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000
FXUS64 KCRP 130518
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1218 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 143 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Key Messages:

- Low chance of elevated fire weather conditions Saturday

Generally quiet weather is expected through Saturday night. Onshore
flow will advect warm and moist air into the area at the surface.
Even so, there is a low chance of elevated fire weather conditions
over the Brush Country for Saturday afternoon. With normal fuel
moisture and increasing moisture, will hold off on any Fire Danger
Statements.

With the return of low-level moisture, we could see some hazy
morning conditions Saturday; however, expect this will not last with
breezy conditions redeveloping by mid-morning. Temperatures will be
warm again, with lows in the 60s across South Texas tonight and
Saturday night. High temperatures will range from around 80 along
the coast to around 90 over the Rio Grande Plains.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 143 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Upper level ridging will move into the region early next week which
will promote above average temperatures. By mid-week, a trough will
move across the Southern Plains and eject a cold front into
Texas; unfortunately models continue to show the front stalling
just north of South Texas. If it does stall, temperatures can be
expected to remain warm through the end of the week. Could some
relief be insight? Maybe. By the end of the extended forecast
global models are showing a cold front actually pushing through
the region which will usher in drier air and low chances for rain.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1216 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

VFR conditions are currently in place across all terminals.
Outside of a low chance for MVFR vis at ALI/VCT around sunrise, VFR
will prevail through this TAF cycle. Breezy southeasterly winds will
weaken overnight, to generally around 10 knots.
Southeasterly winds will increase through the day Saturday with
gusts up to 30 knots possible during the afternoon. Winds will be
slow to weaken during the evening hours Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 143 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Weak to moderate southeast flow is expected through Sunday night
before strengthening to stronger levels Monday afternoon through
Monday night, where there is a medium chance for winds to
strengthen to Small Craft Advisory conditions (over 20 knots).
Weak to moderate flow will return Tuesday morning and remain in
place through the workweek.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    83  68  84  70 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          83  65  82  67 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo            91  67  95  70 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             86  65  88  69 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          79  69  80  70 /   0   0   0   0
Cotulla           91  66  94  70 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        83  66  86  69 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       80  70  81  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LS
LONG TERM....JCP
AVIATION...TC/95