Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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FXUS63 KUNR 310516
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1116 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

.SHORT TERM...THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 233 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

CURRENT SURFACE MAP PLACES WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE DAKOTAS.
ABUNDANT TCU FROM THE BLACK HILLS INTO SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA.
WITH WEAK SHORTWAVE DROPPING SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL SOUTH
DAKOTA...ISOLATED -SHRA/-TSRA POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
STRONGER SHORTWAVE...CURRENTLY OVER SASKATCHEWAN...MOVES THROUGH
FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT/THURSDAY WITH ISOLATED -SHRA/-TSRA.
GIVEN LOW CAPE/WEAK SHEAR...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NOT EXPECTED.

&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ISSUED AT 233 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH END
OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. A SERIES OF WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH
THROUGH THE FLOW SLOWLY...BREAKING DOWN THE RIDGE...AND BRINGING
INCREASING CHANCES FOR STORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK. TEMPERATURES OVERALL WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL
AVERAGES THROUGH MONDAY...THEN COOLER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL
ACCOMPANY THE HIGHER CHANCES OF PRECIP THROUGH MIDWEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1114 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ISOLATED
-TSRA ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY OVER WESTERN SD...MAINLY IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HOURS WITH LOCAL MVFR CIGS UNDER THE
HEAVIEST SHOWERS.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...7
LONG TERM...13
AVIATION...HELGESON



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