Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KEWX 020132
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
832 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.UPDATE...
MINOR UPDATES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST. THE MAIN CHANGES
WERE TO UPDATE WINDS AND DEW POINTS BASED ON THE LATEST
OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS. OTHERWISE...THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ON
TRACK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 637 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014/

AVIATION...
EXPECT VFR WITH MODERATE WINDS THROUGH 06Z. MVFR STRATUS SHOULD
DEVELOP AT THE I-35 SITES AROUND 06Z AND CONTINUE THROUGH 16Z
BEFORE LIFTING TO VFR...ALTHOUGH BKN COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH 21Z. KDRT WILL ONLY HAVE A SHORT PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS FROM
12-16Z. EXPECT A REPEAT OF MVFR CIGS AT THE I-35 SITES A LITTLE AFTER
06Z WEDNESDAY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS THIS MORNING SHOWED THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
EXTENDED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY WITH A BROAD
SHALLOW TROUGH TO THE NORTH. WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED
DRY AIR IN THE MID-LEVELS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WITH A SHARP
GRADIENT ALONG OUR SOUTHEAST BORDER AND MOISTER AIR TOWARD THE
COAST. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED TO THE EAST HAD THE
WINDS FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THERE IS ALSO A TROPICAL CIRCULATION
EMERGING FROM THE YUCATAN PENINSULA INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.
DURING THIS PERIOD NOT MUCH CHANGE IS EXPECTED. THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE GIVING US ANOTHER WARM NIGHT. TUESDAY
AFTERNOON WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SEA BREEZE CONVECTION PERHAPS
REACHING I-35. TUESDAY NIGHT WILL CONTINUE WARM WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETREATING TOWARD THE COAST.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
NHC HAS LIKELY DEVELOPMENT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE GULF BY
WEDNESDAY. MODELS MOVE THIS CIRCULATION INTO MEXICO WELL SOUTH OF
TEXAS...BUT MOISTURE COULD EXTEND NORTHWARD TO OUR CWA. THIS WILL
MEAN CHANCES FOR RAIN FOR OUR SOUTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WEST INTO MEXICO...OUR WEATHER WILL
RETURN TO HOT AND MAINLY DRY. STILL SOME CHANCE FOR CONVECTION
OVER THE SOUTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. CONTINUING SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL MEAN A CHANCE FOR SEA BREEZE CONVECTION
DURING THE AFTERNOON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              99  78  97  77  96 /  -    0  20  10  20
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  98  76  97  74  96 /  -    0  20  10  20
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     99  75  97  74  96 /  -    0  10  10  30
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            97  75  96  75  94 /  -    0  10  10  20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  78 100  77  94 /  -    0  -   -   20
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        97  77  95  76  95 /  -    0  20  10  20
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             99  74  97  74  94 /  -    0  10  10  40
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        98  77  96  75  95 /  -    0  20  10  20
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  78  96  76  96 /  20  10  30  20  30
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  79  98  77  96 /  -    0  10  10  30
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  78  98  76  96 /  -    0  10  10  30

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...26
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...24
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...12







USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.