Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
Versions:
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FNUS71 KAKQ 130952
FWSAKQ
Spot Forecast for Be 17...DWR
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
552 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.
.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather and mostly sunny skies are expected today. Min
RH values this afternoon around 35%. Southeast winds early this
morning become southerly by the afternoon.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
the morning.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 1 to 10 mph increasing to 12 to 13 mph
late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (700 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (68500 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 early in the morning increasing to 87 in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7 9 10 13 17 20 23 25 28 34 41 48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............50 52 58 62 66 71 72 74 76 77 77 78
RH..............93 89 77 65 56 47 46 41 39 37 37 36
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.3 5 5 6 6 8 8 11 11 11 11 11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.6 1.8 2.9 4.0 4.6 5.2 5.8 5.9 6.1 6.2
Transp wind dir.SE SE S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.2 1 2 5 7 9 9 9 9 10 12 13
LVORI...........8 7 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............1 2 2 10 26 47 55 55 60 70 81 87
Haines index....4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 1 1 7 18 32 38 42 46 55 64 69
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR GD GD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (42300 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (1800 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................58 early in the evening decreasing to 3 late in
the night.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........47 45 44 46 48 50 54 57 61 67 73 79
Weather cov..... SCH
Weather type.... RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20
Temp............76 74 71 69 66 65 65 64 63 62 62 61
RH..............40 44 53 57 63 65 68 70 72 78 78 84
20 FT wind dir..S S SE SE S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT wind gust.11 8 8 8 11 11 11 11 11 11 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 2.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S S SE SE S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.12 9 7 7 8 8 8 7 6 6 5 5
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5
ADI.............58 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3
Haines index....4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..42 19 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
Ventrate Cat....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of
showers early in the morning, then chance of
showers early in the morning. Showers late in
the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 13 mph increasing to 15 to 17 mph in
the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2000 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (35100 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 48 in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........82 89 91 93 93 93
Weather cov.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20 50 50 50 80 80
Temp............60 61 65 68 70 71
RH..............90 93 84 78 76 73
20 ft wind......S 5 S 5 S 8 S 9 S 9 S 9
20 ft wind gust.8 8 14 14 14 14
Mix hgt (ft)....500 700 1600 2100 2300 2100
Transport wind..S 5 S 5 S 8 S 13 S 17 SE 17
LVORI...........6 6 4 3 3 3
ADI.............3 5 15 32 48 44
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2 3 10 23 35 31
Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
$$
Forecaster...ROGERS
Requested by...Same
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413866.0/AKQ
.DELDT 05/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Dylan.gavagni@dcr.virginia.gov