102
FNUS72 KMHX 291035
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for VOA...NCWRC
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
635 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
Westerly winds will increase through the morning and into the
afternoon hours around the burn area, then become southerly as the
seabreeze works inland this evening (7-9 pm). Tuesday will be
similar to today, but winds may be a bit stronger, especially
late in the day. Evening showers will be possible, and could
produce stronger/erratic wind gusts. Wetting rainfall is not
expected today or tomorrow.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 84755 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 1.
ADI.................Max 99.
Stability class.....2.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.02 to 30.09 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............73  76  79  80  82  83  83  83
RH..............59  52  47  44  40  38  38  38
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  12  13  15  15  12  11  10
20 FT wind gust.18  18  19  20  20  18  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.3 4.1 4.6 4.7 4.9 4.9 5.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.16  17  18  18  16  17  15  14
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............41  58  69  99  65  98  61  80
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.34  56  75  84  76  85  73  69
Sfc pres (in)...009 008 007 006 005 004 003 002

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the evening.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 4485 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Min 5.
Stability class.....4.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.00 to 30.02 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   6   15  21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............81  79  74  71  69  67  65  64  63  62  61  61
RH..............41  44  53  61  68  73  78  81  84  87  90  90
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.14  14  9   14  14  18  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   SW  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.15  10  10  12  14  14  15  15  15  15  16  16
LVORI...........1   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5
ADI.............76  7   5   8   9   9   10  10  10  10  11  11
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.64  7   4   6   7   7   7   8   7   7   9   9
Sfc pres (in)...001 000 000 000 000 001 001 002 002 001 000 000

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 109709 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Max 86.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.90 to 30.02 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........23     11     14     18     20     31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............61     65     74     80     83     85
RH..............93     86     63     49     42     40
20 ft wind......SW 7   SW 8   SW 10  SW 10  SW 10  SW 10
20 ft wind gust.14     14     14     18     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1300   2900   4200   5200   5500
Transport wind..SW 15  W 18   W 18   W 18   SW 20  SW 20
LVORI...........5      4      1      1      1      1
ADI.............10     30     57     70     82     86
Haines index....4      4      4      4      5      5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.8      23     53     77     102    110
Sfc pres (in)...30.00  30.02  30.02  30.00  29.95  29.91

$$
Forecaster...Martin
Requested by...Jennifer Prince
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412673.0/MHX
.DELDT 04/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jennifer.prince@ncwildlife.org