Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FXUS64 KEWX 062315
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
515 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.AVIATION...
WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO DISSIPATE AND THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. WINDS WILL BE 5 KTS OR LESS OVERNIGHT AT ALL TERMINALS.
SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH SUNDAY
MORNING WITH ONLY SOME HIGH CLOUDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)...
DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HILL COUNTRY AND ALONG AND EAST OF
INTERSTATE 35. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITY RANGING FROM 14 TO 19 PERCENT PRESENT ELEVATED TO NEAR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERN ACROSS SOME AREAS. SEE THE FIRE
WEATHER SECTION FOR MORE DETAILS.

WINDS WILL DECREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS
A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER EAST TEXAS PUSHES TO THE
SOUTHEAST AND INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. WITH LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...A COLD
MORNING IS IN STORE ACROSS THE REGION WITH A FREEZE OVER MUCH OF
THE HILL COUNTRY. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO MID 30S OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS.

A SUNNY AND WARMER DAY IS EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S MOST AREAS. A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BUILD ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND THEN MOVE TO
THE SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL BRING THE RETURN OF SOUTHERN FLOW THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND ANOTHER COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO
PUSH ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS IS A DRY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THAT WILL BRING ONLY A WIND SHIFT. BY MONDAY...SUNNY
SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA WITH WINDS PICKING UP DURING
DAYTIME HEATING HOURS. ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON FOR AREAS EAST OF HIGHWAY
83 TO NEAR AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 183.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE REGION THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND
WITH DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS AND A WARMING TREND ANTICIPATED BY
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY.

FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF THE
RIO GRANDE AND COASTAL PLAINS...AND NEAR CRITICAL
CONDITIONS...SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF BEXAR COUNTY TO ABOUT 4 PM.
HOWEVER...WINDS ARE DECREASING AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH THIS
TREND FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...MINIMIZING THE RISK OF FIRE
POTENTIAL. WORD OF CAUTION...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN IN
THE TEENS THROUGH 6 PM.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              36  66  40  62  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  30  65  37  61  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     32  66  39  64  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            32  66  37  59  34 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           34  70  40  65  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        33  65  37  60  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             29  68  38  65  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        33  65  39  62  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   34  64  39  61  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       34  67  40  64  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           33  68  41  65  36 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...05
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...RUNYEN
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33


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