Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 240920
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
520 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...Cold and dry weather the next few days...

.DISCUSSION...
Today will bring downsloping flow with Cold air advection. Winds will
continue to slacken as the day continues. Cold morning temperatures are
expected into Friday, especially tonight into Thursday morning when
widespread freezing temperatures are likely. High pressure will settle
overhead Thursday. Temperatures will moderate by the end of the week with
warmer and more humid conditions this weekend. A few rounds of showers
and storms will be possible Friday night through Sunday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-242130-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
520 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-40 percent near Lake Michigan and 17-22
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 27
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5000-5500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....490-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Widespread frost
                    after 2 AM.
Min temperature.....19-24.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 700-1200 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 2500-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....70-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Widespread frost until 9
                    AM.
Max temperature.....48-53 near Lake Michigan and around 56 Inland.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer near Lake Michigan and 5
                    degrees warmer Inland.
Min humidity........37-42 percent near Lake Michigan and 21-26
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 6
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5800-6300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340-480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-242130-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
520 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520-610 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Widespread frost after 1
                    AM.
Min temperature.....21-26.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 7 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL decreasing to 400-900 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Widespread frost until 9
                    AM.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5400-5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....310-390 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-242130-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
520 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 11 AM, then partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent) until 2 PM, then sunny
                    (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-38 percent near Lake Michigan and 24-29
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 8
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4900-5400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....480-570 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Areas of frost
                    after 10 PM until 1 AM, then widespread frost.

Min temperature.....27-32.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 6 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 700-1200 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 2100-2600 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft
                    AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....50-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Widespread frost until 9
                    AM.
Max temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5200-5700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....320-420 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-242130-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
520 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 11 AM, then partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent) until 2 PM, then sunny
                    (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....530-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Widespread frost
                    after 2 AM.
Min temperature.....Around 27.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Widespread frost until 9
                    AM.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....320-450 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-242130-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
520 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 2 PM, then mostly
                    sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....580-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Widespread frost
                    after 1 AM.
Min temperature.....Around 27.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Widespread frost until 9
                    AM.
Max temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....320-420 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds 6 to
11 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in
the mid 60s. Southeast winds 12 to 17 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Warmer, breezy, cloudy, showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Showers likely until midday, then
a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. South
winds 21 to 26 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Southwest winds 17 to 22 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely until midday, then a chance
of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper
50s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs around 70.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.

$$
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