River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FGUS51 KTAR 051606
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1103 AM EST Fri Feb 05 2016
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.70 ft at Feb-05 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     3.6/     3.5
.E2 :0206:/     3.3/     3.2/     3.0/     3.0
.E3 :0207:/     2.9/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8
.E4 :0208:/     2.7/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.50 ft at Feb-05 10:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     5.9/     6.2
.E2 :0206:/     6.2/     5.8/     5.3/     4.9
.E3 :0207:/     4.5/     4.1/     3.8/     3.5
.E4 :0208:/     3.3/     3.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.52 ft at Feb-05 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.4
.E2 :0206:/     3.3/     3.2/     3.1/     2.9
.E3 :0207:/     2.8/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7
.E4 :0208:/     2.7/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.74 ft at Feb-05 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     1.7/     1.6
.E2 :0206:/     1.8/     1.5/     1.4/     1.5
.E3 :0207:/     1.5/     1.4/     1.4/     1.6
.E4 :0208:/     1.5/     1.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.36 ft at Feb-05 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     4.3/     4.3
.E2 :0206:/     4.2/     4.2/     4.1/     4.2
.E3 :0207:/     4.4/     4.3/     4.2/     4.2
.E4 :0208:/     4.5/     4.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.57 ft at Feb-05 10:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.3
.E2 :0206:/     3.2/     3.1/     3.1/     3.0
.E3 :0207:/     3.0/     3.1/     3.1/     3.1
.E4 :0208:/     3.1/     3.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.04 ft at Feb-05 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     3.0/     2.8
.E2 :0206:/     2.7/     2.6/     2.5/     2.5
.E3 :0207:/     2.5/     2.4/     2.5/     2.5
.E4 :0208:/     2.5/     2.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.36 ft at Feb-05 09:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     5.3/     5.3
.E2 :0206:/     5.2/     5.2/     5.2/     5.1
.E3 :0207:/     5.1/     5.1/     5.1/     5.1
.E4 :0208:/     5.1/     5.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 10.65 ft at Feb-05 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/    10.6/    10.5
.E2 :0206:/    10.4/    10.4/    10.3/    10.3
.E3 :0207:/    10.3/    10.3/    10.3/    10.3
.E4 :0208:/    10.3/    10.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 618.59 ft at Feb-05 10:00 am
:
.ER MMDN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/   617.9/   616.5
.E2 :0206:/   614.7/   612.7/   610.2/   607.1
.E3 :0207:/   601.9/   585.0/   588.2/   588.2
.E4 :0208:/   588.2/   588.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:
.ER AVON6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/    25.1/    24.9
.E2 :0206:/    24.8/    24.7/    24.5/    24.3
.E3 :0207:/    24.1/    23.9/    23.7/    23.5
.E4 :0208:/    23.3/    23.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.86 ft at Feb-05 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     3.7/     3.6
.E2 :0206:/     3.5/     3.4/     3.3/     3.2
.E3 :0207:/     3.2/     3.1/     3.1/     3.0
.E4 :0208:/     3.0/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.23 ft at Feb-05 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     3.0/     2.7
.E2 :0206:/     2.5/     2.4/     2.3/     2.3
.E3 :0207:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2
.E4 :0208:/     2.2/     2.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.74 ft at Feb-05 07:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     9.7/     9.6
.E2 :0206:/     9.4/     9.3/     9.2/     9.1
.E3 :0207:/     9.0/     8.8/     8.7/     8.6
.E4 :0208:/     8.6/     8.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.56 ft at Feb-05 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     1.6/     1.5
.E2 :0206:/     1.5/     1.5/     1.5/     1.5
.E3 :0207:/     1.5/     1.4/     1.4/     1.4
.E4 :0208:/     1.4/     1.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/   688.7/   688.7
.E2 :0206:/   688.7/   688.7/   688.7/   688.7
.E3 :0207:/   688.7/   688.7/   688.7/   688.7
.E4 :0208:/   688.7/   688.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.45 ft at Feb-05 10:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.5
.E2 :0206:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E3 :0207:/     3.5/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6
.E4 :0208:/     3.6/     3.6
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.58 ft at Feb-05 10:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     6.5/     6.3
.E2 :0206:/     6.0/     5.9/     5.7/     5.6
.E3 :0207:/     5.5/     5.5/     5.4/     5.4
.E4 :0208:/     5.3/     5.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.63 ft at Feb-05 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     5.4/     5.3
.E2 :0206:/     5.2/     5.0/     4.9/     4.7
.E3 :0207:/     4.6/     4.4/     4.3/     4.2
.E4 :0208:/     4.1/     4.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.07/ 0.05/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.56 ft at Feb-05 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20160205 E DC201602051103/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0205:       ::       ::/     6.7/     6.7
.E2 :0206:/     6.8/     6.8/     6.9/     6.8
.E3 :0207:/     6.8/     6.6/     6.5/     6.3
.E4 :0208:/     6.2/     6.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.10/ 0.06/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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