Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS64 KEPZ 010832
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
232 AM MDT WED OCT 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
WESTERLY WINDS AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING MOSTLY SUNNY DRY
WEATHER TO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN TEXAS TODAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT
CAUSING TEMPERATURES TO COOL TO NEAR NORMAL ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...OTHERWISE CONDITIONS WILL BE SEASONABLY WARM
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
BENIGN TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN SHOULD EXIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. FOR TODAY A ZONAL FLOW ALOFT COMBINED WITH LEE SURFACE
TROUGH TO THE EAST WILL GENERATE DEEP WESTERLY FLOW WITH TRANSPORT
OF WARM DRY AIR MASS CAUSING TODAY`S HIGH TEMPERATURES TO BE AROUND
5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. AN UPPER WAVE WILL THEN MOVE WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES TONIGHT WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
PUSHING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE CWA. NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL PUSH COOLER THOUGH STILL DRY AIR INTO THE REGION WITH
THURSDAY HIGH TEMPERATURES COOLING AROUND 5 DEGREES WHICH WILL
STILL BE NEAR NORMAL. BY SATURDAY WINDS WILL AGAIN BECOME WESTERLY
AT LOW LEVELS UNDER A SUBSIDING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL
SUSTAIN MOSTLY SUNNY DRY CONDITIONS AND SUPPORT TEMPERATURES
RISING ABOVE NORMAL LATER PERIODS.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 01/12Z-02/12Z.
WESTERLY WINDS WILL RESULT IN VFR MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS. WINDS
MAY GUST TO 25 MPH OVER A FEW AREAS BETWEEN 20Z AND 00Z...MAINLY
ALONG EASTERN SLOPES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WESTERLY WINDS FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING MOSTLY SUNNY
DRY WEATHER TO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN TEXAS TODAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TODAY
BEFORE A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT CAUSING
TEMPERATURES TO COOL TO NEAR NORMAL ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. LOWEST
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 15 TO 25 PERCENT TODAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 88  62  83  56  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           86  58  76  51  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              86  55  79  52  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              83  53  77  49  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              65  42  60  38  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   84  55  78  49  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             77  49  73  47  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  86  53  80  49  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               86  54  81  51  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      88  62  82  55  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               88  58  81  52  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            90  60  82  52  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              81  60  75  54  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  90  57  84  54  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            87  58  81  54  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          85  55  75  50  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           84  49  77  44  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   83  51  75  47  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                86  56  80  55  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               85  57  76  53  77 /   0   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 73  47  66  43  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               73  48  67  44  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                71  47  65  42  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 75  45  69  41  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               77  49  72  45  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               85  51  78  46  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            75  45  72  39  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  79  50  76  46  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   82  45  77  45  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              80  42  75  42  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 80  50  74  48  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  87  56  81  53  83 /   0   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 88  52  79  48  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          88  55  79  49  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              84  55  80  48  77 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

05 ROGASH



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