACROSS THESE REGIONS---HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION TOTALS ARE STILL POSSIBLE.

NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS

HEIGHT FALLS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA WILL BRUSH THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES AND NORTHERN PLAINS...HELPING TO PUSH A SFC COLD FRONT AS
FAR EAST EAST THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS BY SUNDAY MORNING.  A NARROW
BAND OF ABOVE AVERAGE PW VALUES ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
SUPPORT SCATTERED CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS.  THE MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOR LIGHT TO
MODERATE AMOUNTS AHEAD OF THIS FAST MOVING FRONT.  THE DAY 1 QPF
DID NOT DEVIATE FROM THIS IDEA.

DAYS 2 AND 3...

N. ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS AND MIDWEST...

THE NAM WAS CONSIDERED AN OUTLIER WITH ITS STRONG SURFACE LOW AND
SLOWER COLD FRONT. THUS ITS QPF WAS NOT CONSIDERED FOR THE AMOUNTS
ACCOMPANYING NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY.  THE NAM IS CONSIDERED USEFUL FARTHER
SOUTH HOWEVER WHERE BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT FOR FRONTAL TIMING
EXISTS.  GIVEN THE RELATIVELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
PROGRESSING OUT OF THE ROCKIES ALONG WITH GRADUALLY MOISTENING
CONDITIONS AND MODEST MID LEVEL FLOW...CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
SHOULD BECOME WIDESPREAD AND PROGRESSIVE...WITH SOLUTIONS LEANING
TOWARD THE FAST SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE GENERALLY PREFERRED OVER
SOLUTIONS THAT ARE CONSIDERED SLOWER.

BY MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT...THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AS IT NEARS
THE EDGE OF THE MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE S. PLAINS...WITH THE LOW
LEVEL JET INCREASING WITHIN A DEEPENING MOISTURE PLUME.
THUS...BACK-BUILDING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT APPEARS A DISTINCT
POSSIBILITY.
THEREFORE...USED THE MORE SOUTHERN NAM/GFS AS AN INITIAL GUIDE BUT
SHIFTED THE AXIS EVEN FARTHER SOUTH INTO THE LOW LEVEL JET AND
MOISTURE AXIS.  THE 12Z ECMWF WAS TOO FAR NORTH WITH THE COLD
FRONT BUT HAS COME AROUND TO THE OTHER 00Z GUIDANCE.  SOME
PORTIONS OF THE S. PLAINS COULD RECEIVE UPWARDS OF 1.5 TO 2.0
INCHES OF QPF...POSSIBLY MORE LOCALLY MONDAY NIGHT.

LOWER MS VALLEY AND TN VALLEY EASTWARD...

USED LARGE-SCALE DEPICTIONS OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING
NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE GULF AND ITS ACCOMPANYING QPF FROM THE
GFS/UKMET/ECMWF...WITH VERY LITTLE OF THE NAM/CANADIAN AS THEY
WERE LEAST SUPPORTED BY THE MODEL CONSENSUS AND THE ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS.  ALTHOUGH UNUSUALLY ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE
TO CONTRIBUTE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...THE STRENGTH OF THE BUILDING
BERMUDA HIGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL LIKELY DAMPEN THE TROUGH`S
INFLUENCE AS IT REACHES THE NORTHEAST AND LIKELY FORCE A NARROW
BUT STILL POSSIBLY HEAVY AXIS OF RAINFALL ALONG ITS NORTHWEST
PERIMETER.  THE FINAL RESULT INCLUDES 2 AXES OF HEAVIER
TOTALS...ONE EXTENDING ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND ANOTHER
ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST...WHERE BASIN-AVERAGE TOTALS MAY
APPROACH 1 INCH...ALTHOUGH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE IF A NARROW BAND DEVELOPS.

BANN/JAMES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 31/12Z
 0.01 564991 564984 562979 559976 555974 547972 536972 526972
      517972 512971 509969 503965 491953 485946 481944 476943
      466943 457945 443952 431964 429968 432972 436975 439976
      445976 449974 454975 457977 463982 465984 465989 451998
      444005 441009 440013 443023 444029 443033 442039 438041
      433037 417031 405045 400046 396048 391048 394053 397055
      402056 410053 415053 418055 421056 423058 419062 411065
      408087 406098 405103 407107 412115 413118 416120 420119
      423116 426111 429114 432117 436118 439124 438131 439141
      442149 444155 447158 452154 468158 472151 478145 480140
      481135 477127 477118 479112 483105 494088 499081 502077
      504073 506069 510066 516062 530056 537050 540046 542042
      543036 543030 541024 541021 543020 550018 556013 557005
      559999 564991
 0.01 522266 519261 518257 517244 514225 522225 526225 529221
      534216 537213 539208 540205 539200 538194 536190 527174
      521168 515162 509157 506154 501154 498157 497163 496169
      496174 496195 495202 493207 488207 483206 476208 470210
      464216 466220 469223 472221 475222 480222 482222 484224
      485230 488232 487236 483237 480232 477230 471231 467232
      465236 464244 465247 477259 483265 490273 495278 502283
      507284 511282 514279 518277
 0.01 522144 522138 521133 516129 510123 506117 501113 498114
      497118 497123 500126 504130 509136 511144 514148 518149
      522144
 0.01 510658 510652 507648 503644 501642 498643 493645 487651
      484658 478671 470683 459690 453693 448698 446700 445703
      442710 442720 442729 440735 439740 437741 434746 433750
      432759 430765 426772 423777 419781 411788 398795 392798
      387803 377813 370822 363822 356819 349818 344816 337815
      332817 327820 323821 320820 310815 299812 286807 274804
      271803 267804 261808 258809 257814 257820 257828 260832
      270841 282845 292850 296852 298855 300862 302869 301876
      290885 282895 273904 266914 259924 254935 251941 249949
      248957 243959 239959 237962 233967 232972 237976 239979
      243979 252979 260988 265990 268991 271990 279981 323954
      331954 339954 351949 365946 376943 390920 398908 408898
      416899 421901 426904 425912 426922 427924 432924 443919
      450916 455913 464905 472893 480880 486866 492853 497839
      499834 501826 503818 505809 507792 508773 510752 512742
      511731 508712 510679 510658
 0.01 456221 455220 454220 452219 451220 450221 448220 447220
      445220 444220 444223 446224 448225 449225 450224 451224
      453224 454223 455222 456221
 0.01 436083 435081 434080 432079 431080 430080 429082 430084
      432085 433087 435085 436083
 0.01 426098 426096 427094 427091 427089 427087 428084 427083
      426084 425086 425087 424089 423091 424093 424096 424098
      425100 426098
 0.01 409021 408017 404016 400018 398021 395023 389024 389029
      393030 398030 400028 404026 407024 409021
 0.01 396004 396002 394000 392000 389002 387004 385006 383006
      379008 378010 378011 379013 383013 385011 387011 390009
      392007 394007 396004
 0.01 329801 327796 323796 319799 318802 314805 311807 309809
      312814 317813 321812 324810 327805 329803 329801
 0.01 283101 284096 284091 283086 270079 260070 250060 239053
      230052 227054 227058 228062 231064 238066 243071 248076
      257086 262091 266097 272101 275103 279103 283101
 0.25 550998 549990 546984 541982 536981 531982 530986 527992
      524993 523991 524989 521987 515986 511986 510988 511991
      517993 522994 523997 522999 521005 523009 525010 529010
      540007 545006 548004 549001 550998
 0.25 531205 530199 529194 527188 524184 521181 518179 514181
      514187 515190 517196 519201 522204 526206 531205
 0.25 514264 513258 510252 508244 505239 501233 499228 496226
      496234 499240 501244 504250 505258 509263 514264
 0.25 514019 514014 510014 503016 489020 480021 476019 475016
      475006 473002 470000 463004 459010 453030 452036 453043
      455045 460045 468044 473044 476046 479049 483051 490050
      503044 510039 512034 511027 514019
 0.25 502708 499691 496686 492683 487686 483690 477699 470709
      462716 459719 456725 454735 445758 437782 436788 433793
      429794 425796 417806 414809 409811 404815 400818 393826
      388827 383827 379830 375834 373838 368841 362843 358843
      352843 348844 345844 341847 336852 334856 331860 329865
      326877 323882 319885 314886 309885 304888 300891 286904
      279912 274919 268929 263939 259950 255959 253964 252971
      254976 257979 261983 265984 268981 273979 281973 289966
      296959 305953 321943 339934 345933 352933 364936 369933
      372929 378920 389902 394892 397888 401885 407877 413866
      418855 423855 427857 431859 435862 440871 441880 442889
      443894 446899 449900 451899 455894 460884 470863 476855
      481845 486834 489822 496794 499782 499776 499768 500751
      500737 502708
 0.25 501980 500975 497972 489968 481964 476959 467955 464958
      463961 463964 466968 471969 476975 480984 482987 487989
      492989 495987 499984 501980
 0.25 463112 464106 462103 459096 459090 458084 458075 458067
      457063 455059 451058 447067 444072 445081 447087 440098
      438101 438106 441113 447125 451129 456126 462113 463112
 0.25 451818 447818 444819 436823 428829 424832 423834 417842
      416846 418850 421851 423848 430841 435835 441829 449824
      451818
 0.25 413838 409836 406838 401843 397850 394858 393867 393870
      395873 397874 398871 401863 404857 408849 411842 413838
 0.25 288822 285821 283820 279819 277819 275818 272816 268818
      270822 272824 274826 276827 278828 282829 285828 287825
      288822
 0.50 539000 539998 539997 537996 536995 534995 532996 531997
      529999 528000 528002 529004 531005 532005 534004 535003
      536003 537002 539001 539000
 0.50 523197 524195 524192 523191 522190 521191 521194 521196
      522197 522198 523197
 0.50 497711 497704 495700 492696 489695 485697 482700 479706
      474713 468719 466722 465727 464732 461735 456742 453751
      454757 457758 460759 462762 462765 462779 462784 460789
      458797 460805 461810 460816 456824 451830 448838 447843
      448847 450852 449856 449863 450868 452873 454876 457874
      460870 464862 472848 476840 479831 483823 485814 489792
      491782 493772 494762 495750 494737 495725 497711
 0.50 491035 489034 487033 486032 484033 482034 482035 481037
      482039 484040 485040 486040 487040 489039 490038 491035
 0.50 471033 472031 471029 469027 471021 472014 470008 466008
      465011 463016 459023 457027 455035 457040 462040 467036
      471033
 0.50 457111 458105 456100 454095 452095 448097 444101 442105
      442109 445111 450114 453116 456113 457111
 0.50 388865 387850 386842 382841 375846 369853 364856 360857
      355857 351858 347860 343863 337871 332878 327887 322896
      320899 315903 306903 297907 290912 283918 277925 271933
      262949 258959 256965 255970 256974 259977 264979 268977
      277973 284966 289960 296953 303947 312942 319938 328934
      346924 355919 360912 364903 370894 373885 376881 381878
      386871 388865
 1.00 492710 487709 484712 481718 479724 478732 478740 475754
      473761 473766 474770 477777 478785 481781 483774 485768
      486760 484740 483735 484730 487726 490721 492713 492710
 1.00 357896 357892 355889 354885 352886 348876 339884 331893
      328901 324906 320909 313912 300917 294920 290923 285928
      282933 279939 278947 275953 271958 263968 265970 269971
      275968 279964 282958 286953 291948 299941 323929 329927
      336925 341921 346917 353906 356901 357896
 1.50 345908 345904 342903 339906 333910 327911 317917 306920
      299922 294924 291929 290931 290935 290938 294938 299935
      310931 320926 325923 332922 336919 340915 345908
 2.00 307926 306926 305924 303924 301925 299925 297926 296926
      296928 295929 296929 297930 299930 301930 303929 305928
      306927 307926

24HR QP VT 01/12Z
 0.01 483615 490616 495615 497619 500627 503637 504643 503653
      501669 500677 499685 499703 496720 495727 493736 492758
      491778 481807 477810 472815 468819 464816 459812 458803
      448800 444798 440800 436808 428819 419832 411840 404848
      397857 388867 379877 369887 365892 360898 357903 352909
      344919 332937 323947 319951 314956 303965 295976 285981
      282983 278983 269983 262983 259980 254977 255973 256965
      262962 272955 277951 282944 288930 288911 287901 289895
      289889 293885 301878 308877 315878 318880 321879 326874
      327866 330857 335853 339846 335841 330839 323841 317844
      309852 303853 300853 297851 294846 292839 286836 280834
      273832 266830 259817 257814 258810 260804 268803 270800
      272799 279798 282801 288804 295804 309803 318801 324797
      331795 336795 336801 338804 341803 347800 363780 365777
      364772 357770 355764 354756 362747 371739 392719 400710
      408698 414686 419673 423663 428648 430639 435632
 0.01 561952 562941 561935 560930 553919 550916 543916 539914
      534914 532913 531909 529904 528899 528894 529887 528881
      525875 519866 507864 501864 497864 494863 489863 483861
      475867 471871 467873 463876 457877 451878 447877 440882
      435886 429889 418885 413882 409887 405891 403897 400911
      398916 396921 391930 386940 379950 371959 373965 376969
      381972 378975 372982 370984 372989 374994 373999 374003
      374007 378006 381002 388001 396001 399001 401999 410993
      413994 413998 413006 410018 407023 404028 389041 386047
      386052 387056 389063 390070 393075 393084 396088 400086
      407086 412085 416082 422082 422086 421088 417093 412096
      408098 406102 405107 406113 410118 414121 416123 418122
      427118 436114 441114 445116 449116 452115 455115 459111
      463109 466108 468110 470105 466100 460097 457093 457083
      460070 466063 476059 474047 471043 469040 469036 469033
      466031 461027 457023 455020 454015 453008 455002 457995
      460989 466979 470975 473972 477970 479971 480975 480985
      482990 487995 493997 500997 507996 516990 524985 532982
      536981 541981 547980 550977 556966 561952
 0.01 522267 518255 516249 514245 511240 510232 509227 506223
      501211 498207 493206 484209 480209 476211 469218 472221
      476221 486227 487233 484236 479233 477231 474232 471233
      466233 463238 463241 465243 468246 474247 480250 484254
      487257 490263 493268 494273 496278 499282 505286 510285
      516281
 0.01 539211 536190 534184 531181 532168 533160 531157 527150
      524147 520146 517148 513147 505142 497141 493145 496153
      498159 495163 490168 490173 495176 497185 499188 503190
      506193 508196 511199 515202 519209 525215 531220 533223
      536223
 0.01 529063 530056 529051 524046 520046 517048 515048 513051
      508057 503060 498062 496063 494066 494071 495076 497078
      502080 511092 516097 517100 520102 523100 525097 524089
      520082 515077 512074 514071 520068 526066 529063
 0.01 482160 480155 477151 470144 465141 460140 455141 452144
      448148 446152 444155 444159 445162 449167 451173 455182
      461176 464169 465166 467165 472164 478164 482160
 0.01 452223 452220 452219 450219 449219 448219 447220 445220
      443219 442219 440218 438219 439221 439222 441222 443222
      444223 446224 448224 450224 451223 452223
 0.01 292081 290078 284078 274075 266072 260067 252062 246057
      240051 232047 229047 228051 231058 231062 232066 228074
      230082 236086 248087 256090 264095 272098 286089 290085
      292081
 0.25 462623 491643 493650 493657 492670 490682 489693 487707
      484718 482729 481741 480748 478754 473763 471767 467769
      463771 459770 454767 451763 449759 444757 437761 432762
      427761 424756 424749 425743 424738 417743 413741 409744
      404753 401756 396756 387754 385752 384745 387741 391738
      396730 401723 409716 418711 422708 425703 427693 428683
      435660 439651 443644 450634 455626
 0.25 547955 547949 546944 542938 538935 533933 527932 523929
      519924 518915 516903 514896 511890 509882 504879 499880
      495883 489884 481883 475887 472890 468892 465892 460889
      455888 450890 445894 434902 430902 424898 420895 416894
      413896 411900 408906 407917 404923 401928 396933 393938
      391943 389949 388953 391955 395955 399956 398965 395971
      391975 390979 391983 395986 401987 407985 417977 422975
      430974 435972 439969 441966 441962 437959 433959 431955
      436950 442948 447951 451954 451962 455968 460970 472964
      476961 480960 484961 489963 489970 487978 488984 490986
      497988 503986 512980 517976 522974 533971 539969 543965
      546960 547955
 0.25 531205 531197 529191 525185 523179 521176 516177 513177
      511178 510183 512186 515190 519196 522200 526206 530207
      531205
 0.25 515261 512258 510253 507243 503235 500230 500224 498219
      495216 491217 489218 490221 494229 497238 499243 502246
      507255 508259 512263 515261
 0.25 495259 495257 493254 493253 492251 491250 491249 489249
      490252 490254 490255 491257 492258 493259 494261 495259
 0.25 444072 444070 443069 442067 440067 438069 440071 441072
      443073 444072
 0.25 446041 445036 442032 438030 435028 432023 428021 426025
      428029 429035 430039 431044 436045 439044 443043 446041
 0.25 426791 427784 425779 421775 413776 408779 405787 402789
      398790 386795 378799 374804 368806 362810 359814 358817
      357826 359829 361830 363833 362836 358843 354850 349862
      343877 342886 344888 347889 355887 361883 365880 370874
      387854 395842 401829 419806 423798 426791
 0.25 411073 411070 410068 408068 407068 405068 403068 401069
      400071 401073 403073 404073 406073 408073 410073 411073
 0.25 321823 321821 319819 318820 316820 314821 312821 310821
      309821 307821 305822 304823 304825 305826 307827 309827
      311828 313828 315828 316827 318826 319825 320825 321823
 0.25 300952 301949 299947 297948 296948 294949 294950 292951
      292952 291954 290956 292957 294956 295956 296956 297954
      298954 299952 300952
 0.50 538960 538957 539949 538944 534941 530941 525939 521942
      519947 521952 523956 525962 528964 533964 536963 538960
 0.50 511934 509924 506919 504912 502910 499910 492908 489907
      485908 479918 476920 473920 467919 462917 456918 450922
      450919 451915 457906 458899 455896 450899 439905 434909
      431916 427928 426937 429942 431944 434943 438939 443934
      447929 451932 455937 458944 462949 464955 467956 471955
      482950 496950 500950 502949 504946 505942 508938 511934
 0.50 483677 482672 481669 478665 475660 474656 476649 476644
      474643 472644 468648 467662 464673 461685 460689 462693
      463698 461703 457707 447711 443714 439718 436729 433734
      434737 437737 444730 449726 452726 457727 461726 467727
      471729 474727 477722 479716 481710 481695 483677
 0.50 496980 497977 497975 496973 494974 493975 492975 491977
      491978 490980 490981 491982 492983 494982 495981 496980
 0.50 451659 451654 449651 445654 442659 439667 438673 438680
      439687 437693 441691 444686 446678 448672 450665 451659
 0.50 419790 416786 412788 405794 398798 390802 386805 384809
      379816 376826 373833 364849 362859 362865 366866 373860
      380855 385848 389841 396823 407810 413803 418795 419790
 0.50 411730 412727 411725 410725 409725 407726 405728 404729
      402731 402732 401734 400735 400737 401739 402740 403740
      405739 406738 407738 408736 409735 410733 410732 411730
      411730
 0.50 420919 420914 420910 419906 417904 414905 413908 412910
      411915 411919 412924 414925 417924 419921 420919
 0.50 416968 414966 412965 411961 411956 409954 408954 406956
      405959 404963 405967 406970 406975 408975 410973 412971
      414970 416968
 0.50 404943 404940 403938 402936 402935 401936 400936 398937
      398938 397940 397943 398945 400944 402944 403943 404943

24HR QP VT 02/12Z
 0.01 457625 460630 459637 458648 458654 458657 460661 465668
      469672 474675 481678 483682 482688 476694 467697 463698
      460701 454707 447711 442720 440724 438731 433737 429745
      422754 420756 420759 418764 415773 412784 407792 403796
      401800 394807 390811 391814 394813 400808 403806 407804
      420795 426790 433783 440776 443773 449771 453769 459767
      470765 473763 479761 481761 482765 484769 487774 489779
      492785 492790 488798 487802 488806 489808 489812 489816
      489823 493824 496822 506819 509817 513818 520822 524822
      527824 535828 538830 540834 543850 544856 545864 546879
      543889 541895 540899 538900 533905 524910 515908 506905
      502905 498908 487919 484922 480922 474915 471913 467915
      460920 450921 439922 418919 416919 413921 409924 404933
      399943 393950 386955 383959 381963 380967 379973 378977
      377984 373007 372013 371017 370023 368022 362021 357020
      356014 356008 356995 353984 349929 349915 349905 350893
      352885 352877 353872 356863 363845 363841 361841 357837
      353835 351832 356823 361816 369808 374806 376803 381795
      384791 387788 394782 396775 397773 396771 391772 382773
      374779 366785 360791 354798 343814 334819 327825 323827
      320831 315839 315845 316851 317858 316863 314873 306875
      297860 292855 291844 292838 293834 294832 291831 287829
      265829 258825 254822 252817 252812 251808 260804 263803
      269804 279806 283808 289807 294806 298804 308803 314802
      319800 323794 325790 326785 326779 328775 332767 337759
      343752 350744 356739 362733 370726 378720 382715 384711
      390704 394695 400678 427656 436639
 0.01 521268 516259 514255 513250 513241 510232 504225 501214
      500209 497205 495205 492209 491212 489212 486211 484213
      483217 485220 489224 491228 492233 491237 485237 480235
      476234 474237 473242 476245 479249 484252 487255 489260
      492269 494273 497278 500281 504282 507279 506273 508269
      511272 518278
 0.01 532203 532195 532187 529180 527177 527172 527168 525164
      521159 511149 506145 501144 499148 500151 503158 501165
      504171 505187 508193 512199 519210 523212 527212 530208
      532203
 0.01 508063 508055 506052 503049 498048 491044 487037 486030
      486022 483012 476012 471018 466025 460025 457022 455011
      458003 460998 459993 457988 455985 452983 450983 449979
      448969 447964 444959 442956 436956 428956 421961 419964
      417968 417975 418980 411979 408987 408010 407017 408021
      411024 414025 419027 421030 424034 425039 423043 423050
      425053 428056 435057 440054 444053 448052 452052 456052
      459055 465056 468058 474064 489071 496072 502071 506068
      508063
 0.01 492145 489139 486135 482130 478126 471125 468125 467127
      466132 467137 468138 470141 473142 478145 483149 489150
      492145
 0.01 467112 464106 458103 455100 453095 448092 440090 438093
      438096 443101 449106 454111 458118 461119 464117 467112
 0.01 449080 450075 450073 448070 447068 443065 442064 438064
      436064 434066 433068 432073 434074 438074 441075 443077
      444080 448080 449080
 0.01 391815 389813 388815 390816 391815
 0.01 312943 312935 311928 310907 302896 299894 294895 289899
      288906 287916 288927 290935 290942 286947 282954 280957
      281962 281965 284968 290968 300958 305953 310948 312943
 0.25 538872 536855 534849 532845 525837 517832 484837 476832
      467829 458826 453823 452817 452811 454808 461802 468794
      469791 468787 464785 458788 454791 446797 444802 444811
      442815 438819 427832 410843 404852 403857 401864 399877
      395888 392896 391894 391890 390883 389877 389871 390864
      392858 395846 394843 387843 385847 383853 380867 376876
      370884 366893 362899 359904 357910 356923 356939 356955
      357980 358987 361991 366992 368990 371984 373978 375967
      377960 379955 381950 385947 397935 403926 407917 417898
      422886 423878 424873 425868 428864 434857 436854 434852
      435849 438845 442843 448851 445854 446858 450860 456861
      460863 459868 452885 450892 450896 452898 458898 463896
      472892 476892 480897 483901 486901 488899 494889 501885
      510884 516884 519885 523887 529889 534886 537881 538872
 0.25 524195 523192 522190 520189 519191 520192 521194 521195
      523196 524195
 0.25 508248 508245 507243 507242 506239 504237 504236 503235
      501234 500235 500238 501238 501241 502242 503244 505246
      505247 506248 508248
 0.25 378744 378741 377741 375742 373744 373745 373747 374747
      375747 376746 377745 378744
 0.25 372754 371752 369752 367752 365753 364753 363753 362755
      360756 359758 360761 361761 362760 363760 365761 366761
      368759 370758 371756 372754
 0.25 355770 355768 355766 354764 352765 351766 350767 349768
      347769 347772 347774 348776 349776 350776 352775 353773
      355771 355770
 0.50 530865 531858 529853 524849 518846 511846 512838 509835
      506836 501840 497845 492851 489852 486851 480848 477842
      473838 466836 458837 455842 456848 458851 463854 469858
      474860 475863 474865 472868 468876 469881 472882 476881
      478879 482872 484864 490861 495856 502853 507852 507857
      505859 501865 494867 491869 489873 489877 491880 496881
      503878 508875 513871 517869 520870 524870 528869 530865
 0.50 419872 420860 420854 416852 412857 408863 404880 399894
      396901 392906 386909 384908 382904 379898 375896 371897
      367903 365909 363918 361925 358933 358943 358954 358965
      359975 360983 362985 366985 369979 372972 373965 376956
      379949 383943 387938 398929 401923 403916 406908 410903
      415889 418880 419872
 1.00 377936 378929 376925 373922 369923 366933 364943 360952
      360961 361972 364976 366975 370967 372956 375945 377936
 1.50 369955 370950 372936 368939 366950 365954 363958 363963
      363967 366968 368964 369958 369955

$$





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