River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 191452
RVFOHL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
9:52am EST Monday, February 19, 2018

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Markland Dam - Ohio River - ILN
: Zero Datum 408.0 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Gallatin County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     76.1 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      74.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   62.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      51.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     49.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 8AM EST on Wed, Feb 21
.AR MKLK2 20180222 Z DC201802191452/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFFX :crest:   51.9
: Crest near   51.9 ft around 1PM EST on Thu, Feb 22
: Fall below flood level around 4PM EST on Fri, Feb 23
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  45.5E
:     Feb 18   /  45.5 /  45.8 /  46.1 /  46.7
:     Feb 19   /  47.1 /  47.6 /  47.9E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 47.9 ft at 545am EST on Mon, Feb 19
:
.ER MKLK2 20180219 Z DC201802191452/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 19 :                         /  48.5
.E2 : Feb 20 : /  49.1 /  49.3 /  49.7 /  50.3
.E3 : Feb 21 : /  50.5 /  50.9 /  51.0 /  51.2
.E4 : Feb 22 : /  51.3 /  51.7 /  51.8 /  51.9
.E5 : Feb 23 : /  51.9 /  51.8 /  51.7 /  51.4
.E6 : Feb 24 : /  50.6 /  49.9 /  49.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  0.15
:     Feb 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.11
:     Feb 18   /  0.11 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /  0.07
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.13
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /   6.2
:     Feb 17   /   3.7 /   1.5 /  -0.6 /   0.3
:     Feb 18   /   1.0 /   1.7 /   0.2 /   1.8
:     Feb 19   /   7.5 /   5.3 /   8.7 /  13.7
:     Feb 20   /  18.5 /  17.4 /  16.5 /  18.4
:     Feb 21   /  21.4 /  19.2 /  18.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Clifty Creek - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 403.153 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Jefferson County, IN
: Record River Stage    475.9 ft
: Major River Stage     470.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage  457.0 ft
: Flood River Stage     451.0 ft
: Action River Stage    449.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 4PM EST on Thu, Feb 22
.AR CLFI3 20180223 Z DC201802191452/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:  451.3
: Crest near  451.3 ft around 1AM EST on Fri, Feb 23
: Fall below flood level around 6AM EST on Fri, Feb 23
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           / 444.7E
:     Feb 18   / 444.6E/ 444.8E/ 445.2 / 445.7E
:     Feb 19   / 446.1E/ 446.5E/ 446.9
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 446.9 ft at 700am EST on Mon, Feb 19
:
.ER CLFI3 20180219 Z DC201802191452/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 19 :                         / 447.2
.E2 : Feb 20 : / 447.5 / 447.7 / 448.0 / 448.2
.E3 : Feb 21 : / 448.5 / 448.8 / 449.1 / 449.3
.E4 : Feb 22 : / 449.6 / 450.0 / 450.5 / 450.8
.E5 : Feb 23 : / 451.2 / 451.3 / 450.9 / 450.6
.E6 : Feb 24 : / 450.1 / 449.9 / 449.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  0.43
:     Feb 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.15
:     Feb 18   /  0.10 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /  0.03
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.10
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /   6.7
:     Feb 17   /   3.8 /   1.8 /  -0.4 /   0.4
:     Feb 18   /   1.0 /   2.2 /   0.0 /   1.8
:     Feb 19   /   8.3 /   6.1 /  10.3 /  14.6
:     Feb 20   /  19.2 /  17.4 /  16.5 /  18.8
:     Feb 21   /  21.6 /  19.1 /  18.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Upper - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 407.18 ft (NAVD 88)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Pool Stage     52.2 ft
: Major Pool Stage      38.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   30.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     21.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood pool stage around 4PM EST on Mon, Feb 19
.AR MLUK2 20180223 Z DC201802191452/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFFX :crest:   28.0
: Crest near   28.0 ft around 1PM EST on Fri, Feb 23
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  20.7
:     Feb 18   /  21.0 /  21.1 /  21.3 /  21.5
:     Feb 19   /  21.8 /  22.3 /  22.5
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 22.7 ft at 900am EST on Mon, Feb 19
:
.ER MLUK2 20180219 Z DC201802191452/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 19 :                         /  22.9
.E2 : Feb 20 : /  23.1 /  23.3 /  23.5 /  23.8
.E3 : Feb 21 : /  24.0 /  24.3 /  24.6 /  24.9
.E4 : Feb 22 : /  25.3 /  25.7 /  26.3 /  26.9
.E5 : Feb 23 : /  27.4 /  27.7 /  27.9 /  28.0
.E6 : Feb 24 : /  28.0 /  27.7 /  27.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  0.43
:     Feb 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.18
:     Feb 18   /  0.11 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /  0.02
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.11
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /   7.2
:     Feb 17   /   4.5 /   2.4 /   0.3 /   1.1
:     Feb 18   /   1.5 /   2.8 /  -0.1 /   2.2
:     Feb 19   /   9.1 /   7.1 /  11.0 /  15.2
:     Feb 20   /  19.8 /  18.0 /  17.0 /  19.3
:     Feb 21   /  22.0 /  19.6 /  18.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Lower - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 373.18 ft (NGVD29)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     85.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      73.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   65.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      55.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     53.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 6PM EST on Tue, Feb 20
.AR MLPK2 20180223 Z DC201802191452/DUE/DQG/DH12/HTIFFX :crest:   59.0
: Crest near   59.0 ft around 7AM EST on Fri, Feb 23
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  51.3
:     Feb 18   /  51.6 /  51.8 /  52.0 /  52.2
:     Feb 19   /  52.6 /  53.0 /  53.4
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 53.6 ft at 900am EST on Mon, Feb 19
:
.ER MLPK2 20180219 Z DC201802191452/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 19 :                         /  53.6
.E2 : Feb 20 : /  53.9 /  54.2 /  54.5 /  54.7
.E3 : Feb 21 : /  55.0 /  55.3 /  55.7 /  56.0
.E4 : Feb 22 : /  56.4 /  56.8 /  57.3 /  57.9
.E5 : Feb 23 : /  58.4 /  58.9 /  59.0 /  59.0
.E6 : Feb 24 : /  58.9 /  58.5 /  58.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  0.43
:     Feb 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.18
:     Feb 18   /  0.11 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /  0.02
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.11
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /   7.2
:     Feb 17   /   4.5 /   2.4 /   0.3 /   1.1
:     Feb 18   /   1.5 /   2.8 /  -0.1 /   2.2
:     Feb 19   /   9.1 /   7.1 /  11.0 /  15.2
:     Feb 20   /  19.8 /  18.0 /  17.0 /  19.3
:     Feb 21   /  22.0 /  19.6 /  18.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Cannelton Dam - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 348.0 ft (Ohio River)
: Perry County, IN
: Record Tailwater Stage     60.8 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   46.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      42.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     40.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 2PM EST on Mon, Feb 19
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  40.3
:     Feb 18   /  40.6 /  40.9 /  41.2 /  41.3
:     Feb 19   /  41.5 /  41.6 /  41.8
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 41.8 ft at 900am EST on Mon, Feb 19
:
.ER CNNI3 20180219 Z DC201802191452/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 19 :                         /  42.0
.E2 : Feb 20 : /  42.1 /  42.1 /  42.2 /  42.3
.E3 : Feb 21 : /  42.3 /  42.4 /  42.5 /  42.6
.E4 : Feb 22 : /  42.7 /  43.0 /  43.3 /  43.6
.E5 : Feb 23 : /  43.9 /  44.1 /  44.3 /  44.4
.E6 : Feb 24 : /  44.5 /  44.6 /  44.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  0.43
:     Feb 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.34
:     Feb 18   /  0.09 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /  0.00
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.16
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /   7.0
:     Feb 17   /   4.9 /   3.1 /   1.3 /   1.5
:     Feb 18   /   2.7 /   3.5 /   0.3 /   2.7
:     Feb 19   /  10.0 /   8.2 /  12.6 /  15.9
:     Feb 20   /  20.2 /  18.1 /  17.5 /  19.5
:     Feb 21   /  22.0 /  19.6 /  18.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Tell City - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 347.62 ft (NGVD 29)
: Perry County, IN
: Record River Stage     57.0 ft
: Major River Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   44.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      38.0 ft
: Action River Stage     36.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  39.8E
:     Feb 18   /  40.1E/  40.3E/  40.5 /  40.7E
:     Feb 19   /  40.7E/  41.0E/  41.1
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 41.1 ft at 700am EST on Mon, Feb 19
:
.ER TELI3 20180219 Z DC201802191452/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 19 :                         /  41.2
.E2 : Feb 20 : /  41.3 /  41.4 /  41.5 /  41.6
.E3 : Feb 21 : /  41.7 /  41.7 /  41.8 /  41.9
.E4 : Feb 22 : /  42.1 /  42.4 /  42.7 /  42.9
.E5 : Feb 23 : /  43.2 /  43.4 /  43.6 /  43.7
.E6 : Feb 24 : /  43.8 /  43.9 /  44.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /  0.43
:     Feb 17   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.34
:     Feb 18   /  0.09 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 19                           /  0.00
:     Feb 20   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 21   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.16
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 16                           /   7.0
:     Feb 17   /   4.9 /   3.1 /   1.3 /   1.5
:     Feb 18   /   2.7 /   3.5 /   0.3 /   2.7
:     Feb 19   /  10.0 /   8.2 /  12.6 /  15.9
:     Feb 20   /  20.2 /  18.1 /  17.5 /  19.5
:     Feb 21   /  22.0 /  19.6 /  18.5
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
: Noel
:...END of MESSAGE...




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