Extended Streamflow Guidance Issued by NWS
000
FGUS65 KSTR 072220
ESGCO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
SALT LAKE CITY, UT
SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL
FOR THE COLORADO RIVER BASIN WITHIN COLORADO
MARCH 7, 2024
Currently, the following sites are forecast to have mean daily peak flows
at or above the listed threshold at the given exceedance level:
Segment Threshold Exceedance Value
(probability)
------- -------- -------------
Elk-Milner Flood 10
Yampa-Deerlodge Flood 10
Green-Jensen Bankfull 50
Yampa-Maybell Bankfull 50
Eagle-Gypsum Bankfull 25
Yampa-Steamboat Springs Bankfull 10
Colorado-Cameo Bankfull 10
East-Almont Bankfull 10
Gunnison-Grand Junction Bankfull 10
Colorado-CO-UT Stateline Bankfull 10
San Juan-Pagosa Springs Bankfull 10
Peak flow procedures and flood flow levels do not exist for all streams.
It is important to keep in mind that an extended period of much
above normal temperatures or heavy rainfall during the melt period
can cause or exacerbate flooding problems in any year.
It should be emphasized that snow typically accumulates into April,
therefore conditions may change before the runoff begins.
Precipitation:Water Year(October-February)
Green River 100%
Duchesne 100%
Yampa/White 110%
Upper CO Mainstem 100%
Gunnison 95%
Dolores/San Miguel 85%
San Juan 80%
Snow Water Equivalent:March 1
Green River 90%
Duchesne 110%
Yampa/White 110%
Upper CO Mainstem 95%
Gunnison 95%
Dolores/San Miguel 85%
San Juan 85%
April-July Water Supply Volume Forecasts:March 1
Green River 75-95%
Duchesne 90-115%
Yampa/White 90-105%
Upper CO Mainstem 85-115%
Gunnison 85-150%
Dolores/San Miguel 60-95%
San Juan 60-75%
A list of specific spring peak flow forecasts is available at:
http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/dbdata/station/peakgraph/list/peaklist.html?type=rank
A map of the current spring peak flow forecasts is available at:
http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/lmap/lmap.php?interface=peakfp
SPECIAL MEAN DAILY PEAK FLOW FORECASTS IN CFS
LOCATION FLOOD FCST FORECAST FLOWS
FLOW DATE 90% 75% 50% 25% 10%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
GREEN - JENSEN, NR 24100 2024-03-01 14300 15800 18400 20000 24000
GREEN - GREEN RIVER, UT 37000 2024-03-01 16000 17500 21500 24500 30000
EAGLE - GYPSUM, BLO 6000 2024-03-01 2000 2450 2800 3500 4400
COLORADO - DOTSERO, NR 17000 2024-03-01 4500 5500 7000 9000 11500
ROARING FORK - GLENWOOD S 13000 2024-03-01 3000 3500 4000 4500 5500
COLORADO - CAMEO, NR 26000 2024-03-01 8500 10500 12500 15500 20000
GUNNISON - GRAND JUNCTION 20524 2024-03-01 5000 7500 8000 8000 10500
COLORADO - CO-UT STATE LI 46000 2024-03-01 11500 16500 19500 23000 31000
COLORADO - CISCO, NR 55000 2024-03-01 13000 18000 21000 25000 33000
SAN JUAN - BLUFF, NR 36000 2024-03-01 2700 3100 3700 4200 4700
COLORADO - CATARACT CANYO -999 2024-03-01 27000 34000 41000 49000 62000
DAILY ESP MEAN DAILY PEAK FLOW FORECASTS IN CFS
IDFORECAST DATE90% 75% 50% 25% 10%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
STMC22024-03-052501 2988 3311 3977 4568
ENMC22024-03-0529653360388848316107
MBLC22024-03-0578429901113331211016242
LILC22024-03-0530933314398750226333
YDLC22024-03-051054312472152521683821121
WRMC22024-03-0519712174249429343644
WATU12024-03-0519282220249129073682
SLFC22024-03-05599 657 729 896 1085
LSRC22024-03-0514401586191722922952
FISC22024-03-05 423 504 627 712 914
ELHC22024-03-05 907 1059 1134 1328 1721
WIKC22024-03-051137 1484 1791 2045 2736
WTRU12024-03-05 325 374 564 671 816
ASHU12024-03-05 357 455 616 758 973
RFRU12024-03-05 137 165 211 276 332
SKEC22024-03-05 288 314 357 432 492
TCFC22024-03-05532 577 666 738 870
SLAC22024-03-0565 72 88 100 126
RCYC22024-03-051159 1270 1447 1585 1885
CSSC22024-03-05303 346 378 457 526
GRVC22024-03-05650 812 892 1072 1441
PSBC22024-03-05399 488 584 651 814
ALEC22024-03-051405 1613 1808 2104 2662
ACSC22024-03-051452 1679 1896 2281 3083
SCCC22024-03-0553 75 102 133 197
TRAC22024-03-05403 470 544 638 726
OHOC22024-03-05331 389 442 524 642
DCKC22024-03-0536 58 72 89 127
UCRC22024-03-05524 605 681 804 927
LFGC22024-03-05875 1029 1178 1381 1556
COWC22024-03-05250 287 329 458 677
DRRC22024-03-05443 551 665 733 830
DOLC22024-03-051206 1424 1895 2163 2516
SMPC22024-03-05625 774 849 961 1094
LCCC22024-03-0564 76 112 148 204
PSPC22024-03-051171 1477 1677 2010 2600
LPHC22024-03-05107 132 163 184 237
PIDC22024-03-05955 1095 1292 1431 1886
ANBC22024-03-0596 1080 1236 1465 1559
VNBC22024-03-05488 619 673 812 905
CBRFC/Moser