National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS64 KCRP 130759
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
259 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 255 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Dry weather continues as upper-level ridging remains in place and a
surface high pressure center treks eastward. This will allow for the
persistence of southeasterly winds, and therefore, increased onshore
flow and moisture return. Because of this, warmer temperatures can
be expected in South Texas in the coming days. Highs will reach the
low 90s in the Rio Grande Plains and the Brush Country today, with
the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads regions reaching the upper
70s to low 80s. By tomorrow, highs increase to the mid 90s out west,
with our northeastern counties and coastal areas staying in upper
70s to the low 80s.

Breezy conditions will also be likely the next couple days. A
surface low propagating eastward from the Rockies is set to move
into the Central Plains. This will tighten the surface pressure
gradient, causing stronger winds for our CWA. Sustained winds will
range between 15-20 mph, with a medium-to-high chance (60-80%) of
wind gusts greater than 30 mph.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 255 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Mid-upper level ridge will prevail over South Texas through Sunday
Night maintaining the quiet pattern. The next trough will move
into the Central Rockies Monday resulting in cyclogenesis in the
Lee of the Rockies and tightening of the pressure gradient over
South Texas. The low level jet is progged to strengthen to 30-35
knots on Monday resulting in breezy/windy conditions which could
flirt with wind advisory criteria in the late afternoon. The
mid/upper level trough will move across the plains on Tuesday
pushing a weak frontal boundary into Texas and abruptly relaxing
the pressure gradient. This boundary should stall just north of
our CWA on Wednesday and could be a focus for a few storms
although there is considerable uncertainty given the differences
in model guidance with the GFS being more bullish than the ECMWF
on the environmental conditions and dynamics aloft. Rain chances
increase again over the weekend as a frontal boundary approaches
and the southern jetstream sets up over South Texas. Coincident
with the upper jet, moisture increases as well with precipitable
water values reaching 1.5 to 1.7 inches. There is currently a low
to medium (20-40%) probability for precipitation next weekend.

Temperatures will show a gradual warming trend through the week with
highs ranging from the upper 80s to upper 90s by mid to late week
potentially cooling off next weekend depending on whether a frontal
boundary moves into the area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1216 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

VFR conditions are currently in place across all terminals.
Outside of a low chance for MVFR vis at ALI/VCT around sunrise, VFR
will prevail through this TAF cycle. Breezy southeasterly winds will
weaken overnight, to generally around 10 knots.
Southeasterly winds will increase through the day Saturday with
gusts up to 30 knots possible during the afternoon. Winds will be
slow to weaken during the evening hours Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 255 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Moderate to strong southeast flow is expected today through
Sunday, with periods of strong flow for the southern bays and
nearshore waters where an SCA is in effect this afternoon through
this evening. Strong southeasterly flow will continue Monday
afternoon through Monday night, when Small Craft Advisory
conditions will also be likely. Weak to moderate flow will return
Tuesday morning and remain in place through the remainder of the
work week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    83  68  84  70 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          81  65  82  67 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo            91  68  95  70 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             85  65  88  68 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          79  69  80  70 /   0   0   0   0
Cotulla           90  66  93  70 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        83  66  85  69 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       80  70  81  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 9 PM CDT this
     evening for GMZ231-232-250.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KRS/98
LONG TERM....JM/75
AVIATION...TC