Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
723
FNUS54 KMAF 010742
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
242 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10% OR LESS, 20-FT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE,
AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS,
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS, AND EDDY AND CHAVEZ COUNTY PLAINS...
.DISCUSSION...
Critical relative humidity is forecast each day through the period
west of the dryline. An active weather pattern will bring periods
of stronger winds every few days. Wednesday, 20-ft winds will
increase over the Guadalupe Mountains, Sacramento Foothills, and
adjacent plains immediately to the east, combining with very
critical fuels in these areas as ERCs climb over the 90th
percentile. Drier conditions become more widespread Thursday, but
stronger 20-ft winds are expected only at the higher elevations.
More moist conditions arrive behind a cold front for most of the
area Friday into the weekend, but higher elevations will remain
very dry. Recovery overnight and Wednesday night will be poor in
much of the terrain west of the Pecos, but moderate to excellent
elsewhere. A stronger storm system Monday could bring more
widespread critical fire weather conditions to the region.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-012130-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
142 AM MDT Wed May 1 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 87 (+4) 51 (-3) 84
RH % (24h trend) 6 (-2) 28 (+6) 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 8 SW 16 W 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 15 W 13 W 11
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 22 44 26
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13410 12400
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 21 W 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 281610 223200
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 5 3
RFTI Category Critical Critical Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 20 mph.
$$
NMZ117-012130-
Chaves Plains-
142 AM MDT Wed May 1 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 93 (+3) 53 (0) 89
RH % (24h trend) 6 (-1) 42 (-11) 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 6 SW 16 W 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 13 SW 11 NW 9
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 24 40 23
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14740 12810
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 21 NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 309540 217770
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 5 1
RFTI Category Near Crit Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
$$
NMZ118-012130-
Eddy Plains-
142 AM MDT Wed May 1 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 95 (+4) 54 (-2) 91
RH % (24h trend) 8 (+1) 48 (-5) 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 5 SW 14 W 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 11 SW 9 W 11
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 15 34 24
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14390 12350
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 18 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 259020 197600
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 4 2
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
$$
NMZ119-012130-
Lea-
142 AM MDT Wed May 1 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 10 10 0
Temp (24h trend) 92 (+3) 54 (-2) 89
RH % (24h trend) 9 (+1) 73 (-22) 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 8 S 14 W 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 11 S 9 W 10
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 22 37 23
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13990 12200
Transport Wnd (kts) S 19 W 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 265810 231800
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 1 2 1
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-012130-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
242 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024 /142 AM MDT Wed May 1 2024/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM CDT /1 PM MDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 PM CDT /10 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 84 (+3) 53 (-4) 81
RH % (24h trend) 8 (0) 25 (+6) 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10 W 18 W 17
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 15 W 18 W 19
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 3
Wind 10000 FT MSL 12 39 29
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11370 9130
Transport Wnd (kts) W 20 W 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 227400 209990
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 5 7
RFTI Category Near Crit Critical Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
West winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
West winds 20 to 25 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-012130-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
242 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 10 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 94 (+3) 55 (-5) 92
RH % (24h trend) 6 (-4) 66 (+2) 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 7 W 10 NW 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 10 NW 9 W 12
LAL 2 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 14 31 28
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10850 10360
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 16 W 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 173600 196840
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 2 3
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs around 90. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-012130-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
242 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 0
Temp (24h trend) 92 (0) 58 (-6) 95
RH % (24h trend) 22 (+2) 100 (+7) 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 10 SE 12 W 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 13 S 8 W 10
LAL 3 3 1
Haines Index 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 17 29 23
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6970 11590
Transport Wnd (kts) S 21 W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 146370 197030
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 0 0 2
RFTI Category Nil Nil Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 15 mph.
$$