Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS
000
FNUS54 KEPZ 151253
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
653 AM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
Today is the day we`ve been messaging hard for strong winds, very
dry air, deep instability, and warm temperatures all coming
together to produce a critical fire weather day. A Red Flag
Warning is out for all but the highlands across the Gila. Expect
strong southwest to west winds and single digit RH this afternoon.
The system passes dry, with no precipitation. The storm exits
tonight with the region coming under a persistent dry west flow
pattern. This will warm temperatures through the week, keep RH
very low, with poor recoveries, and allow for breezy afternoons,
typical of Spring. This means a run of elevated fire weather
conditions.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-152200-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
653 AM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....50-55.
* Below 7500 ft....60-65.
* 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....15-19 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....13-17 percent.
* 24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds 25 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 35 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 40 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (337300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....30-34.
* Below 7500 ft....35-40.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....48-53 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....46-51 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds around 30 mph becoming
northwest around 15 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 33 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....60-65.
* Below 7500 ft....69-74.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....12-16 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....10-14 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 23 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 9400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (102700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ111-152200-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
653 AM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy blowing
dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....71-76.
* 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........9-14 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 36 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 9600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 40 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (324800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Patchy blowing
dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....38-42.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........42-47 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Northwest winds around 30 mph
decreasing to around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 33 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....74-78.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (94500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 80s.
West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
80s. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-152200-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
653 AM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of
blowing dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....74-79.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........6-10 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts
to 45 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 35 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 40 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (389500 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Areas of
blowing dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....40-44.
* 24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........32-37 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds around 30 mph decreasing to
around 15 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 37 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....75-80.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 25 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL increasing to 9200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (110900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-152200-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
653 AM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy
blowing dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-61.
* Below 7500 ft....67-72.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....11-15 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....8-10 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Very windy. Southwest winds 35 to 40 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 40 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 45 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (486100 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....33-37.
* Below 7500 ft....40-45.
* 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....34-39 percent.
* 24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Very windy. West winds around 40 mph
decreasing to around 25 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 43 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....57-62.
* Below 7500 ft....68-73.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....14-18 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....10-14 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds 25 to 30 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 36 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL increasing to 7800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 40 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (174500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 70s. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. South winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-152200-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
653 AM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 1200,
then sunny (5-15 percent). Areas of blowing
dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....80-85.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........5-7 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 32 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 10700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 40 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (376100 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Areas of
blowing dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....45-49.
* 24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........28-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. Northwest winds around 30 mph becoming
west around 15 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 33 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........4.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....76-80.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL increasing to 7400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91400 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
mid 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-152200-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
653 AM MDT Mon Apr 15 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Areas of
blowing dust after 1200.
* Max temperature.....81-86.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........4-6 percent.
* 24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds around 20 mph increasing to
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 35 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 11900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 40 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (388100 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Areas of
blowing dust in the evening.
* Min temperature.....43-47.
* 24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........27-32 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Windy. West winds around 30 mph decreasing to
around 20 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 36 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
.TUESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....75-80.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......4900-6800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....West around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (105100 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$