Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 282119
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
319 PM CST FRI NOV 28 2014

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
AFTER SOME MORNING CLOUDS...THE THIN MOISTURE WAS ABLE TO MIX OUT
AND FULL SUNSHINE HAS ALLOWED AFTERNOON TEMPS TO WARM INTO THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE 70S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. WINDS HAVE COME DOWN
A BIT FROM EARLIER...BUT SITES ALONG I-35 CONTINUE TO GUST 20-25
MPH DUE TO THE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE IN THE SHORT TERM HELPING TO INDUCE LEE SIDE TROFFING AND
THE SOUTHERLY FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS OVER THIS PORTION OF TEXAS.
LOOK FOR REPEAT TOMORROW WITH MORNING LOW STATUS ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA. WILL INPUT SOME MENTION OF PATCHY FOG ALONG THE SW ZONES
WHERE WE SAW IT THIS MORNING. BURNOFF OF CLOUDS/FOG SHOULD OCCUR
BY LATE MORNING LEADING TO MORE SUNSHINE AND ABOVE NORMAL
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 70S. WILL SEE SOME GUSTY S WINDS ONCE AGAIN
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE ESCARPMENT AND INTO THE HILL COUNTRY.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THICKER CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AS RH TIME
SECTIONS SHOW DEEP MOISTURE ADVECTING AHEAD OF CANADIAN COLD FRONT
EARLY NEXT WEEK. IF CLOUDS CAN BREAK JUST ENOUGH ON SUNDAY...COULD SEE
SOME VERY WARM TEMPS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. BUT WITH THICKER
CLOUDCOVER IT WILL TAKE LONGER TO BREAK...NONETHELESS 70S ARE
STILL FORECAST FOR HIGHS ON SUNDAY. MODELS SHOW STRONG COLD FRONT
TO ARRIVE EARLY MONDAY MORNING ACROSS THE NORTH ZONES AND MID TO
LATE MORNING THE REST OF THE CWA. KEPT SOME SMALL SLIGHT/CHANCE POP OVER THE
EASTERN HALF FOR SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT ALTHOUGH AM NOT EXPECTING
ANYTHING VERY SIGNIFICANT. HIGH TEMPS MONDAY SHOULD BE REACHED IN
THE MORNING AS ENOUGH CLOUD COVER AND COLD AIR ADVECTION SHOULD
ACCOMPANY THE FRONT TO ALLOW FOR STEADY OR EVEN FALLING TEMPS
DURING THE DAY. THE BULK OF THE COLDER WILL TRAVEL EAST BUT
ENOUGH OF A PIECE OF IT WILL SETTLE OVER THE CWA ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY TO BRING A SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE CHANGE FROM DAYS
EARLIER. MODELS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY LOWERING TEMPS MON AND TUE FOR
SEVERAL DAYS NOW. THE UPPER FLOW WILL STAY WESTERLY OR EVEN WSW
SO THE CLOUDS MAY BE HARD TO BREAK FOR MID-LATE WEEK. AM BANKING
ON THE CLOUDY SKIES TUE-FRI HELPING TO KEEP TEMPS DOWN...AT LEVELS
AT OR BELOW NORMAL.  OVERRUNNING LIGHT PRECIP CHANCES WILL START
TO OCCUR MID TO LATE WEEK AS SOUTHERLY FLOW ABOVE THE COLD AIRMASS
STARTS TO RETURN AHEAD OF DISTURBANCE NEAR BAJA AND THE SW UNITED
STATES.



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              54  77  63  76  59 /   0   0  -   10  10
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  48  76  60  76  59 /   0   0  -   10  10
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     51  75  60  76  59 /   0   0  -   10  10
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            50  73  58  75  55 /   0   0  -   10  10
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           45  72  50  74  49 /   0   0  -   -   -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        52  74  61  76  56 /   0   0  -   10  10
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             46  72  56  77  56 /   0   0  -   -   -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        50  75  60  76  58 /   0   0  -   10  10
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   55  76  62  77  60 /   0   0  -   10  10
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       52  75  61  77  61 /   0   0  -   -   -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           52  75  60  77  59 /   0   0  -   -   -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...15
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...09
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...32





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