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FNUS72 KTAE 160642
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for BP 11ABC...DEP / ORCP / St. Joseph Bay State Buffer
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
242 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions yet, low dispersions are expected for today.
Expect the seabreeze to shift winds to be southwesterly at about
10 mph during the evening. Conditions improve a little for Friday
in regards of dispersions, while rain/thunderstorm chances remain
low at about 20%. Expect southerly winds around 15 mph on Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   3   9   11  12  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............80  81  83  83  84  83  83  82
RH..............72  67  63  65  63  65  67  67
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   5   5   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.7   7   9   9   10  13  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9
Transp wind dir.N   N   NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   7   8   9   9
Dispersion......8   9   10  10  12  13  14  14
LVORI...........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16  18  22  29  35  36  40  40  44  52  55  63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............82  80  78  77  76  75  75  74  74  74  74  73
RH..............67  74  79  82  85  87  87  90  90  90  87  90
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.13  10  9   9   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion......12  10  4   4   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5
LVORI...........3   4   4   5   5   5   6   5   5   5   6   5

.FRIDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70  71  69  70  67  68  64  61  58  56  51  49
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............73  73  74  77  79  80  82  83  83  83  82  82
RH..............93  93  93  90  88  85  82  82  82  82  85  85
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   7   8   9   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   13  14  16  17  20  21  22  22  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   10  12  13  15  16  16  16  16  16  15  15
Dispersion......6   7   9   13  20  24  27  27  27  26  24  24
LVORI...........5   5   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Montgomery
Requested by...Dylan Shoemaker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414316.0/TAE
.DELDT 05/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dylan.shoemaker@floridadep.gov