River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 121326
RVFAGU
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
8:26am EST Friday, February 12, 2016

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Eldred - Allegheny River - CTP
: Zero Datum 1416.5 ft (NGVD 1929)
: McKean County, PA
: Record River Stage     29.1 ft
: Major River Stage      27.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   25.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      23.0 ft
: Action River Stage     17.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 10                           /   5.6
:     Feb 11   /   5.5 /   5.3 /   5.2 /   5.0
:     Feb 12   /   4.9 /   4.8 /   4.7
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 4.7 ft at 730am EST on Fri, Feb 12
:
.ER ELRP1 20160212 Z DC201602121326/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 12 :                         /   4.7
.E2 : Feb 13 : /   4.6 /   4.5 /   4.4 /   4.4
.E3 : Feb 14 : /   4.3 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.1
.E4 : Feb 15 : /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.0 /   4.0
.E5 : Feb 16 : /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.8
.E6 : Feb 17 : /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  0.01
:     Feb 10   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.01 /  0.01
:     Feb 11   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 12                           /  0.01
:     Feb 13   /  0.01 /  0.06 /  0.03 /  0.00
:     Feb 14   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /   0.3
:     Feb 10   /   0.6 /  -2.0 /  -4.3 /  -5.0
:     Feb 11   /  -6.6 / -10.9 / -12.4 / -11.8
:     Feb 12   / -10.8 / -12.5 / -14.8 / -11.3
:     Feb 13   /  -8.1 / -10.3 / -15.5 / -18.1
:     Feb 14   / -17.7 / -19.7 / -22.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Olean - Allegheny River - BUF
: Zero Datum 1401.12 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Cattaraugus County, NY
: Record River Stage     24.2 ft
: Major River Stage      21.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   15.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      10.0 ft
: Action River Stage      8.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 10                           /   2.0
:     Feb 11   /   1.9 /   1.8 /   1.7 /   1.5
:     Feb 12   /   1.4 /   1.4 /   1.1
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 1.1 ft at 730am EST on Fri, Feb 12
:
.ER OLNN6 20160212 Z DC201602121326/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 12 :                         /   1.1
.E2 : Feb 13 : /   1.0 /   1.0 /   0.9 /   0.9
.E3 : Feb 14 : /   0.8 /   0.8 /   0.7 /   0.7
.E4 : Feb 15 : /   0.7 /   0.6 /   0.6 /   0.6
.E5 : Feb 16 : /   0.5 /   0.5 /   0.5 /   0.5
.E6 : Feb 17 : /   0.4 /   0.4 /   0.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  0.01
:     Feb 10   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Feb 11   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 12                           /  0.01
:     Feb 13   /  0.01 /  0.07 /  0.03 /  0.00
:     Feb 14   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /   0.1
:     Feb 10   /   0.4 /  -2.1 /  -4.4 /  -5.2
:     Feb 11   /  -6.9 / -11.2 / -12.6 / -12.8
:     Feb 12   / -11.6 / -12.5 / -14.1 / -11.2
:     Feb 13   /  -8.6 / -11.1 / -15.8 / -18.5
:     Feb 14   / -18.1 / -20.4 / -23.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: Salamanca - Allegheny River - BUF
: Zero Datum 1358.0 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Cattaraugus County, NY
: Record River Stage     24.0 ft
: Major River Stage      21.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   14.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      9.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 10                           /   4.6
:     Feb 11   /   4.5 /   4.5 /   4.4 /   4.3
:     Feb 12   /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.1
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 4.0 ft at 745am EST on Fri, Feb 12
:
.ER SLMN6 20160212 Z DC201602121326/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 12 :                         /   4.0
.E2 : Feb 13 : /   4.0 /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.9
.E3 : Feb 14 : /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.8
.E4 : Feb 15 : /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.7 /   3.7
.E5 : Feb 16 : /   3.7 /   3.7 /   3.7 /   3.7
.E6 : Feb 17 : /   3.7 /   3.7 /   3.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  0.00
:     Feb 10   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.01 /  0.02
:     Feb 11   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 12                           /  0.02
:     Feb 13   /  0.02 /  0.08 /  0.03 /  0.02
:     Feb 14   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  -0.3
:     Feb 10   /  -0.2 /  -2.7 /  -4.9 /  -5.9
:     Feb 11   /  -7.6 / -11.3 / -12.8 / -13.3
:     Feb 12   / -12.0 / -12.5 / -14.4 / -11.5
:     Feb 13   /  -9.0 / -11.3 / -16.0 / -18.6
:     Feb 14   / -18.1 / -20.2 / -23.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: West Hickory - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 1059.9 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Forest County, PA
: Record River Stage     17.8 ft
: Major River Stage      17.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   16.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      14.0 ft
: Action River Stage     10.7 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 10                           /   6.0
:     Feb 11   /   6.0 /   5.9 /   5.9 /   5.8
:     Feb 12   /   5.6 /   5.3 /   5.5
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 5.5 ft at 800am EST on Fri, Feb 12
:
.ER WHKP1 20160212 Z DC201602121326/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 12 :                         /   5.4
.E2 : Feb 13 : /   5.3 /   5.1 /   5.0 /   5.0
.E3 : Feb 14 : /   4.9 /   4.6 /   4.6 /   4.5
.E4 : Feb 15 : /   4.5 /   4.5 /   4.5 /   4.5
.E5 : Feb 16 : /   4.5 /   4.5 /   4.5 /   4.5
.E6 : Feb 17 : /   4.5 /   4.5 /   4.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  0.00
:     Feb 10   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Feb 11   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 12                           /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.02 /  0.08 /  0.03 /  0.03
:     Feb 14   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  -0.9
:     Feb 10   /  -1.1 /  -3.3 /  -5.2 /  -6.7
:     Feb 11   /  -8.2 / -11.4 / -12.5 / -12.5
:     Feb 12   / -11.9 / -13.7 / -15.8 / -11.2
:     Feb 13   /  -7.7 / -10.3 / -15.2 / -16.9
:     Feb 14   / -16.1 / -17.9 / -20.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Meadville - French Creek - CLE
: Zero Datum 1058.83 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Crawford County, PA
: Record River Stage     17.6 ft
: Major River Stage      17.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   16.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      14.0 ft
: Action River Stage     11.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 10                           /   5.4
:     Feb 11   /   5.4 /   5.3 /   5.2 /   5.1
:     Feb 12   /   5.0 /   4.9 /   4.9
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 4.9 ft at 715am EST on Fri, Feb 12
:
.ER MEDP1 20160212 Z DC201602121326/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 12 :                         /   4.9
.E2 : Feb 13 : /   4.9 /   4.8 /   4.8 /   4.7
.E3 : Feb 14 : /   4.6 /   4.6 /   4.6 /   4.6
.E4 : Feb 15 : /   4.5 /   4.5 /   4.5 /   4.4
.E5 : Feb 16 : /   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.4 /   4.3
.E6 : Feb 17 : /   4.3 /   4.2 /   4.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  0.00
:     Feb 10   /  0.01 /  0.04 /  0.02 /  0.04
:     Feb 11   /  0.03 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 12                           /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.05 /  0.11 /  0.04 /  0.06
:     Feb 14   /  0.02 /  0.02 /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  -0.3
:     Feb 10   /  -1.0 /  -3.0 /  -4.4 /  -5.9
:     Feb 11   /  -7.6 /  -9.3 / -11.6 / -10.9
:     Feb 12   / -10.1 / -12.7 / -14.2 / -11.1
:     Feb 13   /  -8.6 / -12.6 / -14.8 / -15.1
:     Feb 14   / -15.6 / -18.2 / -19.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: Franklin - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 955.84 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Venango County, PA
: Record River Stage     26.0 ft
: Major River Stage      21.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   19.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      17.0 ft
: Action River Stage     13.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 10                           /   6.7
:     Feb 11   /   6.6 /   6.5 /   6.4 /   6.3
:     Feb 12   /   6.2 /   6.1 /   5.8
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 5.7 ft at 800am EST on Fri, Feb 12
:
.ER FRKP1 20160212 Z DC201602121326/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 12 :                         /   5.7
.E2 : Feb 13 : /   5.8 /   5.7 /   5.4 /   5.3
.E3 : Feb 14 : /   5.2 /   5.2 /   4.9 /   4.8
.E4 : Feb 15 : /   4.8 /   4.8 /   4.7 /   4.7
.E5 : Feb 16 : /   4.7 /   4.7 /   4.7 /   4.7
.E6 : Feb 17 : /   4.6 /   4.6 /   4.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  0.00
:     Feb 10   /  0.01 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Feb 11   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 12                           /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.02 /  0.06 /  0.03 /  0.03
:     Feb 14   /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  -0.8
:     Feb 10   /  -1.3 /  -3.4 /  -5.5 /  -6.9
:     Feb 11   /  -7.9 / -10.5 / -12.6 / -12.3
:     Feb 12   / -11.2 / -13.9 / -16.6 / -13.5
:     Feb 13   /  -7.9 / -12.4 / -16.2 / -16.6
:     Feb 14   / -15.0 / -18.2 / -20.5
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
: Mark J Fenbers
:...END of MESSAGE...




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