Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS74 KMEG 291041
FWSMEG

Spot Forecast for Comp 1...USFS
National Weather Service Memphis TN
541 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Increasing winds and lower relative humidities will increase the
risk for fire weather related concerns this afternoon. Latest high
resolution guidance does drop visibilities close to sunrise near
the burn area; therefore, fog cannot be completely ruled out.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Dewpoint............40.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).1400-5800 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...427-1768 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 6 meters/second.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2000 knot-ft).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   4   2   4   8   11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............61  65  68  70  72  73  73  73
Dewpoint........42  41  40  39  39  39  39  40
RH..............49  41  36  32  30  29  29  30
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   7   6   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 2.9 4.0 4.9 5.5 5.7 5.8 4.4
Mx ht msl (kft).1.4 2.9 4.0 4.9 5.5 5.7 5.8 4.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  12  12  10  12  12  13  13
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).4   5   5   4   5   5   6   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   5   6   7   9   9   10  8
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Dewpoint............42.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).400-600 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...122-183 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 6 meters/second.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (600 knot-ft).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........22  38  57  67  52  66  71  70  71  65  42  26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............71  67  64  60  59  58  57  57  56  55  54  53
Dewpoint........40  42  43  43  42  43  42  42  42  43  43  44
RH..............32  40  46  53  53  57  57  57  59  64  66  71
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   8   10  10  10  11  11  11  12  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mx ht msl (kft).0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  9   10  12  13  13  13  13  13  14  14  13
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Dewpoint............45 increasing to 51 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).400-5000 ft MSL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1524 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 21 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 6 to 9 meters/second.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (13700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........15        3         5         11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............52        57        72        77
Dewpoint........44        49        53        53
RH..............74        75        51        43
20 FT wind......S 6G10    SW 7G13   SW 10G14  SW 10G14
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1200      3700      5000
Mx ht msl (ft)..400       1200      3700      5000
Mix hgt (m).....120       370       1130      1520
Transport wind..SW 13     SW 17     SW 20     SW 21
Tran wind (m/s).SW 6      SW 8      SW 9      SW 9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1         3         10        14
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      POOR      POOR

$$
Forecaster...Roberts
Requested by...Clint Huffman
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408839.0/MEG
.DELDT 03/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clinton.huffman@usda.gov


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